North Dakota economy

North Dakota economic growth

Economic growth of the state of North Dakota is tracked by the GDP growth indicator. However, GDP is a lagging indicator since it reports what economic growth was in the previous quarter. MacroVar aims to predict what economic growth will be in six to twelve months. Consequently, MacroVar tracks the following leading economic indicators: North Dakota Leading economic index, Initial jobless claims, Building permits and Real Estate prices. Current economic growth conditions of the state of North Dakota are monitored using North Dakota coincident economic activity index.

Indicator Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend ZS5Y Trend Update
Leading Index North Dakota 3.05 2.07 0.47343 1.14789 1.0 0.866667 2020-02-29
Coincident Economic Activity Index for North Dakota 138.81 136.37 0.0178925 0.154441 1.0 1 2021-04-01
Initial Jobless Claims North Dakota 501 526 -0.0475285 -0.137694 -1.0 0.533333 2021-05-29
Build Permits North Dakota 270.17 498.962 -0.458536 -0.201689 -1.0 0.45 2021-04-01
Total Gross Domestic Product North Dakota 55789.8 54043.7 0.032309 0.0503646 -1.0 0 2020-10-01
Unemployment Rate in North Dakota 4.2 4.4 -0.0454545 -0.517241 -1.0 0.0166667 2021-04-01

North Dakota Unemployment

North Dakota unemployment is a very important economic indicator affecting the state’s economic condition. MacroVar monitors initial jobless claims which is reported every week and is an important indicator of current economic conditions. North Dakota unemployment is reported later in the month.

Indicator Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend ZS5Y Trend Update

North Dakota Real Estate

Construction activity is a very important economic indicator for the economy of North Dakota. MacroVar monitors the following indicators: North Dakota building permits, real estate prices, real estate rent and the house price index. Building permits is a leading economic indicator measuring the number of permits required to start construction. Hence, it predicts the construction activity in the state for the following year. When economic growth is strong and financial conditions are normal, developers are optimistic about future economic growth and they apply for new building permits to begin new construction projects and vice-versa.

Indicator Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend ZS5Y Trend Update
Build Permits North Dakota 270.17 498.962 -0.458536 -0.201689 -1.0 0.45 2021-04-01
Leading Index North Dakota 3.05 2.07 0.47343 1.14789 1.0 0.866667 2020-02-29
All-Transactions House Price Index for North Dakota 384.9 379.3 1.48 6.4 UP 100 2021-01-13
Coincident Economic Activity Index for North Dakota 138.81 136.37 0.0178925 0.154441 1.0 1 2021-04-01

North Dakota Cost of living

North Dakota cost of living is monitored using the following indicators: Real per capita personal income, Real trade-weighted value of the dollar, North Dakota Zillow rent levels, Regional price parities all items

Indicator Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend ZS5Y Trend Update
Real Per Capita Personal Income for North Dakota 58604 57053 2.72 0 UP 0 2021-01-13
Real Trade-Weighted Value of the dollar for North Dakota 109.244 109.694 -0.00410232 -0.092311 -1.0 0.0166667 2021-03-01
Regional Price Parities: All Items for North Dakota 89.3 90.7 -1.54 0 Down 0 2021-01-13

North Dakota Economic news

MacroVar monitors news and economic developments related to the North Dakota economy.

Economic Indicators Overview

  • Leading Index: The leading index for North Dakota state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state’s coincident index. The indicator monitors the following variables leading the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times for Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill.
  • Coincident Index: The coincident economic activity index includes the following indicators: nonfarm payroll employment, the unemployment rate, average hours worked in manufacturing and wages and salaries. The trend for North Dakota state index is set to match the trend for GDP growth.
  • Initial Jobless claims: An initial claim is a claim filed by an unemployed individual after a separation from an employer. The claim requests a determination of basic eligibility for the Unemployment insurance program.
  • Building Permits: North Dakota building permits represents the total number of building permits for all structure types.
  • GDP: The total value of goods produced and services provided in North Dakota during one year.
  • Unemployment Rate: North Dakota unemployment rate is the proportion of the labor force that is not currently employed but could be.
  • Real Estate prices (Zillow): MacroVar monitors real estate prices across North Dakota using current prices determined by real estate activity tracked by Zillow.
  • House Price Index: North Dakota House price index summarizes real estate activity using estimated sales prices and appraisal data.
  • Real trade-weighted value of the dollar: This index calculates the inflation-adjusted value of the US dollar against the currencies of countries to which North Dakota exports. The real exchange rates are aggregated across countries for North Dakota using the annual average export share to the country.
  • Regional price parities: Regional price parities (RPPs) are regional price levels expressed as a percentage of the overall national price level for a given year. The price levels are determined by the average prices paid by consumers for the mix of goods and services consumed in the state of North Dakota. Taking the ratio of RPPs shows the difference in price levels across regions.

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