Brazil core inflation rate

Brazil’s core inflation rate icnreased to 4.69 by 12.74% on June 2021 from 4.16 in the previous month. On a year on year basis Brazil’s core inflation rate increased by 143.64%. Brazil’s core inflation rate trend is up since the current value of 4.69 is higher than the 12 month moving average of 2.59825. and the 12 month moving average slope is up. Brazil’s core inflation rate 5-year percentile is currently at 100.0%.

Brazil core inflation rate Chart

Brazil core inflation rate

Brazil Core inflation rate Statistics

Click here to explore the methodology used for estimating the Brazil core inflation rate signals presented in the statistics table below.

Indicator Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
core inflation rate 4.69 4.16 0.127404 1.43636 1.0 1.0 1 2021-06-30

Brazil Financial Markets

Market Symbol Last Mom Trend Exh RSI 1D% 1W% 1M% 1Y%
Bovespa BOVESPA 125929 0.5 1 1.47509 69.8042 -1.93 -2.2 4.42 0.02722
Brazil Small-Cap ETF EWZ 18.74 -0.5 0.25 0.55006 50.9047 -4.34 -7.55 8.89 -0.23968
Brazil Real US Dollar (BRL/USD) BRLUSD 5.19 -0.5 -0.25 -0.00298 47.6309 2.3 4.5 -2.89 0.2566
Brazil 10-Year Bond Yield BR.10Y 9.21 -1 -0.5 -0.41829 31.6399 -0.38 -1.23 1.6 0.02147
Brazil 5-Year Bond Yield BR.5Y 8.14 -1 -0.75 -1.04766 25.754 0.56 -1.93 2.97 -0.13698
Brazil 2-year bond yield BR.2Y 7.74 0 0.5 0.46665 50.1619 -2.89 -5.26 9.87 -0.17705
Brazil Yield Curve BR.YC 1.47 0 -0.75 -0.72686 37.1358 15.29 14.84 -27.94 0.58138
Brazil Credit Default Swaps CDS.Brazil 178 -1 -0.75 -0.93254 29.5577 2.3 9.88 -6.81 0.46808

Brazil Financial News Stream

Brazil Macroeconomic Indicators

Indicator Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
balance of trade 10372 9290.87 0.116365 0.595236 1.0 1.0 0.833333 2021-06-30
bank lending rate 39.93 41.02 -0.0265724 -0.0657464 1.0 -1.0 0.65 2021-05-31
banks balance sheet 8438640 8356790 0.00979443 0.226942 1.0 1.0 0.5 2021-02-28
business confidence 62 61.7 0.00486224 0.302521 1.0 1.0 0.8 2021-07-31
capacity utilization 81.6 82.3 -0.00850547 0.157447 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
capital flows 4130 5639.1 -0.267614 5.52243 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-31
car registrations 182 189 -0.037037 0.368421 -1.0 1.0 0.95 2021-06-30
cash reserve ratio 21 21 0 0 -1.0 -1.0 0.633333 2020-01-31
central bank balance sheet 4052470000 4153300000 -0.0242771 0.0240751 -1.0 1.0 0.0833333 2021-04-30
composite pmi 54.6 49.2 0.109756 0.348148 1.0 1.0 0.966667 2021-06-30
consumer confidence 43.8 42.8 0.0233645 0.0428571 -1.0 1.0 0.75 2020-08-31
consumer price index cpi 5769.98 5739.56 0.00530006 0.0834707 1.0 1.0 0.95 2021-06-30
core inflation rate 4.69 4.16 0.127404 1.43636 1.0 1.0 1 2021-06-30
current account 3840.4 5663 -0.321844 21.9141 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-31
current account to gdp -0.72 -2.7 -0.733333 -0.6 1.0 1.0 0 2020-01-31
deposit interest rate 2.3 1.91 0.204188 0.133005 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-31
exports 28104.3 26948.3 0.042897 0.607889 1.0 1.0 1 2021-06-30
external debt 636720 627565 0.0145881 -0.0189154 -1.0 -1.0 0.283333 2021-04-01
foreign direct investment 1228.66 3540 -0.652921 -0.601118 -1.0 -1.0 0.25 2021-05-31
foreign exchange reserves 352486 353448 -0.00272176 0.0106227 -1.0 1.0 0.533333 2021-06-30
gdp 1444.73 1839.76 -0.214718 -0.148064 -1.0 -1.0 0 2020-01-31
Real GDP 297300 300265 -0.00987461 0.0219304 1.0 1.0 0.316667 2021-03-01
gdp growth 1.2 3.2 -0.625 2 1.0 1.0 0.9 2021-01-01
gdp growth annual 1 -1.1 -1.90909 -0.444444 1.0 -1.0 0.683333 2021-03-31
gold reserves 67.36 67.36 0 0.00104027 1.0 1.0 0.533333 2020-08-01
government budget -13.4 -5.9 1.27119 5.7 -1.0 -1.0 0 2020-01-31
Government budget -37400 30000 -2.24667 -0.73362 1.0 1.0 0.1 2021-05-31
government debt 6696350 6665280 0.00466147 0.129406 1.0 1.0 0 2021-05-31
government debt to gdp 75.79 76.53 -0.00966941 0.336213 1.0 1.0 0 2019-01-31
government revenues 142100 156822 -0.0938771 0.835552 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-31
housing index 135.4 135 0.00296296 0.0415385 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-30
imports 17732.3 17657.4 0.00424185 0.61539 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-06-30
industrial production 24 34.7 -0.308357 -2.09589 1.0 1.0 0.25 2021-05-31
industrial production mom 1.4 -1.5 -1.93333 -0.82716 -1.0 -1.0 0.6 2021-05-31
inflation cpi 8.35 8.06 0.0359802 2.92019 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-06-30
interest rate 2 2 0 -0.666667 -1.0 -1.0 0.0333333 2021-01-02
loan growth 1.2 0.5 1.4 3 -1.0 1.0 0.95 2021-05-31
loans to private sector 675760 679108 -0.00493 0.195748 1.0 1.0 0.916667 2021-05-31
manufacturing pmi 56.4 53.7 0.0502793 0.0930233 -1.0 1.0 0.666667 2021-06-30
money supply m0 422212 403528 0.0463016 0.106194 1.0 1.0 0.7 2021-06-30
money supply m1 615234 580690 0.0594878 0.186336 1.0 1.0 0.783333 2021-06-30
money supply m2 3939570 3922520 0.0043467 0.118716 1.0 1.0 0.583333 2021-05-31
money supply m3 8227660 8113100 0.0141204 0.143323 1.0 1.0 0.816667 2021-05-31
Producer Price Index 147.65 145.77 0.012897 0.358613 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-31
PPI Index 35.7 33.5 0.0656716 3.63636 1.0 1.0 0.95 2021-04-30
retail sales MoM 1.8 -1.1 -2.63636 -1.75 1.0 1.0 0.283333 2021-04-30
retail sales 16 23.7 -0.324895 -3.16216 1.0 1.0 0.1 2021-05-31
services pmi 53.9 48.3 0.115942 0.501393 1.0 1.0 0.966667 2021-06-30
total vehicle sales 133318 142673 -0.0655695 0.301934 -1.0 1.0 0.95 2021-06-30
unemployment rate 14.7 14.4 0.0208333 0.204918 1.0 1.0 0.666667 2021-03-31

Brazil core inflation rate analysis

Brazil’s core inflation rate is the change in the costs of goods and services excluding those from the food and energy sectors. This measure of inflation excludes these items because their prices are much more volatile. Explore MacroVar financial knowledge base structured by professional fund managers and economists.

Brazil core inflation rate trend

Brazil core inflation rate trend is in an uptrend when the last value is higher than its twelve-month moving average and its twelve-month moving average slope is positive (last twelve-month moving average is higher than the previous month twelve-month moving average) and vice-versa. MacroVar calculates the number of months the Brazil core inflation rate has recorded new highs or lows. Brazil core inflation rate trend change is assumed when the specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.

Brazil core inflation rate momentum

Brazil core inflation rate momentum is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M) return.

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