Financial Advice & Professional Research for Investing and Business
- MacroVar analyzes real-time financial and macroeconomic data to help you make the right financial and business decisions. Personalize MacroVar to your needs and interests by specifying your monitors, factors, financial and risk profile.
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MacroVar Report (Update: January 22, 2021)
- Global MacroVar risk index closed at -0.1 as of 22th January 2021 indicating low global financial risk and hence favoring risky financial assets. Values lower than 0 indicating low risk conditions while values higher than 0 up to +2 indicate high risk conditions. The subcomponents of MacroVar risk index where calculated as follows: Stock Risk: 0.2, Bond Risk: 0.2, FX Risk: -0.2, Liquidity Risk: -0.6, Emerging Markets Risk: -0.6.
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MacroVar Use Cases
- Investors & Traders
Monitor global macroeconomic and financial market conditions with MacroVar financial analytics. MacroVar allows you to identify new trading opportunities and control your portfolio risk by providing quantitative models, multi-factor analysis, backtesting and risk management tools. - Entrepreneurs & Managers
Your business is affected by financial markets and macroeconomic conditions. MacroVar is a free economic and financial advisor data platform designed by economists and data analysts to help you outsmart your competition, identify new opportunities, and avoid risks by predicting how economic and financial market conditions will affect your business. - Individuals
MacroVar is your free financial advisor designed to help you increase your income, avoid risks, invest wisely, and control your assets, debt, and finances. Our aim is to help you solve your financial issues, build wealth, and secure your future by acquiring financial knowledge and new skills.
MacroVar Financial Model Logic
- MacroVar uses a systematic top down approach to analyze financial markets, financial risk, macroeconomic fundamentals, global liquidity and financial news. MacroVar models are free and their logic is open and transparent. MacroVar analyzes financial markets combining the following indicators:
Financial Markets
MacroVar uses a top down framework to analyze financial markets as well. The major financial markets which affect the rest of the other financial assets are: Stocks, Volatility Futures, Stock Sectors & Industries, Bonds, Credit Spreads, Currencies, Yield Curves and Commodities - Financial Risk Model
MacroVar Risk model monitors equity risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, bond risk, FX risk, Banking risk and Country risk and has captured risk off periods and stock market corrections. Explore how to use the model's analysis for risk management. - MacroVar Financial Model Overview
The core logic MacroVar models is the following: There are two market environments: Risk On periods during which funds flow from safe assets to risky assets and Risk Off periods where funds flow from risky assets to low-risk assets.
- Risk Assets (Risk-On): Stocks, Cyclical Commodities, Cyclical Sectors / Industries, High Yield Bonds, Cyclical Currencies, Emerging Markets (Capital flows to emerging markets in search for higher yields, higher growth rates and hence profits)
- Safe Assets (Risk-Off): US Treasuries, German Bunds, Defensive Sectors / Industries, US Dollar DXY, Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, Gold
- The most important asset correlation is between the stocks and Bonds. During risk on periods stocks rise while bonds are sold and vice-versa. Equities are closely linked with credit hence MacroVar monitors closely the performance of corporate reads for US and EU markets. Explore in detail MacroVar Financial model top down approach. - MacroVar Macroeconomic models
MacroVar analyzes the economic growth of the global economy as a whole and the 35 largest economies in the world by monitoring macroeconomic and financial indicators for each country.
The two most important economic indicators of a country are real economic growth and inflation. An economy is healthy when it generates stable economic growth with low inflation. Policymakers (government & central bank) use fiscal and monetary policy to inject liquidity during slowdowns (to solve weak economic growth) and withdraw liquidity from an overheating economy (to solve high inflation).
The four economic environments
Financial assets are affected by economic growth and inflation expectations. The performance of each financial asset for each economic environment is explained below.
MacroVar uses leading economic indicators for each country to predict economic and inflation expectations. More specifically, PMI, ISM and ESI components are used for structuring this model. Read more about analyzing a country’s macroeconomics in detail.
Explore the current state of the Global economy and individual countries here.
