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United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index | Data | Chart | Analysis | Historical | MacroVar
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United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index

US Leading Economic Index (LEI) is a leading indicator of the US economy. Explore MacroVar analysis of the leading economic index (LEI). The US Leading economic index (LEI) is published by the conference board every month. The LEI has historically lead the business cycle by three months. Its peaks and troughs tend to lead peaks and troughs of the business cycle. 

United States’s Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index icnreased to 113.3 by 1.61% on April 2021 from 111.5 in the previous month. On a year on year basis United States’s Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index increased by 16.92%. United States’s Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index trend is up since the current value of 113.3 is higher than the 12 month moving average of 107.8. and the 12 month moving average slope is up. United States’s Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index 5-year percentile is currently at 100.0%.

United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index Chart


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MacroVar offers Free access to our database of historical data for the largest economies and financial markets including economic indicators, stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and credit default swaps.
  1. Click the CSV button below to download the last 5 years of historical data.
  2. Download for Free unlimited historical data by Creating your free account
Date Value
31-05-17 103,20
30-06-17 103,80
31-07-17 104,10
31-08-17 104,50
30-09-17 104,50
31-10-17 105,90
30-11-17 106,30
31-12-17 107,10
31-01-18 107,80
28-02-18 108,50
31-03-18 108,80
30-04-18 109,30
31-05-18 109,40
30-06-18 110,00
31-07-18 110,40
31-08-18 110,90
30-09-18 111,60
31-10-18 111,30
30-11-18 111,50
31-12-18 111,30
31-01-19 111,30
28-02-19 111,50
30-03-19 111,70
30-04-19 111,80
30-05-19 111,70
30-06-19 111,60
30-07-19 112,20
30-08-19 111,80
30-09-19 111,60
30-10-19 111,40
30-11-19 111,50
30-12-19 111,40
30-01-20 111,90
28-02-20 111,70
31-03-20 103,50
30-04-20 96,90
30-05-20 99,80
30-06-20 102,80
30-07-20 104,90
30-08-20 106,50
30-09-20 107,50
31-10-20 108,20
30-11-20 109,20
31-12-20 109,60
31-01-21 110,10
28-02-21 110,10
31-03-21 111,50
30-04-21 113,10
31-05-21 114,60
30-06-21 115,40
31-07-21 116,40
31-08-21 117,30
30-09-21 117,60
31-10-21 118,10
30-11-21 118,80
31-12-21 119,30
31-01-22 118,60
28-02-22 119,40
31-03-22 119,50
30-04-22 119,20

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United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index

United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index Statistics

Click here to explore the methodology used for estimating the United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index signals presented in the statistics table below.

Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index us.lei 113.3 111.5 0.0161435 0.169247 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-30

United States Financial Markets

Market Symbol Last Mom Trend Exh RSI 1D% 1W% 1M% 1Y%
S&P 500 SPX 4631.6 0.5 0.75 1.15518 65.2704 0.01226 0.0266 0.07555 0.17002
S&P 500 ETF SPY 461.55 0.5 0.75 1.13178 64.9928 0.01237 0.0266 0.07342 0.16928
US Dollar Index (DXY) DXY 98.4 0 0.75 1.83163 53.8105 -0.00696 -0.00091 0.01016 0.06771
United States 10-Year Bond Yield US.10Y 2.401 0.5 1 3.29617 65.7225 -0.02596 0.00671 0.39188 0.43437
US 5-year bond yield US.5Y 2.5 0.5 1 3.14743 70.948 -0.02534 0.04123 0.57035 1.8772
US 30-year bond yield US.30Y 2.505 0 1 2.2036 57.5522 -0.01803 -0.03765 0.19002 0.0609
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF TLT 130.74 0 -1 -2.32803 42.1677 0.00755 0.01601 -0.07473 -0.04016
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond LQD 120.94 0 -0.75 -2.4614 46.1304 0.00842 0.00926 -0.03225 -0.06761
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond HYG 82.84 0 -0.75 -1.97536 54.1115 0.01234 0.01024 -0.00349 -0.04518
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF IEF 106.85 -0.5 -1 -3.27991 34.5464 0.00498 -0.00196 -0.05534 -0.05518
SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond JNK 103.11 0 -0.75 -2.03596 53.8091 0.01217 0.0093 -0.00358 -0.04863
iShares TIPS Bond (TIP) TIP 126.72 -0.5 0 -0.60482 51.2291 -0.00307 -0.01385 0.02417 0.01457
US 2-year bond yield US.2Y 2.375 1 1 3.35389 81.2651 0.01496 0.09195 0.76056 14.5534
US Yield Curve US.YC 1.08 0 1 1.74858 55.6394 -3.57 -11.55 -25.28 1.91241
US Yield Curve 2s5s US.YC25 0.53 0 0.5 1.38639 50.8504 -7.67 -13.96 -22.82 3.08475
US Yield Curve 5s10s US.YC510 0.55 0 1 1.84348 58.6679 -0.18 -9.69 -27.56 1.73529
US Yield Curve 5s30s US.YC530 1.2 0 0.75 1.21768 52.8329 2.13 -2.28 -16.56 0.9709
US Yield Curve 10s30s US.YC1030 0.65 -1 -0.5 0.52721 45.0387 4.17 5.01 -4.26 0.5283
US Yield Curve 2s30s US.YC0230 1.73 0 0.75 1.31448 52.3027 -1.09 -6.18 -18.58 1.14607

United States Financial News Stream

United States durable goods orders
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2022-09-27 15:40:36
United States durable goods orders ex transportation
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United States durable goods orders ex defense
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2022-09-27 15:40:36

United States Macroeconomic Indicators

Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
balance of trade us.balanceoftrade -70700 -80900 -12.61 1.42 UP Down 21.67 2022-09-03
bank lending rate us.banks.lendingrate 3.25 3.81 -0.146982 -0.409091 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2020-04-30
building permits us.buildingpermits 1517 1685 -9.97 -6.07 Down Down 55 2022-09-21
business confidence (ISM) us.bizconfidence 55.4 57.1 -2.98 -8.73 Down Down 33.33 2022-05-04
capacity utilization us.caputilization 80 80.3 -0.37 5.68 UP UP 96.67 2022-07-16
capital flows us.capitalflows 153487 22340 587.05 -30.72 UP Down 86.67 2022-09-19
car registrations us.carregistrations 235.97 253.06 -6.75 -27.29 Down Down 8.33 2022-09-25
case shiller home price index us.caseshiller 318.63 317.3 0.42 18.66 UP UP 100 2022-09-03
composite pmi us.comppmi 49.3 44.6 10.54 -10.36 Down Down 11.67 2022-09-22
consumer confidence us.us.consconfidence 59.5 58.2 2.23 -18.27 Down Down 10 2022-09-19
consumer price index cpi us.cpi 296.31 292.3 1.37 9.35 UP UP 100 2022-07-16
continuing jobless claims us.contjoblessclaims 1379 1401 -1.57 4.15 Down UP 20 2022-09-22
core inflation rate us.coreinflationrate 4.5 3.8 0.184211 2.75 1.0 1.0 1 2021-06-30
core pce price index us.corepce 122.95 122.22 0.6 5.3 UP UP 100 2022-07-31
core Producer Price Index us.coreproducerprices 135.8 135.3 0.37 7.61 UP UP 100 2022-08-11
current account us.currentaccount -251090 -282540 -11.13 96.64 Down Down 3.33 2022-09-22
current account to gdp us.currentaccountgdp -3.6 -2.9 24.14 33.33 Down Down 0 2022-06-24
durable goods orders us.durablegoods -0.2 -0.1 100 -50 Down UP 30 2022-09-27
durable goods orders ex defense us.durablegoodsexdef -0.9 0.9 -200 -169.23 Down Down 23.33 2022-09-27
durable goods orders ex transportation us.durablegoodsextransp 0.2 0.2 0 -33.33 Down Down 34.17 2022-09-27
exports us.exports 259290 258763 0.2 21.51 UP UP 100 2022-09-03
external debt us.externaldebt 23930400 23370700 2.4 19.62 UP UP 100 2022-07-02
fiscal expenditure us.fiscalexp 523323 480387 8.94 19.2 UP UP 78.33 2022-09-19
foreign direct investment us.fdi 74407 70681 5.27 46.61 UP UP 96.67 2022-09-25
foreign exchange reserves us.fxreserves 35947 36273 -0.9 -15.66 Down Down 1.67 2022-08-23
gdp us.gdp 20936.6 21433.2 -0.0231697 0.423019 1.0 1.0 0 2020-01-31
Real GDP us.realgdp 19699.5 19727.9 -0.14 2.91 UP UP 95 2022-08-23
gdp growth us.gdpgrowth -0.9 -1.6 -43.75 -160 Down Down 16.67 2022-07-31
gdp growth annual us.gdpgrowthan 1.6 3.5 -54.29 -20 UP Down 32.5 2022-07-31
gold reserves us.goldres 8133.46 8133.5 -0.00000491793 0 -1.0 -1.0 0.55 2020-07-01
government budget us.govbudget -14.9 -4.6 2.23913 3.80645 -1.0 -1.0 0.916667 2020-01-31
Government budget us.govbudgetvalue -219596 -211052 4.05 28.69 Down Down 18.33 2022-09-13
government debt us.govdebt 30936100 30595100 1.11 8.83 UP UP 100 2022-09-09
government debt to gdp us.govdebtgdp 107.6 106.9 0.00654818 0.589365 1.0 1.0 0.75 2019-02-28
government revenues us.govrev 303726 269335 12.77 13.17 Down UP 55 2022-09-19
housing starts us.housingstarts 1575 1404 12.18 0.13 Down UP 75 2022-09-21
imports us.imports 329940 339642 -2.86 16.55 UP UP 93.33 2022-09-03
industrial production us.indproduction 4.2 4.8 -12.5 -74.39 Down Down 78.33 2022-07-16
industrial production mom us.indproductionmm -0.2 0.5 -140 100 Down Down 30 2022-09-15
inflation cpi us.inflationcpi 8.5 9.1 -6.59 57.41 UP UP 97.5 2022-08-11
inflation expectations us.inflationexp 6.2 6.8 -8.82 29.17 UP UP 95 2022-08-11
interbank rate us.interbankrate 0.13 0.14 -0.0714286 -0.35 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2021-06-02
interest rate us.interestrate 0.25 1.25 -0.8 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2020-03-15
job offers us.joboffers 11239 11040 1.8 1.27 UP UP 90 2022-09-03
jobless claims us.joblessclaims 203 202 0.5 -2.87 UP Down 21.67 2022-05-04
loans to private sector us.loanprivate 2733.33 2704 1.08 12.4 UP UP 90 2022-09-09
long term unemployment rate us.ltunemploymentrate 2.47 2.33 0.0600858 1.83908 1.0 1.0 0.866667 2021-06-30
United States us.manpmi 51.5 52.2 -1.34 -15.16 Down Down 21.67 2022-09-03
money supply m0 us.msm0 5536900 5506500 0.55 -9.68 Down Down 75 2022-08-23
money supply m1 us.msm1 20514.7 20545.4 -0.15 5.74 UP UP 88.33 2022-08-23
money supply m2 us.msm2 21709.2 21667.5 0.19 5.72 UP UP 91.67 2022-08-23
mortgage rate us.mortgrate 5.65 5.45 3.67 32.32 UP UP 98.33 2022-08-23
nahb housing market index us.nahb 49 55 -10.91 -34.67 Down Down 5 2022-08-17
new home sales us.newhomesales 511 585 -12.65 -27.41 Down Down 1.67 2022-08-23
non manufacturing pmi us.nonmanpmi 56.7 55.3 2.53 -11.54 Down Down 38.33 2022-08-03
Producer Price Index us.producerprices 140.43 138.89 1.11 11.1 UP UP 100 2022-07-16
PPI Index us.producerpricesch 8.7 9.8 -11.22 0 Down UP 81.67 2022-09-15
retail sales MoM us.retailsales 0 0.8 -100 -100 Down UP 30 2022-08-17
retail sales us.retailsalesan 9.1 10.1 -9.9 -42.04 Down Down 76.67 2022-09-15
retail sales ex autos us.retailsalesexauto 0.4 0.9 -55.56 -144.44 Down UP 44.17 2022-08-17
services pmi us.servpmi 49.2 43.7 12.59 -10.38 Down Down 11.67 2022-09-22
total vehicle sales us.vehiclesales 12.7 14.3 -11.19 -25.25 Down Down 10 2022-05-26
unemployment rate us.unemploymentrate 6.1 6 0.0166667 -0.585034 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2021-04-30
youth unemployment rate us.ytunemploymentrate 11 11.1 -0.00900901 -0.59854 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2021-04-30
Effective Federal Funds Rate us.fedfunds.eff 0.06 0.07 -0.142857 0.2 -1.0 1.0 0.35 2021-05-01
BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread us.baml.hy 3.21 3.23 -0.00619195 -0.041791 -1.0 -1.0 0.25 2021-06-11
BofA Merrill Lynch US Corporate BBB Option-Adjusted Spread us.baml.bbb 1.11 1.12 -0.00892857 -0.0176991 -1.0 -1.0 0.433333 2021-06-11
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment us.uomconf 88.3 84.9 0.0400471 0.229805 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-01
5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate us.5y5y 2.65 2.53 0.0474308 2.44156 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-01
BofA Merrill Lynch US Corporate Master Option-Adjusted Spread us.baml.master 0.9 0.91 -0.010989 0 -1.0 -1.0 0.791667 2021-06-11
BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield BB Option-Adjusted Spread us.baml.bbb 2.32 2.34 -0.00854701 -0.0491803 -1.0 -1.0 0.25 2021-06-11
Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit us.fedfunds.lower 1 1 0 -0.333333 -1.0 -1.0 0.108333 2020-03-14
Cass Freight Index Shipments us.cassfreight 1.269 1.178 0.0772496 0.352878 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-01
ism manufacturing Employment index us.ism.man.emp 50.9 55.1 -0.076225 0.58567 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism manufacturing index us.ism.man 61.2 60.7 0.00823723 0.419954 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing employment us.ism.serv.emp 55.3 58.8 -0.0595238 0.738994 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing index us.ism.serv 72.4 62.7 0.154705 0.594714 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing new orders index us.ism.serv.neword 63.9 63.2 0.0110759 0.52506 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing prices index us.ism.serv.prices 80.6 76.8 0.0494792 0.44964 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism manufacturing New Orders Index us.ism.man.neworders 67 64.3 0.0419907 1.10692 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing business Activity us.ism.serv.biz 66.2 62.7 0.0558214 0.614634 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism manufacturing Production Index us.ism.man.prod 58.5 62.5 -0.064 0.762048 -1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism manufacturing Supplier Deliveries Index us.ims.man.supdel 78.8 75 0.0506667 0.158824 1.0 1.0 0.8 2021-05-31
ism manufacturing Inventories Index us.ism.man.inv 50.8 46.5 0.0924731 0.00793651 1.0 1.0 0.466667 2021-05-31
ism manufacturing Customers inventories Index us.ism.man.cust 28 28.4 -0.0140845 -0.393939 -1.0 -1.0 0.0333333 2021-05-31
ism manufacturing Prices Index us.ism.man.prices 88 89.6 -0.0178571 1.15686 1.0 1.0 0.966667 2021-05-31
ism manufacturing Backlog of Orders Index us.ism.man.backlog 70.6 68.2 0.0351906 0.848168 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-31
ism manufacturing Exports Index us.ism.man.exp 55.4 54.9 0.00910747 0.402532 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing Inventories Index us.ism.serv.inv 51.5 49.1 0.0488798 0.0729167 -1.0 1.0 0.883333 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing supplier deliveries Index us.ism.serv.supdel 70.4 66.1 0.0650529 0.0507463 1.0 1.0 0.633333 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing order backlog Index us.ism.serv.ordersback 61.1 55.7 0.0969479 0.31681 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing New Export Orders us.ism.serv.newexp 60 58.6 0.0238908 0.445783 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
ism non manufacturing Inventory Sentiment Index us.ism.serv.invsent 40.5 46.8 -0.134615 -0.264973 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2021-05-31
US Consumer Confidence Index us.consconfidence 117.2 117.5 -0.00255319 0.364377 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index us.lei 113.3 111.5 0.0161435 0.169247 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-30
Coincident Economic Indicator (CEI) - Conference Board us.cei 104.1 103.8 0.00289017 0.119355 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-30
Lagging Economic Indicator (Lagging) - Conference Board us.lagging 104.7 102.8 0.0184825 -0.0935065 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2021-04-30
US Citigroup Economic Surprise Index us.cesi 13 4 2.25 -0.835443 -1.0 -1.0 0.316667 2021-06-04
Build Permits United States us.us.buildingpermits 1760 1755 0.002849 0.608775 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-01
ECRI US Weekly Leading Index us.ecri.leading 159.5 159.1 0.00251414 0.0562914 1.0 1.0 0.716667 2021-05-21
ECRI US Coincident Index us.ecri.coincident 195.5 194.5 0.00514139 0.194988 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-01
ECRI US Lagging Index us.ecri.lagging 213.8 212.8 0.00469925 -0.0631025 1.0 -1.0 0.0833333 2021-04-01
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Expected Index us.uomconfexp 82.7 79.7 0.0376412 0.179743 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-30
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Current Index us.uomconfcur 97.2 93 0.0451613 0.30821 1.0 1.0 1 2021-04-30
ICE BofAML US High Yield Master II us.baml.ushi 3.28 3.28 0 -0.0352941 -1.0 -1.0 0.233333 2021-06-04
BofAML US High Yield CCC or Below Option-Adjusted Spread us.baml.ccc 6.31 6.32 -0.00158228 -0.0322086 -1.0 -1.0 0.15 2021-06-04
Federal Funds Rate us.fedfunds 0.09 0.09 0 0 UP Down 60 2021-01-12
S&P/Case-Shiller 10-City Composite Home Price Index us.10city.caseshiller 248.14 244.258 1.59 7.54 UP UP 100 2021-01-13
S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index us.20city.caseshiller 235.46 231.715 1.61 7.93 UP UP 100 2021-01-13
S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Sales Pair Counts us.20city.caseshiller 180935 194048 -6.76 17.31 UP UP 91.67 2021-01-13
ism manufacturing sector - apparel ism.breadth.apparel 13 5 1.6 3.33333 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-03
ism manufacturing sector - Computer & Electronic Products ism.breadth.confuter 6 11 -0.454545 -1.6 -1.0 1.0 0.191667 2021-06-01
ism service sector - accomodation nmi.breadth.accomodation 13 17 -0.235294 -2.44444 1.0 1.0 0.0833333 2021-06-03
NY Empire state Manufacturing us.ny.empire.state.manufacturing 52.1 56.3 -0.0746004 0.0831601 1.0 1.0 0.416667 2020-11-30
United States Dallas Fed Services Index us.dalls.fed.services 52.1 56.3 -0.0746004 0.0831601 1.0 1.0 0.416667 2020-11-30
U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers Index us.chicago.pmi 52.1 56.3 -0.0746004 0.0831601 1.0 1.0 0.416667 2020-11-30
US Richmond Fed Manufacturing us.richmond.fed.manufacturing 52.1 56.3 -0.0746004 0.0831601 1.0 1.0 0.416667 2020-11-30
US Kansas Fed Manufacturing us.kansas.fed.manufacturing 52.1 56.3 -0.0746004 0.0831601 1.0 1.0 0.416667 2020-11-30
US Dallas Fed Manufacturing us.dalls.fed.manufacturing 52.1 56.3 -0.0746004 0.0831601 1.0 1.0 0.416667 2020-11-30
US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing us.philadelphia.fed.manufacturing -12.3 -3.3 272.73 -156.16 Down Down 6.67 2022-07-21
Import Dry Bulk Freight Index(CDFI) CDFI 1676.29 1671.71 0.00273971 0.0780763 1.0 1.0 1 2021-08-06
Coastal Bulk (Coal) Freight Index (Daily Index) CBCF 1042.99 1034.34 0.00836282 0.0671503 1.0 1.0 0.716667 2021-08-06
Coastal Bulk Freight Index CBF-IDX-SSE CBFI 1239.03 1229.26 0.00794787 -0.141964 1.0 -1.0 0.666667 2021-08-06
Shanghai Containerized Freight Index SCF SCFI 4225.86 4196.24 0.0070587 0.263964 1.0 1.0 1 2021-08-06
Containerized Freight Index CCF CCFI 3006.82 2930.03 0.0262079 0.408762 1.0 1.0 1 2021-08-06

United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index trend

United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index trend is in an uptrend when the last value is higher than its twelve-month moving average and its twelve-month moving average slope is positive (last twelve-month moving average is higher than the previous month twelve-month moving average) and vice-versa. MacroVar calculates the number of months the United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index has recorded new highs or lows. United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index trend change is assumed when the specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.

United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index momentum

United States Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index momentum is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M) return.

Leading Economic Indicator Conference Board index analysis

The US Leading Economic Index (LEI) has 10 components:

  1. Average weekly hours, manufacturing: This series is found the monthly employment situation report reported by the BLS.
  2. Average weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance: Jobless claims are reported every week on Thursday by the BLS. Jobless claims one of the best leading indicators.
  3. Real manufacturers’ new orders, consumer goods, and materials: This series is published by the Census Bureau and is included in the monthly report on factor orders. It is a forward indicator of consumer demand.
  4. ISM new orders index: The ISM (Institute of Supply Management) releases the ISM new orders index is one the best leading indicators.
  5. Real manufacturers’ new orders, nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft orders: This series is published by the Census Bureau. It is viewed as a leading indicator of capital equipment spending by businesses.
  6. Building Permits, new private housing units: Building permits are published monthly by the Census Bureau and considered a very good leading indicator for the housing sector and residential construction.
  7. Leading Credit Index: The leading credit index is a composite of six financial indicators used to monitor credit conditions. This index tends to spike in the beginning and during economic recessions.
  8. Stock prices, 500 common stocks: This is the monthly average of the daily closing price of the S&P 500. 
  9. Interest rate spread, US treasury 10-year bond yield federal funds rate: This series is used to monitor the US yield curve. This series tends to widen during economic expansions and narrows and even turns negative (inverted yield curve) prior to economic recessions
  10. Average consumer expectations for business conditions: This series is the average of the expectations of the consumer sentiment index and the consumer confidence index.