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MacroVar monitors real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for the Australian economy and Australian markets by analyzing financial, economic data and real-time news using statistical models. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with explanations of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

Australia Overview

 
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Australia Overview presents the current trends and dynamics of the major Australia financial markets and economic indicators. Select Details to get more information for each indicator, use Factors to monitor current statistical analysis of financial & economic factors affecting the specific asset, and select research to read the latest MacroVar research for the specific asset/indicator.


SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
ASX All Ordinaries IndexAORD7886.20.890.028.82
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Australia PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australia 2-year bond yieldAU.2Y4.271.280.0910.24
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum50.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-06-20 17:24:12MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australia 10-Year Bond YieldAU.10Y4.420.870.065.77
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum50.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Australia PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australian Dollar US Dollar (AUD/USD)AUDUSD 1.48-0.2-0.02-0.31
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-50.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-1.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Australia 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Australia 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Copper vs AUDUSD YYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Australia PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMIau.manpmi49.6053
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Services PMIau.servpmi50.30-3-4
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
ASX All Ordinaries IndexAORD7886.20.890.028.82
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Australia PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australia ETFEWA25.141.490.0114.33
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Australia PMI vs ETFPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-06-20 17:24:12MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australia 2-year bond yieldAU.2Y4.271.280.0910.24
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum50.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-06-20 17:24:12MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australia 10-Year Bond YieldAU.10Y4.420.870.065.77
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum50.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Australia PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australia Yield CurveAU.YC0.1616.55-0.35-238.46
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australian Dollar US Dollar (AUD/USD)AUDUSD 1.48-0.2-0.02-0.31
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-50.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-1.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Australia 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Australia 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Copper vs AUDUSD YYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Australia PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
Composite PMIau.comppmi530-10
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMIau.manpmi49.6053
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Services PMIau.servpmi50.30-3-4
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
GDP Growth (annual)au.gdpgrowthan1.10-27-21
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Inflation CPIau.inflationcpi3.60-12227
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Unemployment rateau.unemploymentrate40-211
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUPMedium2024-07-16 09:45:26Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUPMedium2024-07-16 09:45:26A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
AUDJPY Implied VolatilityAUDJPY.IV10.490.87-0.0413.28
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Risk SignalsPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar risk management models monitor the dynamics of thousands of risk-related indicators to gauge global financial risk conditions. MacroVar calcualates trend/momentum and 1-year, 5-year z-scores. The z-score (also known as the standard score) is a statistical measure that quantifies how many standard deviations an individual data point is from the mean of a distribution. MacroVar Risk Management models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
ASX All Ordinaries IndexAORD7886.20.890.028.82
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Australia PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australia 2-year bond yieldAU.2Y4.271.280.0910.24
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum50.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-06-20 17:24:12MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australia 10-Year Bond YieldAU.10Y4.420.870.065.77
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum50.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Australia PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Australian Dollar US Dollar (AUD/USD)AUDUSD 1.48-0.2-0.02-0.31
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-50.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-1.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Australia 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Australia 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Copper vs AUDUSD YYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Australia PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
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Description
Australia Credit Default SwapsCDS.Australia130130
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Z-scoresPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
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Australia Market News

  
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TimeHeadlines
2024-07-04 08:44 Australian Trade Balance Actual 5.773B (Forecast 6.328B, Previous 6.548B)
2024-07-02 05:40 Australian Manufacturing PMI Final Actual 47.2 (Forecast -, Previous 47.5)
2024-03-27 11:25 Australian CPI YoY SA Actual 3.70% (Forecast -, Previous 3.60%)
2024-03-27 11:25 Australian CPI YoY NSA Actual 3.4% (Forecast 3.5%, Previous 3.4%)
2024-03-27 11:25 Australian CPI MoM Actual 0.50% (Forecast -, Previous 0.40%)
2024-03-19 15:19 Asia Market Wrap: BoJ Raises Rates for First Time in 17 Years, Yen Slides
2024-03-19 15:18 Governor Bullock of the RBA stated that a rate cut will not be considered until there is greater certainty regarding the reduction of inflation.
2024-03-19 15:18 Statement regarding the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision
2024-03-19 15:17 RBA notes that the growth in unit labor costs is slowing down, but it is still at elevated levels.
2024-03-19 15:17 The uncertain RBA rate path is the one that is most likely to help CPI reach its target.

Australia Economic Overview

  
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Australian economic overview presents a snapshot of Australian current economic conditions. You can find details for the Australian economy subsections by exploring the sections below.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Composite PMIau.comppmi53.053.3-10UPDown
Manufacturing PMIau.manpmi49.647.353UPUP
services pmiau.servpmi50.352.1-3-4UPDown
construction pmiau.constrpmi-5.011.4-144-111DownDown

Australia Manufacturing

  
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MacroVar analytics monitors the following Australian financial markets. MacroVar models monitor a vast of financial and macroeconomic factors affecting each financial market. Click on a specific financial market to get detailed analysis.


1IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Manufacturing PMIau.manpmi49.647.353UPUP
industrial productionau.indproduction0.50.367-132DownUP

Australia Services Sector

  
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MacroVar analytics monitors the following Australian economic indicators. Click on a specific macroeconomic indicator to get detailed analysis.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
services pmiau.servpmi50.352.1-3-4UPDown

Australia consumer sentiment

  
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IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
consumer confidenceau.consconfidence82.783.6s-12UPUP
unemployment rateau.unemploymentrate4.14s217UPUP
retail salesau.retailsalesan1.30.9s44-69DownDown
retail sales MoMau.retailsales0.60.1s50020UPUP
car registrationsau.carregistrations17611.019610s-102DownUP
building permitsau.buildingpermits1294712707s2-4DownDown

Australia Construction

  
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IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
building permitsau.buildingpermits12947127072-4DownDown
new home salesau.newhomesales4742.038842249UPUP

Australia Macroeconomic outlook

  


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
gdpau.gdp1723.831675.42323UPUP
Real GDPau.realgdp610298.0609521020UPUP
gdp growth annualau.gdpgrowthan1.11.5-27-21DownDown
gdp growthau.gdpgrowth0.10.2-50-95DownDown
inflation cpiau.inflationcpi3.64.1-12227DownUP
interest rateau.interestrate4.354.3506UPUP
unemployment rateau.unemploymentrate4.14217UPUP
external debtau.externaldebt2411773.02345570313UPUP
government debt to gdpau.govdebtgdp43.842.8282UPUP
current accountau.currentaccount-4896.02667-284-122DownDown
current account to gdpau.currentaccountgdp-0.70.4-275-119DownDown
exportsau.exports43979.0427923-4UPDown
importsau.imports38206.03676446UPUP
foreign exchange reservesau.fxreserves91259.0898112-1UPDown
gold reservesau.goldres79.8579.8500DownDown
government revenuesau.govrev65361.052155258UPUP
fiscal expenditureau.fiscalexp54607.054531011DownUP

Australia Inflation

  
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IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%Trend
inflation cpiau.inflationcpi3.64.1-12227
core inflation rateau.coreinflationrate4.04.2-5264
Produce Prices YoYau.producerpricesch4.34.152050

Australia Employment

  


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
unemployment rateau.unemploymentrate4.14217UPUP

Australia Monetary Policy

  
Australia Monetary policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the RBA's balance sheet and interest rates.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
interest rateau.interestrate4.354.3506UPUP
central bank balance sheetau.cb.assets449342.0457222-2-15DownDown
banks balance sheetau.banks.bs5169.55169.508DownUP
money supply m1au.msm11663.561669.79-02UPUP
government debt to gdpau.govdebtgdp43.842.8282UPUP
loans to private sectorau.loanprivate1167.921164.807UPUP
Australia Credit Rating (S&P)RATING.S&P.AU
Australia Credit Rating (Moody's)RATING.MOODYS.AU
Australia Credit Rating (Fitch)RATING.FITCH.AU

Australia Fiscal Policy

  
Australia Fiscal policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Treasury's decisions on government spending, revenues and budget surplus/deficit.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
government revenuesau.govrev65361.052155258UPUP
fiscal expenditureau.fiscalexp54607.054531011DownUP
Government budgetau.govbudget0.9-1.4-164-126UPUP
Government budgetau.govbudgetvalue10755.0-2375-553-5UPDown
government debt to gdpau.govdebtgdp43.842.8282UPUP

Australia Trade

  
Australia trade activity is monitored by tracking Trade and Capital flows.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
current accountau.currentaccount-4896.02667-284-122DownDown
current account to gdpau.currentaccountgdp-0.70.4-275-119DownDown
balance of tradeau.balanceoftrade5773.06027-4-45DownDown
importsau.imports38206.03676446UPUP
exportsau.exports43979.0427923-4UPDown
capital flowsau.capitalflows8307.0-8605-197-134UPUP
foreign direct investmentau.fdi88849.027821219121UPUP
external debtau.externaldebt2411773.02345570313UPUP
foreign exchange reservesau.fxreserves91259.0898112-1UPDown
gold reservesau.goldres79.8579.8500DownDown