United Kingdom Citi economic surprise index

United Kingdom Citi economic surprise index Chart

 United Kingdom Citi economic surprise index

United Kingdom Citi economic surprise index Statistics

Click here to explore the methodology used for estimating the United Kingdom UK Citigroup Economic Surprise Index signals presented in the statistics table below.

United Kingdom Financial Markets

MarketSymbolLastMomTrendExhRSI1D%1W%1M%1Y%
FTSE 100FTSE6998.28-0.50.250.3561850.8123-1.31-1.070.5-0.14712
United Kingdom ETFEWU32.2410.750.9621763.0248-2.24-2.33-1.23-0.11483
British Pound US Dollar (GBP/USD)GBPUSD0.73-1-1-1.9051837.14631.191.911.73-0.04602
FLG UK 10Y GiltsFLG129.3710.25-0.3156351.10740.240.690.640.02662
United Kingdom 10-Year Bond YieldGB.10Y0.61-1-0.75-0.7006342.3296-3.33-22.09-23.85-0.74093
UK 5-Year Bond YieldUK.5Y0.310-0.25-0.3740854.63941.97-12.18-12.68-1.1311
UK 2-year bond yieldUK.2Y0.110.5-1-1.0606936.957729.4127.9157.14-1.27206
UK Yield CurveUK.YC0.5-0.50.751.1196150.0309-8.42-28.26-31.60.52632
United Kingdom Credit Default SwapsCDS.UK10.5-1-1-1.1100742.401310.530-4.55-0.29029

United Kingdom Financial News Stream

United Kingdom Macroeconomic Indicators

IndicatorActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlopeZS5YUpdate
balance of trade884-1595-1.55423-0.853571.0-1.00.22021-05-31
bank lending rate1.11.10-0.266667-1.0-1.00.0252019-05-31
banks balance sheet427732042509600.00620095-0.008525531.0-1.00.1166672021-05-31
business confidence38-22-2.727271.923081.01.00.92020-10-01
capacity utilization73.964.50.145736-0.127509-1.0-1.00.052020-08-01
capital flows2799937969-0.2625830.3616871.01.00.6833332021-01-31
car registrations1861281567370.1875180.2803131.01.00.9666672021-06-30
central bank balance sheet9824399816230.0008312760.04108871.01.00.4166672021-07-14
composite pmi62.262.9-0.01112880.3039831.01.00.952021-06-30
construction pmi66.364.20.03271030.1989151.01.00.8333332021-06-30
consumer confidence-9-15-0.4-0.7352941.01.00.1833332021-05-30
consumer price index cpi111.31110.760.004965690.0251051.01.00.82021-06-30
core inflation rate2.320.150.6428571.01.00.8166672021-06-30
core Producer Price Index113.2112.80.00354610.02629191.01.00.6333332021-05-31
current account-12828-26286-0.511984-0.2826711.01.00.2166672021-01-30
current account to gdp-3.5-3.10.129032-0.1666671.01.002020-01-31
deposit interest rate0.50.500-1.0-1.002020-02-29
exports51643494800.04371460.1467051.01.00.9166672021-05-31
external debt71472907287330-0.01921690.1123421.01.00.52021-01-01
foreign direct investment11963-2769-5.32033-0.4406151.0-1.00.7333332021-01-01
foreign exchange reserves176594180463-0.0214393-0.0059051-1.0-1.00.06666672021-06-30
gdp2707.742830.81-0.0434752-0.0732028-1.0-1.002020-01-31
Real GDP496737504742-0.0158596-0.0664663-1.0-1.00.03333332021-03-01
gdp growth-1.61.3-2.23077-5-1.0-1.00.08333332021-01-01
gdp growth annual-6.1-7.3-0.164384-6.54545-1.0-1.00.03333332021-01-01
gold reserves310.29310.3-0.00003222690-1.0-1.00.5333332020-07-01
government budget-14.3-2.64.50.906667-1.0-1.002020-12-31
Government budget-19147-31285.1211611.2581.0-1.00.9833332021-02-28
government debt2195.82170.90.01146990.1337841.01.00.852021-05-31
government debt to gdp97.484.40.1540280.9959021.01.002020-12-31
government revenues6318781218-0.222007-0.01395111.0-1.00.1666672021-02-28
housing index448.96451.17-0.004898380.08791321.01.00.9833332021-06-30
housing starts46010421100.09261460.09992831.01.00.62021-01-01
imports5075951075-0.006186980.3015461.01.012021-05-31
industrial production20.627.2-0.242647-21.01.00.2333332021-05-31
industrial production mom0.8-1-1.8-1.0404-1.01.00.4333332021-05-31
inflation cpi2.52.10.1904763.166671.01.00.7833332021-06-30
interbank rate0.080.080-0.111111-1.0-1.00.052021-06-02
interest rate0.10.25-0.6-0.866667-1.0-1.00.01666672020-03-19
lending rate0.351-0.65-0.533333-1.0-1.00.01666672020-03-31
loans to private sector26375802655060-0.006583660.1124051.01.00.5333332021-03-31
long term unemployment rate10.90.111111-0.0909091-1.0-1.00.4252020-02-01
manufacturing pmi63.965.6-0.02591460.2754491.01.00.9666672021-06-30
money supply m09553996324-0.008149580.1161361.01.00.9166672021-06-30
money supply m122491702265810-0.007343950.1145711.01.00.7333332021-05-31
money supply m228624102878460-0.00557590.07006781.01.00.6666672021-05-31
money supply m333330903333480-0.0001169950.05844641.01.00.4333332021-05-31
Producer Price Index112.3111.90.003574620.04271121.01.00.9666672021-06-30
PPI Index4.34.4-0.0227273-3.529411.01.00.152021-06-30
retail sales MoM-1.49.2-1.15217-1.1157-1.0-1.00.4666672021-05-31
retail sales24.642.4-0.419811-2.892311.01.00.06666672021-05-31
services pmi62.462.9-0.007949130.3248411.01.00.952021-06-30
unemployment rate4.84.70.02127660.1707321.01.00.8666672021-05-31
youth unemployment rate13.513.20.02272730.0629921-1.01.00.7333332021-04-30
zew economic sentiment index60.435.80.687151-2.032481.01.00.1166672021-03-28
UK RICS House Price75590.271186-4.571431.01.00.1333332021-04-30
Construction sector-15.5-17.6-0.119318-23.1429-1.0-1.00.052019-10-01
Consumer sector-16.2-22.6-0.2831861.281691.0-1.00.82020-12-01
Manufacturing sector-16.4-24.5-0.330612-0.2545451.01.00.752020-12-01
Retail sector-16-100.60.0256411.0-1.00.8333332020-12-01
Services sector-39.4-40-0.0151.509551.0-1.00.8833332020-12-01
ESI - Economic Composite87.181.50.0687117-0.02572711.0-1.00.5833332020-12-01

United Kingdom Citi economic surprise index analysis

United Kingdom Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) are objective and quantitative measures of economic news. They are defined as weighted historical standard deviations of data surprises. A positive reading of United Kingdom Economic Surprise Index suggests that economic releases have on balance [been] beating consensus. The indices are calculated daily in a rolling three-month window. The weights of economic indicators are derived from relative high-frequency spot FX impacts of 1 standard deviation data surprises. The indices also employ a time decay function to replicate the limited memory of markets.

UK Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend

UK Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend is in an uptrend when the last value is higher than its twelve-month moving average and its twelve-month moving average slope is positive (last twelve-month moving average is higher than the previous month twelve-month moving average) and vice-versa. MacroVar calculates the number of months the UK Citigroup Economic Surprise Index has recorded new highs or lows. UK Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend change is assumed when the specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.

UK Citigroup Economic Surprise Index momentum

UK Citigroup Economic Surprise Index momentum is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M) return.

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