United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index
US Leading Economic Index (LEI) is a leading indicator of the US economy. Explore MacroVar analysis of the leading economic index (LEI). The US Leading economic index (LEI) is published by the conference board every month. The LEI has historically lead the business cycle by three months. Its peaks and troughs tend to lead peaks and troughs of the business cycle.
United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index: 110.3 (-0.18%)
Last Update: January 31, 2023
Last Update: January 31, 2023
United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index closed down 110.3 as of January 31, 2023 from 110.5 from the previous month and 118.6 from last year.
United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index Data & Analytics
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United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index
| Date | Values |
|---|---|
| 2023-01-31 | 110.3 |
| 2022-12-31 | 110.5 |
| 2022-11-30 | 113.5 |
| 2022-10-31 | 114.9 |
| 2022-09-30 | 115.9 |
| 2022-08-31 | 116.2 |
| 2022-07-31 | 116.6 |
| 2022-06-30 | 117.1 |
| 2022-05-31 | 117.9 |
| 2022-04-30 | 118.7 |
| 2022-03-31 | 119.3 |
| 2022-02-28 | 119.4 |
| 2022-01-31 | 118.6 |
| 2021-12-31 | 119.3 |
| 2021-11-30 | 118.8 |
| 2021-10-31 | 118.1 |
| 2021-09-30 | 117.6 |
| 2021-08-31 | 117.3 |
| 2021-07-31 | 116.4 |
| 2021-06-30 | 115.4 |
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United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index Statistics
Click here to explore the methodology used for estimating the United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index signals presented in the statistics table below.| Indicator | Symbol | Actual | Previous | M/M% | Y/Y% | Trend | Slope | ZS5Y | Update |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index | us.lei | 115.9 | 116.4 | -0 | -1 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 22 | 2022-09-30 |
United States Financial Markets
| Market | Symbol | Last | Mom | Trend | Exh | RSI | 1D% | 1W% | 1M% | 1Y% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | SPX | 4019.65 | 100 | 50 | 0 | 56.39 | 1.99 | 1.57 | 0.7 | -13.26 |
| S&P 500 ETF | SPY | 401.97 | 100 | 50 | 0 | 56.93 | 2.07 | 1.7 | 1.73 | -13.85 |
| US Dollar Index (DXY) | DXY | 103.98 | -100 | -75 | 0 | 33.23 | -1.52 | -2.66 | -2.27 | 8.29 |
| United States 10-Year Bond Yield | US.10Y | 3.508 | -100 | -25 | 0 | 40.13 | -0.71 | -6.43 | -7.12 | 134.65 |
| US 5-year bond yield | US.5Y | 3.651 | -100 | -25 | 0 | 38.22 | -3.13 | -6.98 | -6.31 | 193.25 |
| US 30-year bond yield | US.30Y | 3.536 | -100 | -25 | 0 | 37.11 | -0.25 | -7.09 | -10.8 | 85.32 |
| iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | TLT | 107.7 | 100 | 25 | 0 | 62.79 | 0.7 | 5.61 | 10.29 | -28.7 |
| iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond | LQD | 109.67 | 100 | 25 | 0 | 65.14 | 0.78 | 3.02 | 5.41 | -17.78 |
| iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond | HYG | 76.11 | 100 | 25 | 0 | 63.83 | 2.07 | 2.11 | 2.99 | -12.14 |
| iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | IEF | 98.59 | 100 | 25 | 0 | 60.1 | 0.32 | 1.91 | 3.01 | -14.93 |
| SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond | JNK | 93.18 | 100 | 25 | 0 | 62.8 | 2.09 | 1.94 | 3.02 | -13.79 |
| iShares TIPS Bond (TIP) | TIP | 107.09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US 2-year bond yield | US.2Y | 4.218 | -100 | 25 | 0 | 40.58 | -3.39 | -5.66 | -2.92 | 510.42 |
| US Yield Curve | US.YC | -0.512 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US Yield Curve 2s5s | US.YC25 | -0.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US Yield Curve 5s10s | US.YC510 | -0.179 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US Yield Curve 5s30s | US.YC530 | -0.08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US Yield Curve 10s30s | US.YC1030 | 0.099 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| US Yield Curve 2s30s | US.YC0230 | -0.383 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
United States Financial News Stream
United States Macroeconomic Indicators
| Indicator | Symbol | Actual | Previous | M/M% | Y/Y% | Trend | Slope | ZS5Y | Update |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balance of trade | us.balanceoftrade | -68289 | -67210 | 1.61 | -13.41 | UP | UP | 28.33 | 2023-03-16 |
| bank lending rate | us.banks.lendingrate | 6.25 | 5.73 | 9 | 92 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100 | 2022-10-31 |
| building permits | us.buildingpermits | 1339 | 1337 | 0.15 | -28.74 | Down | Down | 31.67 | 2023-03-17 |
| business confidence (ISM) | us.bizconfidence | 50.2 | 50.9 | -1 | -17 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 10 | 2022-10-31 |
| capacity utilization | us.caputilization | 78.8 | 79.66 | -1.08 | 3.41 | UP | UP | 78.33 | 2023-01-21 |
| capital flows | us.capitalflows | 183100 | 26700 | 585.77 | -304.58 | UP | UP | 86.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| car registrations | us.carregistrations | 248.88 | 236.31 | 5.32 | -2.67 | Down | Down | 16.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| case shiller home price index | us.caseshiller | 298.7 | 301.49 | -0.93 | 5.76 | Down | UP | 86.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| composite pmi | us.comppmi | 50.1 | 46.8 | 7.05 | -10.38 | UP | Down | 21.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| consumer confidence | us.us.consconfidence | 63.4 | 67 | -5.37 | 6.73 | UP | UP | 18.33 | 2023-03-17 |
| consumer price index cpi | us.cpi | 300.84 | 299.17 | 0.56 | 7 | UP | UP | 100 | 2023-03-16 |
| continuing jobless claims | us.contjoblessclaims | 1684 | 1713 | -1.69 | 0.9 | UP | UP | 86.67 | 2023-03-17 |
| core inflation rate | us.coreinflationrate | 6.3 | 6.6 | -4.55 | 36.96 | UP | UP | 94.17 | 2022-11-17 |
| core pce price index | us.corepce | 125.5 | 125.13 | 0.3 | 5.54 | UP | UP | 100 | 2023-01-25 |
| core Producer Price Index | us.coreproducerprices | 138.5 | 137.8 | 0.51 | 8.2 | UP | UP | 100 | 2023-03-16 |
| current account | us.currentaccount | -217106 | -238727 | -9.06 | 78.55 | Down | Down | 8.33 | 2022-12-21 |
| current account to gdp | us.currentaccountgdp | -3.6 | -2.9 | 24 | 33 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 0 | 2021-01-31 |
| durable goods orders | us.durablegoods | 5.6 | -1.7 | -429.41 | 366.67 | UP | UP | 95 | 2023-01-25 |
| durable goods orders ex defense | us.durablegoodsexdef | 6.3 | -2.3 | -373.91 | 133.33 | UP | UP | 95 | 2023-01-25 |
| durable goods orders ex transportation | us.durablegoodsextransp | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | -33 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 65 | 2022-08-31 |
| exports | us.exports | 257496 | 249004 | 3.41 | 10.78 | UP | UP | 93.33 | 2023-03-16 |
| external debt | us.externaldebt | 24350900 | 24048800 | 1.26 | 19.24 | UP | UP | 100 | 2022-12-21 |
| fiscal expenditure | us.fiscalexp | 524548 | 486072 | 7.92 | 51.44 | Down | UP | 76.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| foreign direct investment | us.fdi | 69144 | 74407 | -7.07 | 40.66 | UP | UP | 93.33 | 2022-12-21 |
| foreign exchange reserves | us.fxreserves | 37755 | 37209 | 1.47 | -6.44 | UP | Down | 16.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| gdp | us.gdp | 23315.1 | 21060.5 | 10.71 | 55.52 | UP | UP | 100 | 2022-12-21 |
| Real GDP | us.realgdp | 20187.5 | 20054.7 | 0.66 | 6.19 | UP | UP | 100 | 2023-03-16 |
| gdp growth | us.gdpgrowth | 2.6 | -0.6 | -533 | 0 | 100.0 | -100.0 | 50 | 2022-09-30 |
| gdp growth annual | us.gdpgrowthan | 1 | 1.9 | -47.37 | -52.38 | Down | Down | 20 | 2023-01-25 |
| gold reserves | us.goldres | 8133.47 | 8133.46 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -100.0 | 51 | 2021-09-30 |
| government budget | us.govbudget | -5.8 | -12.4 | -53.23 | -33.33 | UP | UP | 13.33 | 2023-03-16 |
| Government budget | us.govbudgetvalue | -262000 | -39000 | 571.79 | -320.73 | Down | Down | 15 | 2023-03-16 |
| government debt | us.govdebt | 31459300 | 31455000 | 0.01 | 4.82 | UP | UP | 100 | 2023-03-16 |
| government debt to gdp | us.govdebtgdp | 129 | 127 | 1.57 | 41.45 | UP | UP | 100 | 2023-01-21 |
| government revenues | us.govrev | 262114 | 447288 | -41.4 | -43.64 | Down | Down | 43.33 | 2023-03-16 |
| housing starts | us.housingstarts | 1309 | 1371 | -4.52 | -23.72 | Down | Down | 35 | 2023-03-17 |
| imports | us.imports | 325785 | 316214 | 3.03 | 4.65 | Down | UP | 86.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| industrial production | us.indproduction | -0.25 | 0.49 | -151.02 | -103.57 | Down | Down | 28.33 | 2023-03-17 |
| industrial production mom | us.indproductionmm | 0 | -1 | -100 | -100 | Down | Down | 37.5 | 2023-03-16 |
| inflation cpi | us.inflationcpi | 6.5 | 7.1 | -8.45 | -7.14 | Down | Down | 78.33 | 2022-12-21 |
| inflation expectations | us.inflationexp | 4.2 | 5 | -16 | -30 | Down | Down | 70 | 2023-03-16 |
| interbank rate | us.interbankrate | 4.64 | 4.64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-15 |
| interest rate | us.interestrate | 4 | 4 | 23 | 700 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 87 | 2022-11-02 |
| job offers | us.joboffers | 10824 | 11234 | -3.65 | -5.45 | Down | Down | 80 | 2023-03-16 |
| jobless claims | us.joblessclaims | 214 | 226 | -5 | -10 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 62 | 2022-10-15 |
| loans to private sector | us.loanprivate | 2818.59 | 2838.01 | -0.68 | 12.52 | UP | UP | 91.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| long term unemployment rate | us.ltunemploymentrate | 1.07 | 1.03 | 4 | -59 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 2 | 2022-02-28 |
| United States | us.manpmi | 46.8 | 46.2 | 1.3 | -15.68 | Down | Down | 6.67 | 2023-01-25 |
| money supply m0 | us.msm0 | 5328400 | 5405400 | -1.42 | -12.7 | Down | Down | 61.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| money supply m1 | us.msm1 | 19641 | 19685.8 | -0.23 | -5.19 | Down | Down | 71.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| money supply m2 | us.msm2 | 21267.1 | 21207.4 | 0.28 | -2.62 | Down | Down | 78.33 | 2023-03-16 |
| mortgage rate | us.mortgrate | 6.71 | 6.79 | -1.18 | 16.9 | UP | UP | 98.33 | 2023-03-16 |
| nahb housing market index | us.nahb | 44 | 42 | 4.76 | -45.68 | Down | Down | 11.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| new home sales | us.newhomesales | 670 | 625 | 7.2 | -19.37 | UP | Down | 50 | 2023-03-16 |
| non manufacturing pmi | us.nonmanpmi | 55.1 | 55.2 | -0.18 | -8.01 | Down | Down | 18.33 | 2023-03-16 |
| Producer Price Index | us.producerprices | 141.08 | 141.71 | -0.44 | 4.54 | UP | UP | 96.67 | 2023-03-17 |
| PPI Index | us.producerpricesch | 4.6 | 5.7 | -19.3 | -54.46 | Down | Down | 65 | 2023-03-16 |
| retail sales MoM | us.retailsales | -0.4 | 3.2 | -112.5 | -123.53 | Down | Down | 24.17 | 2023-03-16 |
| retail sales | us.retailsalesan | 5.4 | 7.7 | -29.87 | -67.47 | Down | Down | 50 | 2023-03-16 |
| retail sales ex autos | us.retailsalesexauto | -0.1 | 2.4 | -104.17 | -106.25 | Down | Down | 32.5 | 2023-03-16 |
| services pmi | us.servpmi | 50.6 | 46.8 | 8.12 | -10.44 | UP | Down | 25 | 2023-03-16 |
| total vehicle sales | us.vehiclesales | 14.89 | 15.88 | -6.23 | -1 | UP | Down | 35 | 2023-03-16 |
| unemployment rate | us.unemploymentrate | 3.6 | 3.4 | 5.88 | -5.26 | UP | Down | 26.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| youth unemployment rate | us.ytunemploymentrate | 8.2 | 8.3 | -1 | -26 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 18 | 2022-03-31 |
| Effective Federal Funds Rate | us.fedfunds.eff | 3.08 | 2.56 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-10-01 |
| BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread | us.baml.hy | 4.67 | 4.81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-14 |
| BofA Merrill Lynch US Corporate BBB Option-Adjusted Spread | us.baml.bbb | 1.87 | 1.94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-14 |
| University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment | us.uomconf | 58.6 | 58.2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-09-01 |
| 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate | us.5y5y | 2.47 | 2.45 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-10-01 |
| BofA Merrill Lynch US Corporate Master Option-Adjusted Spread | us.baml.master | 1.52 | 1.58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-14 |
| BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield BB Option-Adjusted Spread | us.baml.bbb | 3 | 3.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-14 |
| Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit | us.fedfunds.lower | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-16 |
| Cass Freight Index Shipments | us.cassfreight | 1.224 | 1.241 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-10-01 |
| ism manufacturing Employment index | us.ism.man.emp | 50 | 48.7 | 3 | -4 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 37 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism manufacturing index | us.ism.man | 50.2 | 50.9 | -1 | -17 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 10 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism non manufacturing employment | us.ism.serv.emp | 53 | 50.2 | 6 | 0 | 100.0 | -100.0 | 54 | 2022-09-30 |
| ism non manufacturing index | us.ism.serv | 56.7 | 56.9 | -0 | -8 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 18 | 2022-09-30 |
| ism non manufacturing new orders index | us.ism.serv.neword | 60.6 | 61.8 | -2 | -5 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 32 | 2022-09-30 |
| ism non manufacturing prices index | us.ism.serv.prices | 68.7 | 71.5 | -4 | -11 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 8 | 2022-09-30 |
| ism manufacturing New Orders Index | us.ism.man.neworders | 49.2 | 47.1 | 4 | -18 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 24 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism non manufacturing business Activity | us.ism.serv.biz | 59.1 | 60.9 | -3 | -5 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 31 | 2022-09-30 |
| ism manufacturing Production Index | us.ism.man.prod | 52.3 | 50.6 | 3 | -12 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 29 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism manufacturing Supplier Deliveries Index | us.ims.man.supdel | 46.8 | 52.4 | -11 | -38 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 2 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism manufacturing Inventories Index | us.ism.man.inv | 52.5 | 55.5 | -5 | -8 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 12 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism manufacturing Customers inventories Index | us.ism.man.cust | 41.6 | 41.6 | 0 | 31 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 97 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism manufacturing Prices Index | us.ism.man.prices | 46.6 | 51.7 | -10 | -46 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 2 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism manufacturing Backlog of Orders Index | us.ism.man.backlog | 45.3 | 50.9 | -11 | -29 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 3 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism manufacturing Exports Index | us.ism.man.exp | 46.5 | 47.8 | -3 | -15 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 10 | 2022-10-31 |
| ism non manufacturing Inventories Index | us.ism.serv.inv | 44.1 | 46.2 | -5 | -4 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 42 | 2022-09-30 |
| ism non manufacturing supplier deliveries Index | us.ism.serv.supdel | 53.9 | 54.5 | -1 | -22 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 2 | 2022-09-30 |
| ism non manufacturing order backlog Index | us.ism.serv.ordersback | 52.5 | 53.9 | -3 | -15 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 2 | 2022-09-30 |
| ism non manufacturing New Export Orders | us.ism.serv.newexp | 65.1 | 61.9 | 5 | 9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 74 | 2022-09-30 |
| ism non manufacturing Inventory Sentiment Index | us.ism.serv.invsent | 47.2 | 47.1 | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 80 | 2022-09-30 |
| US Consumer Confidence Index | us.consconfidence | 108 | 103.6 | 4 | -2 | 100.0 | -100.0 | 39 | 2022-09-30 |
| Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index | us.lei | 115.9 | 116.4 | -0 | -1 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 22 | 2022-09-30 |
| Coincident Economic Indicator (CEI) - Conference Board | us.cei | 108.9 | 108.7 | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 45 | 2022-09-30 |
| Lagging Economic Indicator (Lagging) - Conference Board | us.lagging | 116.2 | 115.5 | 1 | 9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 98 | 2022-09-30 |
| US Citigroup Economic Surprise Index | us.cesi | 8.9 | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-11 |
| Build Permits United States | us.us.buildingpermits | 1564 | 1542 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-09-01 |
| ECRI US Weekly Leading Index | us.ecri.leading | 141.6 | 141.8 | -0 | -2 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 42 | 2022-10-14 |
| ECRI US Coincident Index | us.ecri.coincident | 191.1 | 190.9 | 0 | 3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 69 | 2022-09-30 |
| ECRI US Lagging Index | us.ecri.lagging | 237.8 | 235.2 | 1 | 10 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 99 | 2022-07-31 |
| University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Expected Index | us.uomconfexp | 56.2 | 58 | -3 | -17 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 22 | 2022-10-31 |
| University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Current Index | us.uomconfcur | 65.3 | 59.7 | 9 | -16 | 100.0 | -100.0 | 37 | 2022-10-31 |
| ICE BofAML US High Yield Master II | us.baml.ushi | 4.67 | 4.81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-14 |
| BofAML US High Yield CCC or Below Option-Adjusted Spread | us.baml.ccc | 12.01 | 12.28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-14 |
| Federal Funds Rate | us.fedfunds | 3.83 | 3.83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-14 |
| S&P/Case-Shiller 10-City Composite Home Price Index | us.10city.caseshiller | 321.28 | 325.658 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-08-01 |
| S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index | us.20city.caseshiller | 309.868 | 314.014 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-08-01 |
| S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Sales Pair Counts | us.20city.caseshiller | 150620 | 158779 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-08-01 |
| ism manufacturing sector - apparel | ism.breadth.apparel | 3 | 13 | -77 | 0 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 78 | 2021-08-02 |
| ism manufacturing sector - Computer & Electronic Products | ism.breadth.confuter | 2 | 5 | -60 | -67 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 30 | 2021-09-02 |
| ism service sector - accomodation | nmi.breadth.accomodation | 1 | 3 | -67 | -75 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 27 | 2021-09-03 |
| NY Empire state Manufacturing | us.ny.empire.state.manufacturing | -9.1 | -1.5 | 507 | -146 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 17 | 2022-10-31 |
| United States Dallas Fed Services Index | us.dalls.fed.services | 26.1 | 21.6 | 21 | -140 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 8 | 2021-04-27 |
| U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers Index | us.chicago.pmi | 26.1 | 21.6 | 21 | -140 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 8 | 2021-04-27 |
| US Richmond Fed Manufacturing | us.richmond.fed.manufacturing | 45.2 | 45.7 | -1 | -34 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 3 | 2022-10-31 |
| US Kansas Fed Manufacturing | us.kansas.fed.manufacturing | -22 | 2 | -1200 | -216 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 23 | 2022-10-31 |
| US Dallas Fed Manufacturing | us.dalls.fed.manufacturing | -19.4 | -17.2 | 13 | -235 | -100.0 | -100.0 | 17 | 2022-10-31 |
| US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing | us.philadelphia.fed.manufacturing | -23.2 | -24.3 | -4.53 | -245 | Down | Down | 6.67 | 2023-03-16 |
| Import Dry Bulk Freight Index(CDFI) | CDFI | 1089.96 | 1097.81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-16 |
| Coastal Bulk (Coal) Freight Index (Daily Index) | CBCF | 785.46 | 766.41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022-11-16 |
| Coastal Bulk Freight Index CBF-IDX-SSE | CBFI | 1104.35 | 1135.85 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-11-11 |
| Shanghai Containerized Freight Index SCF | SCFI | 1443.29 | 1579.21 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-11-11 |
| Containerized Freight Index CCF | CCFI | 1729.92 | 1790.86 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2022-11-11 |
United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index trend
United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index trend is in an uptrend when the last value is higher than its twelve-month moving average and its twelve-month moving average slope is positive (last twelve-month moving average is higher than the previous month twelve-month moving average) and vice-versa. MacroVar calculates the number of months the United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index has recorded new highs or lows. United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index trend change is assumed when the specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.
United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index momentum
United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index momentum is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M) return.
Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index analysis
The US Leading Economic Index (LEI) has 10 components:
- Average weekly hours, manufacturing: This series is found the monthly employment situation report reported by the BLS.
- Average weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance: Jobless claims are reported every week on Thursday by the BLS. Jobless claims one of the best leading indicators.
- Real manufacturers’ new orders, consumer goods, and materials: This series is published by the Census Bureau and is included in the monthly report on factor orders. It is a forward indicator of consumer demand.
- ISM new orders index: The ISM (Institute of Supply Management) releases the ISM new orders index is one the best leading indicators.
- Real manufacturers’ new orders, nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft orders: This series is published by the Census Bureau. It is viewed as a leading indicator of capital equipment spending by businesses.
- Building Permits, new private housing units: Building permits are published monthly by the Census Bureau and considered a very good leading indicator for the housing sector and residential construction.
- Leading Credit Index: The leading credit index is a composite of six financial indicators used to monitor credit conditions. This index tends to spike in the beginning and during economic recessions.
- Stock prices, 500 common stocks: This is the monthly average of the daily closing price of the S&P 500.
- Interest rate spread, US treasury 10-year bond yield federal funds rate: This series is used to monitor the US yield curve. This series tends to widen during economic expansions and narrows and even turns negative (inverted yield curve) prior to economic recessions
- Average consumer expectations for business conditions: This series is the average of the expectations of the consumer sentiment index and the consumer confidence index.