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MacroVar monitors real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for the US economy and US markets by analyzing financial, economic data and real-time news using statistical models. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with explanations of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

US Overview

 
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US Overview presents the current trends and dynamics of the major US financial markets and economic indicators. Select Details to get more information for each indicator, use Factors to monitor current statistical analysis of financial & economic factors affecting the specific asset, and select research to read the latest MacroVar research for the specific asset/indicator.


Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Factors Research Details
S&P 500 SPX 5633.91 1.02 0.05 27.77 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 1.0 blank High 2024-10-07 08:47:02 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend 1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2023-12-27 13:53:46 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
SPX vs CDX Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Global PMI Y/Y vs SPX Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs ISM PMI Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs VIX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs BofAML US HY Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs Stocks Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US 2-year bond yield US.2Y 4.62 0 -0.02 -2.82 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -0.75 blank High 2024-10-07 08:47:02 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
United States 10-Year Bond Yield US.10Y 4.29 0 0.02 3.18 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 0.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -0.75 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMI us.manpmi 49.5 -4 -4 1 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend Down blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US Services PMI us.servpmi 56 1 1 6 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum UP blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Factors Research Details
S&P 500 SPX 5633.91 1.02 0.05 27.77 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 1.0 blank High 2024-10-07 08:47:02 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend 1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2023-12-27 13:53:46 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
SPX vs CDX Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Global PMI Y/Y vs SPX Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs ISM PMI Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs VIX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs BofAML US HY Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs Stocks Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
S&P 500 ETF SPY 561.32 0.99 0.05 27.67 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
US PMI vs ETF Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.
Momentum 1.0 blank High 2024-10-07 08:47:02 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend 1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 100.0 blank High 2023-05-06 10:43:28 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US 2-year bond yield US.2Y 4.62 0 -0.02 -2.82 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -0.75 blank High 2024-10-07 08:47:02 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
United States 10-Year Bond Yield US.10Y 4.29 0 0.02 3.18 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 0.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -0.75 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US Yield Curve US.YC -0.28 0 -0.43 -69.74 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -0.5 blank High 2024-10-17 16:05:25 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend 1.0 blank High 2024-07-31 21:23:16 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2023-06-26 18:07:12 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
YC vs ISM Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs Yield Curve Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US Dollar Index (DXY) DXY 104.96 -0.01 -0.01 2.06 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Global PMI Y/Y vs DXY Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
DXY Y/Y vs US PMI Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US 2Y vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Factors Research Details
ISM Manufacturing us.ism.man 48.5 0 0 5 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-09-17 13:15:17 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend Down blank High 2024-09-17 13:15:17 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
ISM Non-Manufacturing us.ism.serv 48.8 -9 -9 -9 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-09-17 13:15:17 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend Down blank High 2024-09-17 13:15:17 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Composite PMI us.comppmi 55 1 1 5 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum UP blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Momentum UP blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMI us.manpmi 49.5 -4 -4 1 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend Down blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US Services PMI us.servpmi 56 1 1 6 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum UP blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-08-20 08:16:45 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
GDP Growth (annual) us.gdpgrowthan 2.9 -6 -6 -76 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-09-26 13:17:01 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Momentum Down blank High 2024-09-26 13:17:01 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-09-26 13:17:01 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-09-26 13:17:01 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Inflation CPI us.inflationcpi 3 -9 -9 0 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-10-07 08:34:04 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend Down blank High 2024-10-07 08:34:04 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Unemployment rate us.unemploymentrate 4.1 2 2 14 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum UP blank High 2024-09-26 13:17:01 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-09-26 13:17:01 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
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Description
Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Factors Research Details
US Stock Implied Volatility (VIX) VIX 12.85 0 0.08 -5.52 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
VIX vs CDX (Z-scores) Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
VIX vs ISM PMI Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
VIX vs BofAML US HY Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Risk Signals Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar risk management models monitor the dynamics of thousands of risk-related indicators to gauge global financial risk conditions. MacroVar calcualates trend/momentum and 1-year, 5-year z-scores. The z-score (also known as the standard score) is a statistical measure that quantifies how many standard deviations an individual data point is from the mean of a distribution. MacroVar Risk Management models
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Description
CDX North American Investment Grade US.CDXIG 49.17 -0.59 -0 -24.1 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 0.0 blank 1 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend 0.5 blank 1 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank 1 2024-01-16 19:58:24 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
VIX vs CDX (Z-scores) Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
SPX vs CDX Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
CDX vs ISM PMI Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs CDX IG Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
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Description
S&P 500 SPX 5633.91 1.02 0.05 27.77 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 1.0 blank High 2024-10-07 08:47:02 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend 1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2023-12-27 13:53:46 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
SPX vs CDX Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Global PMI Y/Y vs SPX Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs ISM PMI Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs VIX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs BofAML US HY Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs Stocks Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
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Description
US 2-year bond yield US.2Y 4.62 0 -0.02 -2.82 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -0.75 blank High 2024-10-07 08:47:02 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
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Description
United States 10-Year Bond Yield US.10Y 4.29 0 0.02 3.18 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 0.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -0.75 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
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Description
US Dollar Index (DXY) DXY 104.96 -0.01 -0.01 2.06 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Global PMI Y/Y vs DXY Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
DXY Y/Y vs US PMI Y/Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US 2Y vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
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US Market News

  
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Time Headlines
2024-08-10 08:05 S&P 500 Makes Its Best Back-to-back Gains This Year - US Market Wrap
2024-08-10 08:05 MOC imbalance
2024-08-10 08:04 Week Ahead: Economic Indicators (US)
2024-08-10 08:04 FOMC Meeting Schedule 2025-26
2024-08-10 08:04 62 counterparties take $312.198 bln at the Fed reverse repo operation.
2024-08-10 08:04 US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count Actual 485 (Forecast -, Previous 482)
2024-08-10 08:04 US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count Actual 588 (Forecast -, Previous 586)
2024-08-10 08:03 Effective Fed fund rate unchanged ay 5.33% on August 8th.
2024-08-10 08:03 MOO Imbalance
2024-08-10 08:03 Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 5.34% Aug. 8 vs 5.33% Aug. 7.
Monitor Real-Time Market News >>

US Research

  
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MacroVar provides research on the US economy and US financial markets. MacroVar models analyze US major financial markets (stock indexes, corporate bonds, individual sectors, credit markets, volatility, currencies) combined with US macroeconomic indicators and individual US stocks to help you monitor how the dynamics of the US economy and markets affect your investment portfolio and business.


Title Date
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Macroeconomic Indicators Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:52:56 blank  View
Macroeconomic Indicators Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:50:31 blank  View
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US Economic Overview

  
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US economic overview presents a snapshot of US current economic conditions. You can find details for the US economy subsections by exploring the sections below.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
Citigroup Economic Surprise Index us.cesi 9.0 10.3 -13 -270 UP UP
Composite PMI us.comppmi 54.1 54.3 -0 8 UP UP
ISM manufacturing us.ism.man 46.8 46.8 1 -1 Down Down
ISM manufacturing New Orders us.ism.man.neworders 47.4 44.6 6 -4 Down Down
ISM manufacturing Prices us.ism.man.prices 54.0 52.9 2 12 UP UP
ISM manufacturing Employment us.ism.man.emp 46.0 43.4 6 -5 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing us.ism.serv 51.5 48.8 5 -6 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing new orders us.ism.serv.neword 53.0 47.3 11 -9 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing employment us.ism.serv.emp 50.2 46.1 11 -7 UP Down
Manufacturing PMI us.manpmi 48.0 49.6 -3 0 Down UP
NY Empire state Manufacturing us.ny.empire.state.manufacturing -11.9 11.5 -203 159 Down Down
Chicago Purchasing Managers us.chicago.pmi -1.0 -11 -91 -89 UP UP
Richmond Fed Manufacturing us.richmond.fed.manufacturing 45.3 47.4 -4 6 UP UP
Kansas Fed Manufacturing us.kansas.fed.manufacturing 6.0 -12 -150 -50 UP Down
Dallas Fed Manufacturing us.dalls.fed.manufacturing -9.0 -9.7 -7 -50 UP UP
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing us.philadelphia.fed.manufacturing 10.3 1.7 506 -214 UP UP
US Services PMI us.servpmi 55.2 55 0 10 UP UP
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment us.uomconf 69.1 77.2 -10 17 Down UP
Conference Board Consumer Confidence us.consconfidence 102.0 97.5 5 -0 Down Down

US Manufacturing

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to US manufacturing. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of goods in the US economy.


1Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
ISM manufacturing us.ism.man 46.8 46.8 1 -1 Down Down
ISM manufacturing New Orders us.ism.man.neworders 47.4 44.6 6 -4 Down Down
ISM manufacturing Prices us.ism.man.prices 54.0 52.9 2 12 UP UP
ISM manufacturing Employment us.ism.man.emp 46.0 43.4 6 -5 Down Down
Manufacturing PMI us.manpmi 48.0 49.6 -3 0 Down UP
NY Empire state Manufacturing us.ny.empire.state.manufacturing -11.9 11.5 -203 159 Down Down
Chicago Purchasing Managers us.chicago.pmi -1.0 -11 -91 -89 UP UP
Richmond Fed Manufacturing us.richmond.fed.manufacturing 45.3 47.4 -4 6 UP UP
Kansas Fed Manufacturing us.kansas.fed.manufacturing 6.0 -12 -150 -50 UP Down
Dallas Fed Manufacturing us.dalls.fed.manufacturing -9.0 -9.7 -7 -50 UP UP
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing us.philadelphia.fed.manufacturing 10.3 1.7 506 -214 UP UP
industrial production us.indproduction -0.6 -0.2 200 200 Down Down

US Services

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to US services. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of services in the US economy.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
ISM Non-Manufacturing us.ism.serv 51.5 48.8 5 -6 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing new orders us.ism.serv.neword 53.0 47.3 11 -9 Down Down
NMI prices us.ism.serv.prices 57.3 57 1 -3 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing employment us.ism.serv.emp 50.2 46.1 11 -7 UP Down
US Services PMI us.servpmi 55.2 55 0 10 UP UP

US consumer sentiment

  
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Consumer spending makes up 67% of the U.S. Economy. MacroVar monitors direct consumer reports like the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and indirect macroeconomic indicators related to US employment and US consumer activity (building permits).


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
UoM consumer confidence us.us.consconfidence 68.9 70.1s -2 -12 Down Down
Conference Board Consumer Confidence us.consconfidence 102.0 97.5s 5 -0 Down Down
ISM manufacturing Employment us.ism.man.emp 46.0 43.4s 6 -5 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing employment us.ism.serv.emp 50.2 46.1s 11 -7 UP Down
Initial Jobless claims us.joblessclaims 241.0 260s -7 3 UP UP
Continuing jobless claims us.contjoblessclaims 1867.0 1858s 0 1 UP UP
Conference Board Employment Trends Index us.cb.employment 115.45 114.31s 1 -3 Down Down
Non Farm Payrolls US.nfp 5.76 6.07s -5 -29 Down Down
JOLTS (000) us.joboffers 8040.0 7711s 4 -14 Down Down
Unemployment rate us.unemploymentrate 4.1 4.2s -2 8 UP UP
retail sales us.retailsalesan 1.7 2.2s -23 -60 Down Down
retail sales MoM us.retailsales 0.4 0.1s 300 -50 UP Down
car registrations us.carregistrations 265.0 243.2s 9 1 UP UP
Building Permits us.buildingpermits 1428.0 1470s -3 -6 Down Down

US Construction

  
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The US construction sector is a significant component of the US economy. MacroVar monitors leading indicators of construction activity like building permits and new home sales.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
Building Permits us.buildingpermits 1428.0 1470 -3 -6 Down Down
Housing Starts us.housingstarts 1354.0 1361 -1 -1 Down Down
New Home Sales us.newhomesales 716.0 739 -3 10 UP UP
NAHB Index us.nahb 43.0 41 5 7 Down UP
Mortgage rate us.mortgrate 6.52 6.36 3 -4 UP Down

US Macroeconomic outlook

  
US Macroeconomic outlook presents an overview of the long-term fundamental coincident factors of the US economy. Components monitored are the country's rserves, debt, Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy. Explore US macroeconomic model in detail.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
gdp us.gdp 27360.94 25462.7 7 76 UP UP
Real GDP us.realgdp 23223.9 23053.5 1 18 UP UP
gdp growth annual us.gdpgrowthan 3.0 2.9 3 -40 UP Down
gdp growth us.gdpgrowth 3.0 1.4 114 11 UP UP
inflation cpi us.inflationcpi 2.4 2.5 -4 -35 Down Down
interest rate us.interestrate 5.5 5.5 0 5 Down UP
Unemployment rate us.unemploymentrate 4.1 4.2 -2 8 UP UP
government debt us.govdebt 35464674.0 35256100 1 8 UP UP
external debt us.externaldebt 26467035.0 25984600 2 22 UP UP
government debt to gdp us.govdebtgdp 122.3 121.9 0 28 UP UP
current account us.currentaccount -266.8 -241 11 -100 UP UP
current account to gdp us.currentaccountgdp -3.0 -3.8 -21 -3 Down UP
exports us.exports 271.8 266.6 2 5 UP UP
imports us.imports 342.2 345.4 -1 8 UP UP
foreign exchange reserves us.fxreserves 37318.0 36357 3 2 UP UP
gold reserves us.goldres 8133.46 8133.46 0 0 Down Down
government revenues us.govrev 306540.0 330377 -7 11 Down UP
fiscal expenditure us.fiscalexp 686620.0 574119 20 38 UP UP

US Inflation

  
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MacroVar monitors major inflation indexes and subcompoonents based on Bureau of Labour Statistics monthly report.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
inflation cpi us.inflationcpi 2.4 2.5 -4 -35 Down Down
core inflation rate us.coreinflationrate 3.3 3.2 3 -20 Down Down
Produce Prices YoY us.producerpricesch 1.8 1.9 -5 0 UP Down
Explore detailed analysis of US inflation and its components as well as leading indicators used to predict short-term dynamics of US inflation.

US Employment

  
MacroVar monitors leading indicators (ISM/NMI employment activity), coincident (Initial & Continuing jobless claims) and lagging indicators of US employment. US employment is one of the major factors affecting US monetary policy.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
Initial Jobless claims us.joblessclaims 241.0 260 -7 3 UP UP
Continuing jobless claims us.contjoblessclaims 1867.0 1858 0 1 UP UP
Conference Board Employment Trends Index us.cb.employment 115.45 114.31 1 -3 Down Down
Non Farm Payrolls US.nfp 5.76 6.07 -5 -29 Down Down
ISM manufacturing Employment us.ism.man.emp 46.0 43.4 6 -5 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing employment us.ism.serv.emp 50.2 46.1 11 -7 UP Down
Unemployment rate us.unemploymentrate 4.1 4.2 -2 8 UP UP
JOLTS (000) us.joboffers 8040.0 7711 4 -14 Down Down

US Monetary Policy

  
US Monetary policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Fed's balance sheet and interest rates.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
interest rate us.interestrate 5.5 5.5 0 5 Down UP
money supply m1 us.msm1 18117.5 18053.7 0 -1 UP Down
money supply m2 us.msm2 21174.9 21058.9 1 2 UP UP
government debt to gdp us.govdebtgdp 122.3 121.9 0 28 UP UP
loans to private sector us.loanprivate 2772.7 2767.7 0 0 UP UP
US Credit Rating (S&P) RATING.S&P.US
US Credit Rating (Moody's) RATING.MOODYS.US
US Credit Rating (Fitch) RATING.FITCH.US

US Fiscal Policy

  
US Fiscal policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Treasury's decisions on government spending, revenues and budget surplus/deficit.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
government revenues us.govrev 306540.0 330377 -7 11 Down UP
fiscal expenditure us.fiscalexp 686620.0 574119 20 38 UP UP
government budget us.govbudget -6.2 -5.4 15 -9 Down UP
Government budget us.govbudgetvalue 64000.0 -380000 -117 -137 UP UP
government debt us.govdebt 35464674.0 35256100 1 8 UP UP
government debt to gdp us.govdebtgdp 122.3 121.9 0 28 UP UP

US Trade

  
US trade activity is monitored by tracking Trade and Capital flows.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
current account us.currentaccount -266.8 -241 11 -100 UP UP
current account to gdp us.currentaccountgdp -3.0 -3.8 -21 -3 Down UP
balance of trade us.balanceoftrade -70.4 -78.9 -11 18 Down Down
imports us.imports 342.2 345.4 -1 8 UP UP
exports us.exports 271.8 266.6 2 5 UP UP
capital flows us.capitalflows 79200.0 159100 -50 -51 UP Down
foreign direct investment us.fdi 77854.0 73571 6 16 UP UP
external debt us.externaldebt 26467035.0 25984600 2 22 UP UP
foreign exchange reserves us.fxreserves 37318.0 36357 3 2 UP UP
gold reserves us.goldres 8133.46 8133.46 0 0 Down Down