US Economy & US Markets Data analytics

Home » United States Markets | United States Economy

MacroVar monitors real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for the US economy and US markets by analyzing financial, economic data and real-time news using statistical models. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with explanations of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

US Overview

 
Image 1

US Overview presents the current trends and dynamics of the major US financial markets and economic indicators. Select Details to get more information for each indicator, use Factors to monitor current statistical analysis of financial & economic factors affecting the specific asset, and select research to read the latest MacroVar research for the specific asset/indicator.


SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
S&P 500SPX5633.911.020.0527.77
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2023-12-27 13:53:46MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2023-12-27 13:53:46MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
SPX vs CDX Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Global PMI Y/Y vs SPX Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs ISM PMIPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs VIXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs BofAML US HYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US 2-year bond yieldUS.2Y4.620-0.02-2.82
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-25.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2023-06-26 18:09:51MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
United States 10-Year Bond YieldUS.10Y4.2900.023.18
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-25.0High2024-06-21 15:43:57MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMIus.manpmi51.61111
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US Services PMIus.servpmi55.3116
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
S&P 500SPX5633.911.020.0527.77
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2023-12-27 13:53:46MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2023-12-27 13:53:46MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
SPX vs CDX Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Global PMI Y/Y vs SPX Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs ISM PMIPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs VIXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs BofAML US HYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
S&P 500 ETFSPY561.320.990.0527.67
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
US PMI vs ETFPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.
Momentum0.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2023-09-18 08:43:48MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk100.0High2023-05-06 10:43:28MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US 2-year bond yieldUS.2Y4.620-0.02-2.82
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-25.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2023-06-26 18:09:51MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
United States 10-Year Bond YieldUS.10Y4.2900.023.18
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-25.0High2024-06-21 15:43:57MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US Yield CurveUS.YC-0.280-0.43-69.74
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2023-06-26 18:07:12MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
YC vs ISMPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs Yield CurvePremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US Dollar Index (DXY)DXY104.96-0.01-0.012.06
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-50.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-25.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2023-06-26 18:40:10MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Global PMI Y/Y vs DXY Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
DXY Y/Y vs US PMI Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
ISM Manufacturingus.ism.man48.5005
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 18:31:20Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 18:31:20A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
ISM Non-Manufacturingus.ism.serv48.8-9-9-9
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 18:31:20Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 18:31:20A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Composite PMIus.comppmi54.8115
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
MomentumUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMIus.manpmi51.61111
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US Services PMIus.servpmi55.3116
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUPHigh2024-07-24 09:47:53A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
GDP Growth (annual)us.gdpgrowthan2.9-6-6-76
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Inflation CPIus.inflationcpi3-9-90
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Unemployment rateus.unemploymentrate4.12214
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
US Stock Implied Volatility (VIX)VIX12.8500.08-5.52
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
VIX vs CDX (Z-scores)Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
VIX vs ISM PMIPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
VIX vs BofAML US HYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Risk SignalsPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar risk management models monitor the dynamics of thousands of risk-related indicators to gauge global financial risk conditions. MacroVar calcualates trend/momentum and 1-year, 5-year z-scores. The z-score (also known as the standard score) is a statistical measure that quantifies how many standard deviations an individual data point is from the mean of a distribution. MacroVar Risk Management models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
CDX North American Investment GradeUS.CDXIG49.17-0.59-0-24.1
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.512024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-0.512024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.012024-01-16 19:58:24MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
VIX vs CDX (Z-scores)Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
SPX vs CDX Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
CDX vs ISM PMIPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs CDX IGPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
S&P 500SPX5633.911.020.0527.77
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2023-12-27 13:53:46MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2023-12-27 13:53:46MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
SPX vs CDX Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Global PMI Y/Y vs SPX Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs ISM PMIPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs VIXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
SPX vs BofAML US HYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US 2-year bond yieldUS.2Y4.620-0.02-2.82
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-25.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2023-06-26 18:09:51MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
United States 10-Year Bond YieldUS.10Y4.2900.023.18
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-25.0High2024-06-21 15:43:57MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
US Dollar Index (DXY)DXY104.96-0.01-0.012.06
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-50.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-25.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2023-06-26 18:40:10MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Global PMI Y/Y vs DXY Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
DXY Y/Y vs US PMI Y/YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
US PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description

US Market News

  
Image 1

TimeHeadlines
2024-07-04 08:44 Asian Stocks Climb, Yen Rallies Off Historic Lows - Asia Market Wrap
2024-07-04 08:44 Presidential Discourse - US Market Wrap
2024-07-04 08:44 Fed Minutes: Vast majority of participants at Fed's June 11-12 meeting assessed US economic growth appeared to be gradually cooling.
2024-07-04 08:44 Fed Minutes: Most participants saw current policy stance as restrictive.
2024-07-04 08:44 Biden says in a staff call: No one is pushing me out - AP News.
2024-07-04 08:44 Fed Minutes: Several participants said if inflation were to persist at elevated level or rise further, funds rate might need to be raised.
2024-07-04 08:44 Fed Minutes: Several specifically emphasized further demand weakening could generate a larger unemployment response than in recent past.
2024-07-04 08:44 FOMC Meeting Minutes for the June Meeting
2024-07-04 08:44 Fed Minutes: May's CPI reading was seen by participants as providing additional evidence of progress toward inflation goal.
2024-07-04 08:44 Fed Minutes: Participants saw modest further progress toward committee's 2% inflation objective in recent months.
Monitor Real-Time Market News >>

US Research

  
Image 1

MacroVar provides research on the US economy and US financial markets. MacroVar models analyze US major financial markets (stock indexes, corporate bonds, individual sectors, credit markets, volatility, currencies) combined with US macroeconomic indicators and individual US stocks to help you monitor how the dynamics of the US economy and markets affect your investment portfolio and business.


TitleDate
Move to small caps in risk-asset bids - FJElite2024-07-16 20:29:38  View
Macroeconomic Indicators Daily Update2024-07-16 16:52:56  View
Macroeconomic Indicators Daily Update2024-07-16 16:50:31  View
Financial Markets Daily Update2024-07-16 16:45:25  View
Financial Markets Daily Update2024-07-16 16:45:06  View
Financial Markets Daily Update2024-07-16 16:43:37  View
Financial Markets Daily Update2024-07-16 16:42:13  View
Financial Markets Daily Update2024-07-16 16:41:05  View
Financial Markets Daily Update2024-07-16 16:39:16  View
Financial Markets Daily Update2024-07-16 16:18:43  View
Financial Markets Daily Update2024-07-16 16:18:26  View

US Economic Overview

  
Image 1

US economic overview presents a snapshot of US current economic conditions. You can find details for the US economy subsections by exploring the sections below.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Citigroup Economic Surprise Indexus.cesi-36.1-36.9-219UPDown
Composite PMIus.comppmi55.054.8010UPUP
ISM manufacturingus.ism.man48.548.7-05UPUP
ISM manufacturing New Ordersus.ism.man.neworders49.345.498UPUP
ISM manufacturing Pricesus.ism.man.prices52.157-925UPUP
ISM manufacturing Employmentus.ism.man.emp49.351.1-42UPUP
ISM Non-Manufacturingus.ism.serv48.853.8-9-9DownDown
ISM Non-Manufacturing new ordersus.ism.serv.neword47.354.1-13-15DownDown
ISM Non-Manufacturing employmentus.ism.serv.emp46.147.1-2-13DownDown
Manufacturing PMIus.manpmi49.551.6-41DownUP
NY Empire state Manufacturingus.ny.empire.state.manufacturing-6.6-610-700UPDown
Chicago Purchasing Managersus.chicago.pmi26.121.621-140UPUP
Richmond Fed Manufacturingus.richmond.fed.manufacturing47.435.43414UPUP
Kansas Fed Manufacturingus.kansas.fed.manufacturing-12.0-119-40DownUP
Dallas Fed Manufacturingus.dalls.fed.manufacturing-15.1-19.4-22-35UPUP
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturingus.philadelphia.fed.manufacturing13.91.3969-203UPUP
US Services PMIus.servpmi56.055.3111UPUP
University of Michigan Consumer Sentimentus.uomconf69.177.2-1017DownUP
Conference Board Consumer Confidenceus.consconfidence102.097.55-0DownDown

US Manufacturing

  
Image 1

MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to US manufacturing. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of goods in the US economy.


1IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
ISM manufacturingus.ism.man48.548.7-05UPUP
ISM manufacturing New Ordersus.ism.man.neworders49.345.498UPUP
ISM manufacturing Pricesus.ism.man.prices52.157-925UPUP
ISM manufacturing Employmentus.ism.man.emp49.351.1-42UPUP
Manufacturing PMIus.manpmi49.551.6-41DownUP
NY Empire state Manufacturingus.ny.empire.state.manufacturing-6.6-610-700UPDown
Chicago Purchasing Managersus.chicago.pmi26.121.621-140UPUP
Richmond Fed Manufacturingus.richmond.fed.manufacturing47.435.43414UPUP
Kansas Fed Manufacturingus.kansas.fed.manufacturing-12.0-119-40DownUP
Dallas Fed Manufacturingus.dalls.fed.manufacturing-15.1-19.4-22-35UPUP
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturingus.philadelphia.fed.manufacturing13.91.3969-203UPUP
industrial productionus.indproduction1.60.115002788UPUP

US Services

  
Image 1

MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to US services. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of services in the US economy.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
ISM Non-Manufacturingus.ism.serv48.853.8-9-9DownDown
ISM Non-Manufacturing new ordersus.ism.serv.neword47.354.1-13-15DownDown
NMI pricesus.ism.serv.prices56.358.1-34DownUP
ISM Non-Manufacturing employmentus.ism.serv.emp46.147.1-2-13DownDown
US Services PMIus.servpmi56.055.3111UPUP

US consumer sentiment

  
Image 1

Consumer spending makes up 67% of the U.S. Economy. MacroVar monitors direct consumer reports like the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and indirect macroeconomic indicators related to US employment and US consumer activity (building permits).


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
UoM consumer confidenceus.us.consconfidence66.068.2s-3-5DownDown
Conference Board Consumer Confidenceus.consconfidence102.097.5s5-0DownDown
ISM manufacturing Employmentus.ism.man.emp49.351.1s-42UPUP
ISM Non-Manufacturing employmentus.ism.serv.emp46.147.1s-2-13DownDown
Initial Jobless claimsus.joblessclaims235.0245s-49UPUP
Continuing jobless claimsus.contjoblessclaims1851.01860s-04UPUP
Conference Board Employment Trends Indexus.cb.employment115.45114.31s1-3DownDown
Non Farm PayrollsUS.nfp5.766.07s-5-29DownDown
JOLTS (000)us.joboffers8140.07919s3-13DownDown
Unemployment rateus.unemploymentrate4.14s214UPUP
retail salesus.retailsalesan2.32.6s-1244DownUP
retail sales MoMus.retailsales0.1-0.2s-150-80DownDown
car registrationsus.carregistrations279.8261.3s7-3UPDown
Building Permitsus.buildingpermits1454.01399s4-8DownDown

US Construction

  
Image 1

The US construction sector is a significant component of the US economy. MacroVar monitors leading indicators of construction activity like building permits and new home sales.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Building Permitsus.buildingpermits1454.013994-8DownDown
Housing Startsus.housingstarts1353.013143-4DownDown
New Home Salesus.newhomesales617.0621-1-7DownDown
NAHB Indexus.nahb43.045-4-14DownDown
Mortgage rateus.mortgrate6.826.87-1-4DownDown

US Macroeconomic outlook

  
US Macroeconomic outlook presents an overview of the long-term fundamental coincident factors of the US economy. Components monitored are the country's rserves, debt, Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy. Explore US macroeconomic model in detail.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
gdpus.gdp27360.9425462.7776UPUP
Real GDPus.realgdp22918.722758.8115UPUP
gdp growth annualus.gdpgrowthan2.93.1-6-76UPDown
gdp growthus.gdpgrowth2.81.4100-58UPDown
inflation cpius.inflationcpi3.03.3-90DownDown
interest rateus.interestrate5.55.505DownUP
Unemployment rateus.unemploymentrate4.14214UPUP
government debtus.govdebt34831634.034667100011UPUP
external debtus.externaldebt25984649.025649600122UPUP
government debt to gdpus.govdebtgdp122.3121.9028UPUP
current accountus.currentaccount-237.65-221.787-100UPUP
current account to gdpus.currentaccountgdp-3.0-3.8-21-3DownUP
exportsus.exports261.7263.4-15UPUP
importsus.imports336.7337.9-07UPUP
foreign exchange reservesus.fxreserves35758.0353161-2DownDown
gold reservesus.goldres8133.468133.4600DownDown
government revenuesus.govrev323647.0776198-58-49DownDown
fiscal expenditureus.fiscalexp670778.05666691845UPUP

US Inflation

  
Image 1

MacroVar monitors major inflation indexes and subcompoonents based on Bureau of Labour Statistics monthly report.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
inflation cpius.inflationcpi3.03.3-90DownDown
core inflation rateus.coreinflationrate3.33.4-3-31DownDown
Produce Prices YoYus.producerpricesch2.62.48767UPUP
Explore detailed analysis of US inflation and its components as well as leading indicators used to predict short-term dynamics of US inflation.

US Employment

  
MacroVar monitors leading indicators (ISM/NMI employment activity), coincident (Initial & Continuing jobless claims) and lagging indicators of US employment. US employment is one of the major factors affecting US monetary policy.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Initial Jobless claimsus.joblessclaims235.0245-49UPUP
Continuing jobless claimsus.contjoblessclaims1851.01860-04UPUP
Conference Board Employment Trends Indexus.cb.employment115.45114.311-3DownDown
Non Farm PayrollsUS.nfp5.766.07-5-29DownDown
ISM manufacturing Employmentus.ism.man.emp49.351.1-42UPUP
ISM Non-Manufacturing employmentus.ism.serv.emp46.147.1-2-13DownDown
Unemployment rateus.unemploymentrate4.14214UPUP
JOLTS (000)us.joboffers8140.079193-13DownDown

US Monetary Policy

  
US Monetary policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Fed's balance sheet and interest rates.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
interest rateus.interestrate5.55.505DownUP
money supply m1us.msm118063.418022.80-2DownDown
money supply m2us.msm221024.720963.401UPUP
government debt to gdpus.govdebtgdp122.3121.9028UPUP
loans to private sectorus.loanprivate2765.682756.840-0UPDown
US Credit Rating (S&P)RATING.S&P.US
US Credit Rating (Moody's)RATING.MOODYS.US
US Credit Rating (Fitch)RATING.FITCH.US

US Fiscal Policy

  
US Fiscal policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Treasury's decisions on government spending, revenues and budget surplus/deficit.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
government revenuesus.govrev323647.0776198-58-49DownDown
fiscal expenditureus.fiscalexp670778.05666691845UPUP
government budgetus.govbudget-6.3-5.417-26DownUP
Government budgetus.govbudgetvalue-66000.0-347000-81-71UPUP
government debtus.govdebt34831634.034667100011UPUP
government debt to gdpus.govdebtgdp122.3121.9028UPUP

US Trade

  
US trade activity is monitored by tracking Trade and Capital flows.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
current accountus.currentaccount-237.65-221.787-100UPUP
current account to gdpus.currentaccountgdp-3.0-3.8-21-3DownUP
balance of tradeus.balanceoftrade-75.07-74.46112DownDown
importsus.imports336.7337.9-07UPUP
exportsus.exports261.7263.4-15UPUP
capital flowsus.capitalflows15800.064200-75-110DownUP
foreign direct investmentus.fdi73296.067824833UPUP
external debtus.externaldebt25984649.025649600122UPUP
foreign exchange reservesus.fxreserves35758.0353161-2DownDown
gold reservesus.goldres8133.468133.4600DownDown