Australia Citi economic surprise index

Australia Citi economic surprise index Chart


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Date Value
22-04-22 34,00
29-04-22 42,00
06-05-22 70,00
13-05-22 67,00
20-05-22 55,00
27-05-22 47,00
03-06-22 40,00
10-06-22 34,00
17-06-22 37,00
24-06-22 31,00
01-07-22 37,00
08-07-22 106,00
15-07-22 118,00
22-07-22 108,00
29-07-22 94,00
05-08-22 111,00
12-08-22 110,00
19-08-22 90,00
26-08-22 88,00
02-09-22 69,00
09-09-22 23,00
16-09-22 12,00
23-09-22 3,00
30-09-22 -11,00

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Australia Citi economic surprise index

Australia Citi economic surprise index Statistics

Click here to explore the methodology used for estimating the Australia Australia Citigroup Economic Surprise Index signals presented in the statistics table below.

Australia Financial Markets

Market Symbol Last Mom Trend Exh RSI 1D% 1W% 1M% 1Y%
ASX All OrdinariesIndex AORD 7464.3 1 1 1.05473 67.3925 0.007 0.01678 0.05183 0.09919
Australia ETF EWA 26.68 1 1 1.1696 71.6908 0.01176 0.02694 0.11913 0.07885
Australian Dollar US Dollar (AUD/USD) AUDUSD 1.332 -1 -0.75 -0.59471 34.5037 -0.0024 -0.00523 -0.03373 0.0147
Australia 5-Year Bond Yield AU.5Y 2.258 1 1 2.5675 71.5173 0.00356 0.04682 0.17543 2.39039
Australia 2-year bond yield AU.2Y 1.838 0.5 1 3.18284 72.7105 -0.04816 0.14375 0.80906 19.6517
Australia 12-year bond yield AU.2Y 2.876 0.5 1 2.83937 75.6273 -0.00312 0.04582 0.24881 0.79302
Australia Yield Curve AU.YC 1.14 1 1 1.70777 58.993 -12.44 -23.69 -28.62 1.11034
Australia Credit Default Swaps CDS.Australia 15 -1 -1 -0.87103 43.3356 -0.83 1.69 -3.23 -0.29581

Australia Financial News Stream

Australia Macroeconomic Indicators

Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
balance of trade au.balanceoftrade 8324 8967 -7.17 -34.99 Down Down 60 2022-10-06
bank lending rate au.banks.lendingrate 6.51 6.51 0 -0.146789 -1.0 -1.0 0.116667 2020-10-30
banks balance sheet au.banks.bs 5169.5 5283.4 -0.0215581 0.223985 1.0 1.0 0.366667 2021-01-01
building permits au.buildingpermits 28.1 -17.2 -263.37 279.73 UP UP 98.33 2022-10-04
business confidence au.bizconfidence 10 8 25 -266.67 UP UP 73.33 2022-09-13
capacity utilization au.caputilization 86.33 86.68 -0.4 7.89 UP UP 98.33 2022-09-19
capital flows au.capitalflows -18883 -2921 546.46 305.74 Down Down 6.67 2022-09-09
car registrations au.carregistrations 16023 18450 -13.15 -20.75 Down Down 20 2022-08-23
central bank balance sheet au.cb.assets 616591 617666 -0.17 1.57 Down UP 50 2022-09-30
composite pmi au.comppmi 50.8 50.2 1.2 9.25 Down UP 31.67 2022-09-22
construction pmi au.constrpmi 46.5 47.9 -2.92 -12.76 Down Down 50 2022-10-06
consumer confidence au.consconfidence 84.4 81.2 3.94 -20.55 Down Down 8.33 2022-09-13
consumer price index cpi au.cpi 126.1 123.9 1.78 9.84 UP UP 100 2022-07-31
core inflation rate au.coreinflationrate 4.9 3.7 32.43 226.67 UP UP 100 2022-07-27
current account au.currentaccount 18224 7500 142.99 290.82 UP UP 95 2022-09-03
current account to gdp au.currentaccountgdp 3.2 1.3 146.15 -194.12 UP UP 100 2022-09-09
deposit interest rate au.depositrate 0.1 0.1 0 -0.888889 -1.0 -1.0 0.0333333 2021-03-28
exports au.exports 56774 55340 2.59 20.58 UP UP 96.67 2022-10-06
external debt au.externaldebt 2195480 2178980 0.76 2.6 UP UP 95 2022-09-09
fiscal expenditure au.fiscalexp 49731 50561 -1.64 16.68 Down UP 71.67 2022-06-24
foreign direct investment au.fdi 33394 29274 14.07 -18.34 Down Down 0 2022-05-04
foreign exchange reserves au.fxreserves 80573 79080 1.89 2.43 UP UP 83.33 2022-09-09
gdp au.gdp 1330.9 1396.6 -0.0470428 0.262713 -1.0 1.0 0 2020-01-31
Real GDP au.realgdp 533092 527676 1.03 12.1 UP UP 100 2022-09-09
gdp growth au.gdpgrowth 0.8 3.6 -77.78 60 UP UP 61.67 2022-05-26
gdp growth annual au.gdpgrowthan 3.6 3.3 9.09 111.76 UP UP 88.33 2022-09-03
gold reserves au.goldres 79.85 67.74 0.178772 0.0962383 1.0 1.0 1 2020-08-01
government budget au.govbudget -4.3 -0.2 20.5 -3.52941 -1.0 -1.0 0 2019-02-28
Government budget au.govbudgetvalue 16234 2536 540.14 133.35 UP UP 100 2022-06-24
government debt to gdp au.govdebtgdp 24.8 19.2 0.291667 1.10169 1.0 1.0 0 2020-01-31
government revenues au.govrev 65965 53097 24.23 33.05 UP UP 100 2022-06-24
housing index au.housingindex 183.9 175.6 4.73 -12360 UP UP 100 2022-04-29
imports au.imports 48450 46549 4.08 41.34 UP UP 100 2022-10-06
industrial production au.indproduction 0.21 1.39 -84.89 -88.33 Down Down 16.67 2022-06-06
industrial production mom au.indproductionmm -0.3 0.2 -2.5 -2.5 -1.0 -1.0 0.2 2020-12-30
inflation cpi au.inflationcpi 6.1 5.1 19.61 281.25 UP UP 100 2022-07-27
inflation expectations au.inflationexp 5.4 5.9 -8.47 63.64 UP UP 96.67 2022-09-15
interbank rate au.interbankrate 1.22 1.1 0.109091 -0.5 -1.0 -1.0 0.0333333 2019-09-30
interest rate au.interestrate 0.1 0.1 0 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 0.0583333 2021-06-01
loans to private sector au.loanprivate 1174.73 1161.18 1.17 14.01 UP UP 100 2022-09-30
Australia au.manpmi 50.2 49.3 1.83 -1.95 Down Down 23.33 2022-10-04
money supply m0 au.msm0 565.27 549.5 2.87 17.93 UP UP 100 2022-09-30
money supply m1 au.msm1 1652.47 1668.25 -0.95 9.3 UP UP 90 2022-09-30
money supply m3 au.msm3 2773.39 2771.4 0.07 8.85 UP UP 100 2022-09-30
new home sales au.newhomesales 4833 4909 -1.55 -3.92 Down Down 38.33 2022-09-30
Producer Price Index au.producerprices 120 118.3 1.44 7.53 UP UP 100 2022-07-31
PPI Index au.producerpricesch 5.6 4.9 14.29 180 UP UP 98.33 2022-07-31
retail sales MoM au.retailsales 1.3 0.2 550 -172.22 UP UP 81.67 2022-08-23
retail sales au.retailsalesan 19.2 16.5 16.36 -719.36 UP UP 98.33 2022-09-30
services pmi au.servpmi 53.3 51.7 3.09 16.89 UP UP 63.33 2022-09-03
total vehicle sales au.vehiclesales 95256 84461 12.78 17.31 UP UP 71.67 2022-09-09
unemployment rate au.unemploymentrate 3.5 3.4 2.94 -22.22 Down Down 4.17 2022-09-15
youth unemployment rate au.ytunemploymentrate 8.43 7.03 19.91 -17.35 Down Down 6.67 2022-09-30
Australia Commodity prices – SDR au.com.price.price 133.1 129.1 0.0309837 0.411453 1.0 1.0 0.95 2021-04-30

Australia Citigroup Economic Surprise Index analysis

Australia Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) are objective and quantitative measures of economic news. They are defined as weighted historical standard deviations of data surprises. A positive reading of Australia Economic Surprise Index suggests that economic releases have on balance [been] beating consensus. The indices are calculated daily in a rolling three-month window. The weights of economic indicators are derived from relative high-frequency spot FX impacts of 1 standard deviation data surprises. The indices also employ a time decay function to replicate the limited memory of markets.

Australia Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend

Australia Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend is in an uptrend when the last value is higher than its twelve-month moving average and its twelve-month moving average slope is positive (last twelve-month moving average is higher than the previous month twelve-month moving average) and vice-versa. MacroVar calculates the number of months the Australia Citigroup Economic Surprise Index has recorded new highs or lows. Australia  Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend change is assumed when the specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.

Australia Citigroup Economic Surprise Index momentum

Australia Citigroup Economic Surprise Index momentum is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M) return.

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