Eurozone Citi economic surprise index

Eurozone’s Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index decreased to 152.0 by -1.94% on June 2021 from 155.0 in the previous month. On a year on year basis Eurozone’s Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index increased by 32.17%. Eurozone’s Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend is up since the current value of 152.0 is higher than the 12 month moving average of 149.75. and the 12 month moving average slope is up. Eurozone’s Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index 5-year percentile is currently at 73.33%.

Eurozone Citi economic surprise index Chart


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Date Value
01-04-22 32,00
08-04-22 31,00
15-04-22 30,00
22-04-22 52,00
29-04-22 53,00
06-05-22 28,00
13-05-22 27,00
20-05-22 22,00
27-05-22 13,00
03-06-22 15,00
10-06-22 31,00
17-06-22 32,00
24-06-22 -26,00
01-07-22 -32,00
08-07-22 -40,00
15-07-22 -48,00
22-07-22 -92,00
29-07-22 -64,00
05-08-22 -51,00
12-08-22 -48,00
19-08-22 -51,00
26-08-22 -33,00
02-09-22 -17,00
09-09-22 -17,00

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Eurozone Citi economic surprise index

Eurozone Citi economic surprise index Statistics

Click here to explore the methodology used for estimating the Eurozone Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index signals presented in the statistics table below.

Eurozone Financial Markets

Market Symbol Last Mom Trend Exh RSI 1D% 1W% 1M% 1Y%
STOXX Europe 600 STOXX 462.77 -1 -0.25 0.69391 36.7305 -0.00574 -0.00276 -0.04276 0.17708
Eurozone ETF EZU 44.77 0.5 -0.5 -1.54835 56.7972 0.03467 0.02613 0.06216 -0.03596
EUR/USD - Euro US Dollar EURUSD 0.9019 0 0.75 1.59231 48.7867 -0.00912 -0.00507 0.00345 0.07343

Euro area Financial News Stream

Eurozone loan growth 2022-09-27 15:40:36

Eurozone Macroeconomic Indicators

Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
balance of trade ea.balanceoftrade -33978.5 -25419.7 33.67 -265.22 Down Down 1.67 2022-09-15
bank lending rate ea.banks.lendingrate 1.75 1.84 -0.048913 0.232394 -1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
business confidence ea.bizconfidence 1.26 1.98 -36.36 -13.1 Down Down 60 2022-06-06
capacity utilization ea.caputilization 82.4 82.6 -0.24 0.61 UP UP 71.67 2022-07-31
capital flows ea.capitalflows 31.45 37.26 -15.59 -29.94 UP Down 55 2022-09-25
car registrations ea.carregistrations 680.99 608.41 11.93 2.55 UP UP 26.67 2022-09-19
central bank balance sheet ea.cb.assets 8756880 8759120 -0.03 -0.65 Down Down 73.33 2022-09-22
composite pmi ea.comppmi 48.2 48.9 -1.43 -14.23 Down Down 10 2022-09-22
construction pmi ea.constrpmi 44.2 45.7 -3.28 -10.71 Down Down 8.33 2022-09-03
consumer confidence ea.consconfidence -28.8 -25 15.2 620 Down Down 1.67 2022-09-22
consumer confidence price trends ea.consconfidence.trends 36.8 42.7 -13.82 22.67 Down UP 86.67 2022-09-03
consumer price index cpi ea.cpi 117.78 117.14 0.55 9.46 UP UP 100 2022-09-03
core inflation rate ea.coreinflationrate 3.5 2.9 20.69 400 UP UP 100 2022-05-04
current account ea.currentaccount -10.1 3.24 -411.73 -126.12 Down Down 3.33 2022-09-21
current account to gdp ea.currentaccountgdp 2.5 1.9 31.58 -933.33 UP UP 0 2022-07-12
deposit interest rate ea.depositrate -0.5 -0.5 0 0 -1.0 -1.0 0.333333 2021-01-31
exports ea.exports 235508 251448 -6.34 13.4 UP UP 95 2022-09-15
external debt ea.externaldebt 16415900 16025300 2.44 11.97 UP UP 100 2022-07-08
foreign exchange reserves ea.fxreserves 83.98 83.48 0.6 16.1 UP UP 100 2022-09-19
gdp ea.gdp 14493.2 13027.3 11.25 12.48 UP UP 100 2022-07-07
Real GDP ea.realgdp 2902 2879.79 0.77 2.08 UP UP 100 2022-09-03
gdp growth ea.gdpgrowth 0.6 0.2 200 20 UP UP 66.67 2022-06-11
gdp growth annual ea.gdpgrowthan 4 5.4 -25.93 122.22 UP UP 95.83 2022-07-31
gold reserves ea.goldres 504.77 504.77 0 0 -1.0 -1.0 0.483333 2020-08-01
government budget ea.govbudget -5.1 -7.1 -28.17 -17.74 Down UP 0 2022-04-29
government debt ea.govdebt 11107700 9937020 0.11781 0.818407 1.0 1.0 0 2019-01-31
government debt to gdp ea.govdebtgdp 95.6 97.2 -1.65 26.29 UP UP 0 2022-04-29
housing index ea.housingindex 141.8 139.41 1.71 22.27 UP UP 100 2022-07-08
imports ea.imports 269486 276868 -2.67 44.12 UP UP 96.67 2022-09-15
industrial production ea.indproduction -2.4 2.2 -209.09 -121.82 Down Down 21.67 2022-09-15
industrial production mom ea.indproductionmm -2.3 1.1 -309.09 -675 Down Down 5 2022-09-15
inflation cpi ea.inflationcpi 8.6 8.1 6.17 352.63 UP UP 100 2022-06-28
interbank rate ea.interbankrate -0.54 -0.55 -0.0181818 -0.0181818 1.0 1.0 0.191667 2021-06-02
interest rate ea.interestrate 0.05 0.05 0 0 1.0 -1.0 0.791667 2016-03-09
lending rate ea.lendingrate 0.25 0.25 0 0 -1.0 -1.0 0.508333 2021-05-28
loan growth ea.loangrowth 4.5 4.5 0 9.76 UP UP 91.67 2022-09-27
loans to private sector ea.loanprivate 5039440 4994080 0.91 3.65 UP UP 100 2022-08-23
long term unemployment rate ea.ltunemploymentrate 3.2 3 0.0666667 -0.219512 -1.0 -1.0 0.391667 2020-10-01
Eurozone ea.manpmi 48.5 49.6 -2.22 -21.01 Down Down 26.67 2022-09-22
money supply m1 ea.msm1 11622600 11570600 0.45 7.06 UP UP 100 2022-08-23
money supply m2 ea.msm2 15164400 15069500 0.63 6.21 UP UP 100 2022-08-23
money supply m3 ea.msm3 15936900 15849700 0.55 5.91 UP UP 100 2022-08-23
Producer Price Index ea.producerprices 156.8 150.8 3.98 37.91 UP UP 100 2022-09-03
PPI Index ea.producerpricesch 37.9 36 5.28 267.96 UP UP 100 2022-09-03
retail sales MoM ea.retailsales 0.3 -1 -130 -85 UP Down 50 2022-09-03
retail sales ea.retailsalesan -0.9 -3.2 -71.88 -126.47 Down Down 13.33 2022-09-03
services pmi ea.servpmi 48.9 49.8 -1.81 -13.3 Down Down 18.33 2022-09-22
unemployment rate ea.unemploymentrate 7.9 8.1 -0.0246914 0.0533333 -1.0 1.0 0.816667 2021-05-31
youth unemployment rate ea.ytunemploymentrate 13.6 13.1 3.82 -26.88 Down Down 3.33 2022-08-06
zew economic sentiment index ea.zewsentiment -60.7 -54.9 10.56 -295.18 Down Down 1.67 2022-09-13
zew economic current index ea.zewcurrent 45.2 47.2 -4.24 -13.08 -1.0 -1.0 0 2021-01-12
Construction Confidence ea.esi.constr 2.9 -2.3 -2.26087 -1.1859 1.0 1.0 0.383333 2021-04-01
Consumer Confidence ea.esi.cons -8.1 -10.8 -0.25 -0.630137 1.0 1.0 0.0166667 2021-04-01
Industrial Confidence ea.esi.man 10.7 2.1 4.09524 -1.32923 1.0 1.0 0.383333 2021-04-01
Retail Confidence ea.esi.ret -3.1 -12.2 -0.745902 -0.89701 1.0 1.0 0.45 2021-04-01
Services Confidence ea.esi.serv 2.1 -9.6 -1.21875 -1.0544 1.0 1.0 0.216667 2021-04-01
ESI - Economic Composite ea.esi.conf 110.3 100.9 0.0931615 0.626844 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-01

Eurozone Citi economic surprise index analysis

Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) are objective and quantitative measures of economic news. They are defined as weighted historical standard deviations of data surprises. A positive reading of Eurozone Economic Surprise Index suggests that economic releases have on balance [been] beating consensus. The indices are calculated daily in a rolling three-month window. The weights of economic indicators are derived from relative high-frequency spot FX impacts of 1 standard deviation data surprises. The indices also employ a time decay function to replicate the limited memory of markets.

Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend

Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend is in an uptrend when the last value is higher than its twelve-month moving average and its twelve-month moving average slope is positive (last twelve-month moving average is higher than the previous month twelve-month moving average) and vice-versa. MacroVar calculates the number of months the Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index has recorded new highs or lows. Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index trend change is assumed when the specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.

Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index momentum

Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index momentum is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M) return.