Peru Economy & Peru Markets Data analytics

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MacroVar monitors real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for the Peru economy and Peru markets by analyzing financial, economic data and real-time news using statistical models. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with explanations of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

Peru Overview

 
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Peru Overview presents the current trends and dynamics of the major Peru financial markets and economic indicators. Select Details to get more information for each indicator, use Factors to monitor current statistical analysis of financial & economic factors affecting the specific asset, and select research to read the latest MacroVar research for the specific asset/indicator.


SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
Bolsa de Valores de Lima SAA (BVL)BVL30156.91.210.0334.7
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.75High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
Bolsa de Valores de Lima SAA (BVL)BVL30156.91.210.0334.7
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.75High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Peru Capped ETFEPU42.130.5035.33
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.75High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Peru Sol US Dollar (PEN/USD)PENUSD0.260.570-4.48
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum50.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend1.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Peru Credit Default SwapsCDS.Peru0000
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Z-scoresPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
GDP Growth (annual)pe.gdpgrowthan1.4-450-450-69
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Unemployment ratepe.unemploymentrate0-8-8-3
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownMedium2024-07-15 11:12:40Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownMedium2024-07-15 11:12:40A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
Bolsa de Valores de Lima SAA (BVL)BVL30156.91.210.0334.7
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.75High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Peru Sol US Dollar (PEN/USD)PENUSD0.260.570-4.48
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum50.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend1.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Peru Credit Default SwapsCDS.Peru0000
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Z-scoresPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description

Peru Manufacturing

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to Peru manufacturing. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of goods in the Peru economy.


1IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
industrial productionpe.indproduction-4.8-9.565-50-371UPDown

Peru consumer sentiment

  
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Consumer spending makes up 67% of the U.S. Economy. MacroVar monitors direct consumer reports like the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and indirect macroeconomic indicators related to Peru employment and Peru consumer activity (building permits).


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
consumer confidencepe.consconfidence90.095s-55DownUP
unemployment ratepe.unemploymentrate6.67.2s-8-3DownDown

Peru Construction

  
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The Peru construction sector is a significant component of the Peru economy. MacroVar monitors leading indicators of construction activity like building permits and new home sales.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope

Peru Macroeconomic outlook

  
Peru Macroeconomic outlook presents an overview of the long-term fundamental coincident factors of the Peru economy. Components monitored are the country's rserves, debt, Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy. Explore Peru macroeconomic model in detail.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Real GDPpe.realgdp134528.56148881-105DownUP
gdp growth annualpe.gdpgrowthan1.4-0.4-450-69DownDown
interest ratepe.interestrate5.755.750-26DownDown
unemployment ratepe.unemploymentrate6.67.2-8-3DownDown
external debtpe.externaldebt105696.0102754320UPUP
government debt to gdppe.govdebtgdp33.835.9-633UPUP
current accountpe.currentaccount678.81935.6-65-136UPUP
current account to gdppe.currentaccountgdp0.6-4-115-132UPUP
exportspe.exports5596.75170.48-9UPDown
importspe.imports4268.74332.1-12UPUP
foreign exchange reservespe.fxreserves73967.074062-02UPUP
gold reservespe.goldres34.6734.670-0DownDown
government revenuespe.govrev12146.013275-9-32DownDown
fiscal expenditurepe.fiscalexp11435.011602-17DownUP

Peru Inflation

  
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MacroVar monitors major inflation indexes and subcompoonents based on Bureau of Labour Statistics monthly report.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%Trend
core inflation ratepe.coreinflationrate3.263.36-3-48

Peru Employment

  
MacroVar monitors leading indicators (ISM/NMI employment activity), coincident (Initial & Continuing jobless claims) and lagging indicators of Peru employment. Peru employment is one of the major factors affecting Peru monetary policy.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
unemployment ratepe.unemploymentrate6.67.2-8-3DownDown

Peru Monetary Policy

  
Peru Monetary policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Fed's balance sheet and interest rates.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
interest ratepe.interestrate5.755.750-26DownDown
money supply m1pe.msm1139633.013797112UPUP
money supply m2pe.msm2302352.030172204UPUP
government debt to gdppe.govdebtgdp33.835.9-633UPUP
loans to private sectorpe.loanprivate248595.02459931-2UPDown
Peru Credit Rating (S&P)RATING.S&P.PE
Peru Credit Rating (Moody's)RATING.MOODYS.PE
Peru Credit Rating (Fitch)RATING.FITCH.PE

Peru Fiscal Policy

  
Peru Fiscal policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Treasury's decisions on government spending, revenues and budget surplus/deficit.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
government revenuespe.govrev12146.013275-9-32DownDown
fiscal expenditurepe.fiscalexp11435.011602-17DownUP
government budgetpe.govbudget-1.7-2.5-32750UPDown
Government budgetpe.govbudgetvalue-3557.0-186391-205UPDown
government debt to gdppe.govdebtgdp33.835.9-633UPUP

Peru Trade

  
Peru trade activity is monitored by tracking Trade and Capital flows.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
current accountpe.currentaccount678.81935.6-65-136UPUP
current account to gdppe.currentaccountgdp0.6-4-115-132UPUP
balance of tradepe.balanceoftrade1694.0700.814283UPUP
importspe.imports4268.74332.1-12UPUP
exportspe.exports5596.75170.48-9UPDown
external debtpe.externaldebt105696.0102754320UPUP
foreign exchange reservespe.fxreserves73967.074062-02UPUP
gold reservespe.goldres34.6734.670-0DownDown