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MacroVar monitors real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for the China economy and China markets by analyzing financial, economic data and real-time news using statistical models. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with explanations of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

China Overview

 
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China Overview presents the current trends and dynamics of the major China financial markets and economic indicators. Select Details to get more information for each indicator, use Factors to monitor current statistical analysis of financial & economic factors affecting the specific asset, and select research to read the latest MacroVar research for the specific asset/indicator.


SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
Shanghai CompositeSSEC2962.680.79-0.02-7.11
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-01-18 20:54:58MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 2-year bond yieldCN.2Y1.62-0.49-0.07-22.19
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-100.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-50.0High2024-01-20 14:12:16MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 10-Year Bond YieldCN.10Y2.28-0.04-0.01-15.33
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-100.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-01-11 08:16:43MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Chinese Yuan US Dollar (CNY/USD)CNHUSD 7.29-0.0701.39
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-06-21 15:43:57MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Copper vs CNHUSD YYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMI (Official)cn.manpmi51.8003
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China Services PMIcn.servpmi51.2-5-5-5
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
Shanghai CompositeSSEC2962.680.79-0.02-7.11
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-01-18 20:54:58MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China ETFFXI26.38-0.45-0.01-2.87
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
China PMI vs ETFPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.
Momentum-1.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.25High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-01-16 19:58:24MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 2-year bond yieldCN.2Y1.62-0.49-0.07-22.19
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-100.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-50.0High2024-01-20 14:12:16MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 10-Year Bond YieldCN.10Y2.28-0.04-0.01-15.33
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-100.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-01-11 08:16:43MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China Yield CurveCN.YC0.682.40.2315.79
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Chinese Yuan US Dollar (CNY/USD)CNHUSD 7.29-0.0701.39
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-06-21 15:43:57MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Copper vs CNHUSD YYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China Credit Default SwapsCDS.China66.5067.50
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Z-scoresPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
Composite PMIcn.comppmi52.8-2-21
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMI (Official)cn.manpmi51.8003
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China Services PMIcn.servpmi51.2-5-5-5
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
GDP Growth (annual)cn.gdpgrowthan4.7-11-11-41
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-15 11:12:40Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUPHigh2024-07-15 11:12:40A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Inflation CPIcn.inflationcpi0.2-33-33-200
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Unemployment ratecn.unemploymentrate500-4
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownMedium2024-07-15 11:12:40Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownMedium2024-07-15 11:12:40A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
China Credit Default SwapsCDS.CHINA66.5067.50
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Risk SignalsPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar risk management models monitor the dynamics of thousands of risk-related indicators to gauge global financial risk conditions. MacroVar calcualates trend/momentum and 1-year, 5-year z-scores. The z-score (also known as the standard score) is a statistical measure that quantifies how many standard deviations an individual data point is from the mean of a distribution. MacroVar Risk Management models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Shanghai CompositeSSEC2962.680.79-0.02-7.11
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-01-18 20:54:58MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 2-year bond yieldCN.2Y1.62-0.49-0.07-22.19
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-100.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-50.0High2024-01-20 14:12:16MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 10-Year Bond YieldCN.10Y2.28-0.04-0.01-15.33
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-100.0High2024-07-16 11:09:58MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk0.0High2024-01-11 08:16:43MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Chinese Yuan US Dollar (CNY/USD)CNHUSD 7.29-0.0701.39
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend75.0High2024-06-21 15:43:57MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Copper vs CNHUSD YYPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
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Description
China Credit Default SwapsCDS.China66.5067.50
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Z-scoresPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
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Description

China Market News

  
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TimeHeadlines
2024-07-02 05:40 China's Vice Premier: We will treat domestic and foreign firms the same regarding equipment upgrade and government purchases - State media
2024-07-02 05:40 China's Vice Premier: China will further expand market access & break unreasonable limits for foreign investments - State media
2024-07-02 05:40 Europe Sentiment: Far Right's Le Pen Faces 2nd Round Uncertainty - FJElite
2024-07-02 05:40 Europe Sentiment: Far Right's la Pen Faces 2nd Round Uncertainty - FJElite
2024-07-02 05:40 Euro Climbs After French Vote, CHina Shares Slip - Asia Market Wrap
2024-07-02 05:40 Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI Actual 51.8 (Forecast 51.5, Previous 51.7)
2024-07-02 05:40 Chinese NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI Actual 50.5 (Forecast 51, Previous 51.1)
2024-07-02 05:40 Chinese Composite PMI Actual 50.5 (Forecast -, Previous 51.0)
2024-07-02 05:40 Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI Actual 49.5 (Forecast 49.5, Previous 49.5)
2024-06-17 14:17 China banks sold 1.36 trln yuan of total FX in May.
Monitor Real-Time Market News >>

China Economic Calendar

  
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Economic calendar presents real-time updates for actual, forecasts and consensus values of economic indicators and updates related to the United States economy.


TimeImpEventActualForecastPrevious
04:30Chinese Industrial profit YTD--3.4%
Monitor Real-Time Calendar >>

China Economic Overview

  
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China economic overview presents a snapshot of China current economic conditions. You can find details for the China economy subsections by exploring the sections below.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Composite PMIcn.comppmi52.854.1-21UPUP
New Export Conference Board Orderscn.leiexporders49.549.400UPUP
Manufacturing PMI (Official)cn.manpmi51.851.703UPUP
China Services PMIcn.servpmi51.254-5-5DownDown

China Manufacturing

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to China manufacturing. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of goods in the China economy.


1IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Manufacturing PMI (Official)cn.manpmi51.851.703UPUP
industrial productioncn.indproduction5.35.6-551DownUP

China Services

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to China services. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of services in the China economy.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
China Services PMIcn.servpmi51.254-5-5DownDown

China consumer sentiment

  
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Consumer spending makes up 67% of the U.S. Economy. MacroVar monitors direct consumer reports like the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and indirect macroeconomic indicators related to China employment and China consumer activity (building permits).


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
consumer confidencecn.consconfidence86.488.2s-2-2DownDown
unemployment ratecn.unemploymentrate5.05s0-4DownDown
retail salescn.retailsalesan2.03.7s-46-84DownDown
retail sales MoMcn.retailsales-0.120.23s-152-1300DownDown
car registrationscn.carregistrations2075000.02001000s415DownUP

China Construction

  
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The China construction sector is a significant component of the China economy. MacroVar monitors leading indicators of construction activity like building permits and new home sales.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope

China Macroeconomic outlook

  
China Macroeconomic outlook presents an overview of the long-term fundamental coincident factors of the China economy. Components monitored are the country's rserves, debt, Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy. Explore China macroeconomic model in detail.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
gdpcn.gdp17794.7817963.2-1136UPUP
Real GDPcn.realgdp1191037.38590533931UPUP
gdp growth annualcn.gdpgrowthan4.75.3-11-41UPDown
gdp growthcn.gdpgrowth0.71.6-56-46DownDown
inflation cpicn.inflationcpi0.20.3-33-200UPUP
interest ratecn.interestrate3.453.4500DownDown
unemployment ratecn.unemploymentrate5.050-4DownDown
external debtcn.externaldebt24475.024527.6-0252UPUP
government debt to gdpcn.govdebtgdp77.171.87129UPUP
current accountcn.currentaccount392.0561.915-30-45DownDown
current account to gdpcn.currentaccountgdp1.52.2-32-21DownDown
exportscn.exports307.85302.3529UPUP
importscn.imports208.81219.73-5-3DownDown
foreign exchange reservescn.fxreserves3222358.03232040-01UPUP
gold reservescn.goldres2264.872235.39116UPUP
government revenuescn.govrev15986.020049-20-65DownDown
fiscal expenditurecn.fiscalexp18876.019627-4-54DownDown

China Inflation

  
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MacroVar monitors major inflation indexes and subcompoonents based on Bureau of Labour Statistics monthly report.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%Trend
inflation cpicn.inflationcpi0.20.3-33-200
core inflation ratecn.coreinflationrate0.60.7-140
Produce Prices YoYcn.producerpricesch-0.8-1.4-43-85

China Employment

  
MacroVar monitors leading indicators (ISM/NMI employment activity), coincident (Initial & Continuing jobless claims) and lagging indicators of China employment. China employment is one of the major factors affecting China monetary policy.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
unemployment ratecn.unemploymentrate5.050-4DownDown

China Monetary Policy

  
China Monetary policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Fed's balance sheet and interest rates.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
interest ratecn.interestrate3.453.4500DownDown
central bank balance sheetcn.cb.assets436546.7942953826UPUP
banks balance sheetcn.banks.bs2130.0950124-30UPDown
money supply m1cn.msm166061.0564684.22-5DownDown
money supply m2cn.msm2305016.1530185116UPUP
government debt to gdpcn.govdebtgdp77.171.87129UPUP
loan growthcn.loangrowth8.19.3-13-28DownDown
loans to private sectorcn.loanprivate33000.02070059-22UPDown
China Credit Rating (S&P)RATING.S&P.CH
China Credit Rating (Moody's)RATING.MOODYS.CH
China Credit Rating (Fitch)RATING.FITCH.CN

China Fiscal Policy

  
China Fiscal policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Treasury's decisions on government spending, revenues and budget surplus/deficit.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
government revenuescn.govrev15986.020049-20-65DownDown
fiscal expenditurecn.fiscalexp18876.019627-4-54DownDown
government budgetcn.govbudget-5.8-7.4-22427DownDown
Government budgetcn.govbudgetvalue-2890.0422-785705DownDown
government debt to gdpcn.govdebtgdp77.171.87129UPUP

China Trade

  
China trade activity is monitored by tracking Trade and Capital flows.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
current accountcn.currentaccount392.0561.915-30-45DownDown
current account to gdpcn.currentaccountgdp1.52.2-32-21DownDown
balance of tradecn.balanceoftrade99.0582.622023UPUP
importscn.imports208.81219.73-5-3DownDown
exportscn.exports307.85302.3529UPUP
capital flowscn.capitalflows-744.29-466.366010DownDown
foreign direct investmentcn.fdi497.34970-32DownDown
external debtcn.externaldebt24475.024527.6-0252UPUP
foreign exchange reservescn.fxreserves3222358.03232040-01UPUP
gold reservescn.goldres2264.872235.39116UPUP