Portugal News, Economy & Financial Markets

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MacroVar analyzes in real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for Portugal's economy and financial markets by monitoring financial, economic data and real-time news. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with free explanation of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

Portugal Markets Overview

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Overview presents a real-time snapshot of financial and economic developments in Portugal. The Portuguese stock market, bonds, currency and credit market dynamics are analyzed along with Portuguese macroeconomic dynamics.




Portugal Economic Sectors

 
Economic sectors analyzes in detail the dynamics of the Portuguese economy by economic sector and subsector based on data obtained from Eurostat.  Explore MacroVar macroeconomic calculations.

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Sector Last Previous Trend Momentum 1-Year History M/M Q/Q Y/Y Subsectors Details
General Economic Conditions 96.1 94.7 blank blank blank 1 -1 -2 blank
Subsector Last Previous Trend Momentum 1 Year M/M Q/Q Y/Y
Description
The economic sentiment indicator (ESI) is a composite indicator produced by the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN) of the European Commission. Its objective is to track GDP growth at Member states, EU and euro area levels. The ESI is a weighted average of the balances of replies to selected questions addressed to firms in five sectors covered by the EU Business and Consumer Surveys and to consumers. The sectors covered are industry (weight 40 %), services (30 %), consumers (20 %), retail (5 %) and construction (5 %). Balances are constructed as the difference between the percentages of respondents giving positive and negative replies. EU and euro-area aggregates are calculated on the basis of the national results and seasonally adjusted. The ESI is scaled to a long-term mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 10. Thus, values above 100 indicate above-average economic sentiment and vice versa. Data are seasonally adjusted (SA). Further details on the construction of the ESI can be found in the user guide of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys.
Manufacturing sector -8.0 -10.8 blank blank blank -26 -19 10 blank blank
Subsector Last Previous Trend Momentum 1 Year M/M Q/Q Y/Y
Manufacturing of food products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of beverages - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of tobacco products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of textiles - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of wearing apparel - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of leather and related products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of wood products (except furniture) - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of paper and paper products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Printing and recorded media - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of coal and petroleum products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of chemicals and chemical products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of pharmaceutical products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of rubber and plastic products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of other non-metallic mineral products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of basic metals - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of fabricated metal products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of computer, electronic and optical products - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of electrical equipment - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of machinery and equipment - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of motor vehicles, trailers - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of other transport equipment - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Manufacturing of furniture - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Other manufacturing - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Repair and installation of machinery & equipment - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Description
The monthly tendency survey provides a quick and up-to-date overview of actual conditions and expectations within the manufacturing industries. The survey is directly connected to and defined by the Business and Consumer Survey joint harmonized program as managed by the Directorate-Generale for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Services sector 0.9 -0.8 blank blank blank -212 -79 -91 blank blank
Subsector Last Previous Trend Momentum 1 Year M/M Q/Q Y/Y
Architectural, engineering, technical analysis - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Land transport & transport via pipelines - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Water transport - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Air transport - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Warehousing and Support activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Postal and courier activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Accommodation - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Food & Beverage Service activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Publishing activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Video, TV, Sound, Music Activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Programming & broadcasting activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Telecommunications - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Computer programming & consulting - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Information Service activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Financial service activities (insurance & pension funds excluded) - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Insurance, reinsurance, pension funding - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Support Financial Services & Insurance Activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Real estate activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Legal & Accounting activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Management, Consulting and Administration Activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Scientific research & development - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Advertising & market research - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Other professional, scientific & technical activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Veterinary activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Rental & leasing activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Employment activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Travel services - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Security & investigation activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Buildings and landscape services - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Admnistration, office support, business support activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Creative, arts & entertainment activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Libraries, Archives, Museums, Cultural activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Gambling & betting activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Sports activities, amusement activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Membership organisations activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Repair of personal and household goods - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Other personal service activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Description
The monthly tendency survey provides a quick and up-to-date overview of actual conditions and expectations within the Services. The survey is directly connected to and defined by the Business and Consumer Survey joint harmonized programme as managed by the Directorate-Generale for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission. Within same programme is also carried out monthly tendency surveys on Manufacturing Industries, Construction, Retail Trade and Consumer expectations as well as the biannual survey on Manufacturing Industry Investments.
Retail sector 2.7 3.2 blank blank blank -16 -40 0 blank blank
Subsector Last Previous Trend Momentum 1 Year M/M Q/Q Y/Y
Trade & repair of motor vehicles & motorcycles - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Sale of motor vehicles - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Maintenance of motor vehicles & sale of accessories - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Retail trade (motor vehicles & motorcycles excluded) - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Retail sale of Food, Beverages, Tobacco - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Retail sale of automotive fuel - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Retail sale of other goods - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Description
The monthly tendency survey provides a quick and up-to-date overview of actual conditions and expectations within the retail trade. The survey is directly connected to and defined by the Business and Consumer Survey joint harmonized programme as managed by the Directorate-Generale for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission. Within same programme is also carried out monthly tendency surveys on Manufacturing Industries, Construction, Services and Consumer expectations as well as the biannual survey on Manufacturing Industry Investments.
Consumer sector -30.2 -27.5 blank blank blank 10 34 -20 blank
Subsector Last Previous Trend Momentum 1 Year M/M Q/Q Y/Y
Description
The purpose of the tendency survey for the consumer industry is to provide a fast and up-to-date picture of conditions and expectations in the consumer industry. The survey is directly connected to and defined by the Business and Consumer Survey joint harmonized programme as managed by the Directorate-Generale for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission. Within same programme is also carried out monthly tendency surveys on Manufacturing Industries, Construction, Services and Consumer expectations as well as the biannual survey on Manufacturing Industry Investments.
Construction sector -1.9 -2.1 blank blank blank -10 -32 -51 blank blank
Subsector Last Previous Trend Momentum 1 Year M/M Q/Q Y/Y
Construction of buildings - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Civil engineering - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Specialised construction activities - Composite Get Premium Access to Subsector Analytics
Description
The purpose of the tendency survey for the construction industry is to provide a fast and up-to-date picture of conditions and expectations in the construction industry. The survey is directly connected to and defined by the Business and Consumer Survey joint harmonized programme as managed by the Directorate-Generale for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission. Within same programme is also carried out monthly tendency surveys on Manufacturing Industries, Construction, Services and Consumer expectations as well as the biannual survey on Manufacturing Industry Investments.
Employment dynamics 108.0 106.2 blank blank blank 2 1 -3 blank
Subsector Last Previous Trend Momentum 1 Year M/M Q/Q Y/Y
Description
The purpose of the tendency survey for employment is to provide a fast and up-to-date picture of conditions and expectations in employment for the country. The survey is directly connected to and defined by the Business and Consumer Survey joint harmonized programme as managed by the Directorate-Generale for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.


Portugal Real-Time News

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Newsflow
Time Headlines See All News >>
09:41:37 CFTC Holdings as of January 23rd
16:57:47 The Finance Minister of Italy views the possibility of rate cuts in the summer as positive news.
10:02:48 Expectations for the Euro area's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the next 12 months have dropped to 3.2% as of November.
07:27:54 Preparing for the European session with a refreshing morning juice.
13:21:39 According to ECB's Nagel, it is premature to talk about implementing interest rate reductions at this point.
13:21:38 According to Nagel from the ECB, markets can be excessively optimistic at times.
13:21:37 According to Nagel from the ECB, the level of inflation remains excessively high.
13:21:36 Nagel from the ECB stated that the ECB will make decisions on a meeting by meeting basis, taking into account the available data.
07:19:44 Asia Market Wrap: Stocks rise as traders increase expectations for a Fed interest rate cut.
20:43:12 According to de Cos from the ECB, future actions by the ECB will be determined by data and there is a significant level of uncertainty.
20:43:11 ECB's de Cos suggests that the euro-area economy likely experienced a period of little or no growth in the fourth quarter of 2023.
20:43:10 According to ECB's de Cos, inflation has exceeded initial expectations.
20:43:10 According to de Cos from the ECB, the deceleration of the inflation rate in 2024 will be less rapid.
10:36:54 Preparing for the European session with a morning juice.
10:36:49 Complete report on French Industrial Production in November 2023
10:36:47 ECB's de Guindos expects the deceleration of disinflation observed in 2023 to ease in 2024, with a temporary pause expected at the start of the year.
10:36:46 According to de Guindos of the ECB, the economic outlook shows a tendency towards negative outcomes.
10:36:45 ECB's de Guindos expresses more disappointment over growth developments.
10:36:44 ECB Vice President de Guindos states that upcoming ECB decisions will remain reliant on data.
10:36:42 According to the ECB's de Guindos, there is a possibility of experiencing a technical recession in the second half of 2023.

Portugal Economic Calendar

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Economic calendar presents real-time updates for actual, forecasts and consensus values of economic indicators and updates related to Portugal's economy.




Portugal Financial Markets


MacroVar analytics monitors the following Portuguese financial markets. MacroVar models monitor a vast of financial and macroeconomic factors affecting each financial market. Click on a specific financial market to get detailed analysis.


Market Symbol Last Mom Trend Exh RSI 1D% 1W% 1M% 1Y%
PSI 20 PSI20 6576.12 1 1 3.2566 73.8195 0.00059 0.0214 0.05601 0.13964
Portugal 20 ETF PGAL 9.7809 0.5 -0.75 -1.16246 61.2887 0.00729 0.05171 0.07484 0.04833
Portugal 10-Year Bond Yield PT.10Y 3.397 -1 0.75 0.70854 39.5641 -0.01736 -0.04525 -0.06134 0.11268
Portugal 5-Year Bond Yield PT.5Y 2.89 -1 0.25 0.25024 42.0195 0.00139 -0.03635 -0.03506 0.09057
Portugal 2-year bond yield PT.2Y 3.049 0.5 1 1.11818 53.1 -2.06 -1.26 1.74 43.96
Portugal Yield Curve PT.YC 0.371 0 0.5 0.2333 49.2805 -0.12293 -0.09512 -0.1352 -0.58686
Portugal Credit Default Swaps CDS.Portugal 43 -1 -1 -1.96205 37.4265 -0.01149 0 -0.07527 -0.22523

Portugal Macroeconomic Indicators


MacroVar analytics monitors the following Portugal's economic indicators. Click on a specific macroeconomic indicator to get detailed analysis.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope Percentile Update
balance of trade pt.balanceoftrade -2399.75 -2187.22 10 -17 Down UP 28 2023-10-31
bank lending rate pt.banks.lendingrate 5.7 5.55 3 156 UP UP 97 2023-06-30
banks balance sheet pt.banks.bs 463136 459267 1 -1 UP Down 23 2023-12-31
building permits pt.buildingpermits 1437 1909 -25 -29 Down Down 2 2023-12-31
business confidence pt.bizconfidence 1.5 1.2 25 25 Down UP 98 2023-12-31
capacity utilization pt.caputilization 81.32 81.5 -0 3 UP UP 61 2023-09-30
car registrations pt.carregistrations 16635 15769 5 13 Down UP 68 2023-12-31
central bank balance sheet pt.cb.assets 185961 185725 0 -6 Down Down 22 2024-01-31
consumer confidence pt.consconfidence -26.9 -28.2 -5 -29 UP UP 21 2023-12-31
consumer price index cpi pt.cpi 119.47 119.69 -0 2 UP UP 60 2023-10-31
core inflation rate pt.coreinflationrate 2.5 2.64 -5 -65 Down Down 38 2023-10-31
current account pt.currentaccount 518.29 207.68 150 -231 UP UP 12 2023-11-30
current account to gdp pt.currentaccountgdp -1.2 0.4 -400 -90 UP UP 0 2020-01-31
exports pt.exports 6308.47 5341.8 18 -8 Down Down 12 2023-09-30
external debt pt.externaldebt 398714 403246 -1 -4 Down Down 8 2023-09-30
fiscal expenditure pt.fiscalexp 64390.3 57640.4 12 2 UP UP 27 2023-12-31
foreign exchange reserves pt.fxreserves 32090.9 31942.2 0 2 UP UP 19 2024-01-31
gdp pt.gdp 255.2 255.53 -0 4 UP UP 0 2023-01-31
Real GDP pt.realgdp 54295.6 53849.4 1 17 UP UP 98 2024-03-31
gdp growth pt.gdpgrowth 0.8 -0.2 -500 167 Down UP 86 2023-12-31
gdp growth annual pt.gdpgrowthan 1.9 2.6 -27 -130 Down UP 45 2023-09-30
gold reserves pt.goldres 382.57 382.5 0 0 UP Down 63 2020-09-30
government budget pt.govbudget -0.4 -2.9 -86 -96 UP UP 0 2022-01-31
Government budget pt.govbudgetvalue -331.9 -709.4 -53 -94 UP UP 10 2023-12-31
government debt pt.govdebt 279911 279976 -0 5 UP UP 8 2023-09-30
government debt to gdp pt.govdebtgdp 112.4 124.5 -10 1 Down UP 0 2023-01-31
government revenues pt.govrev 64058.3 56931 13 13 UP UP 78 2023-12-31
imports pt.imports 8479.84 7715.73 10 -12 Down Down 12 2023-09-30
industrial production pt.indproduction -5 -1.14 339 1150 Down Down 95 2023-11-30
industrial production mom pt.indproductionmm -0.8 3.7 -122 -122 Down Down 42 2023-11-30
inflation cpi pt.inflationcpi 2.3 1.42 62 -73 Down Down 31 2024-01-31
interbank rate pt.interbankrate 3.67 3.54 4 9075 UP UP 100 2023-07-31
interest rate pt.interestrate 3.5 3 17 6900 UP UP 100 2023-03-17
loan growth pt.loangrowth -1.1 -3.1 -65 -169 Down Down 20 2023-07-31
loans to private sector pt.loanprivate 73398.1 72393.3 1 -3 Down Down 33 2023-12-31
long term unemployment rate pt.ltunemploymentrate 2.3 2.6 -12 -8 Down Down 45 2023-03-31
money supply m0 pt.msm0 33931.9 34360.4 -1 -0 Down Down 30 2024-01-31
money supply m1 pt.msm1 172569 179560 -4 -15 Down Down 2 2023-12-31
money supply m2 pt.msm2 309759 306536 1 -2 UP Down 7 2023-12-31
Producer Price Index pt.producerprices 124.4 126.1 -1 -7 Down Down 2 2023-06-30
PPI Index pt.producerpricesch -4.4 -6.1 -28 -131 Down Down 37 2023-11-30
retail sales MoM pt.retailsales -0.3 -3.1 -90 -120 Down Down 0 2023-11-30
retail sales pt.retailsalesan 0.5 1.6 -69 -128 Down UP 38 2023-12-31
unemployment rate pt.unemploymentrate 6.6 6.1 8 -18 UP Down 37 2023-09-30
youth unemployment rate pt.ytunemploymentrate 23.1 23 0 21 UP UP 82 2023-11-30
Construction Confidence pt.esi.constr -1.9 -2.1 -1000 -5100 UP UP 0 2024-01-22
Consumer Confidence pt.esi.cons -30.2 -27.5 1000 -2000 Down UP 2800 2024-01-22
Industrial Confidence pt.esi.man -8 -10.8 -2600 1000 Down Down 4700 2024-01-22
Retail Confidence pt.esi.ret 2.7 3.2 -1600 0 Down Down 7100 2024-01-22
Services Confidence pt.esi.serv 0.9 -0.8 -21200 -9100 Down Down 0 2024-01-22
ESI - Economic Composite pt.esi.conf 99.9 99 1 -6 Down Down 33 2023-06-30

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