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MacroVar monitors real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for the China economy and China markets by analyzing financial, economic data and real-time news using statistical models. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with explanations of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

China Overview

 
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China Overview presents the current trends and dynamics of the major China financial markets and economic indicators. Select Details to get more information for each indicator, use Factors to monitor current statistical analysis of financial & economic factors affecting the specific asset, and select research to read the latest MacroVar research for the specific asset/indicator.


Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Factors Research Details
Shanghai Composite SSEC 2962.68 0.79 -0.02 -7.11 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -1.0 blank High 2024-07-22 17:27:53 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-01-18 20:54:58 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs Stocks Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 2-year bond yield CN.2Y 1.62 -0.49 -0.07 -22.19 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -0.75 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-07-04 19:10:17 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 10-Year Bond Yield CN.10Y 2.28 -0.04 -0.01 -15.33 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 0.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -100.0 blank High 2024-07-16 11:09:58 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-01-11 08:16:43 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs 10Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Chinese Yuan US Dollar (CNY/USD) CNHUSD 7.29 -0.07 0 1.39 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China 10Y vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China 2Y vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Copper vs CNHUSD YY Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China PMI vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMI (Official) cn.manpmi 49.8 -4 -4 1 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum UP blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend Down blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China Services PMI cn.servpmi 51.2 -5 -5 -5 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Factors Research Details
Shanghai Composite SSEC 2962.68 0.79 -0.02 -7.11 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -1.0 blank High 2024-07-22 17:27:53 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-01-18 20:54:58 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs Stocks Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China ETF FXI 26.38 -0.45 -0.01 -2.87 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
China PMI vs ETF Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.
Momentum 1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend 0.75 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-01-16 19:58:24 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 2-year bond yield CN.2Y 1.62 -0.49 -0.07 -22.19 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -0.75 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-07-04 19:10:17 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 10-Year Bond Yield CN.10Y 2.28 -0.04 -0.01 -15.33 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 0.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -100.0 blank High 2024-07-16 11:09:58 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-01-11 08:16:43 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs 10Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China Yield Curve CN.YC 0.68 2.4 0.23 15.79 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Chinese Yuan US Dollar (CNY/USD) CNHUSD 7.29 -0.07 0 1.39 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China 10Y vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China 2Y vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Copper vs CNHUSD YY Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China PMI vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China Credit Default Swaps CDS.China 66.5 0 67.5 0 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Z-scores Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Factors Research Details
Composite PMI cn.comppmi 52.8 -2 -2 1 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend Down blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMI (Official) cn.manpmi 49.8 -4 -4 1 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum UP blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend Down blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China Services PMI cn.servpmi 51.2 -5 -5 -5 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-07-31 12:09:13 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
GDP Growth (annual) cn.gdpgrowthan 4.7 -11 -11 -41 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank High 2024-07-15 11:12:40 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank High 2024-07-15 11:12:40 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Inflation CPI cn.inflationcpi 0.2 -33 -33 -200 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum UP blank Medium 2024-07-31 12:09:13 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank Medium 2024-07-31 12:09:13 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Unemployment rate cn.unemploymentrate 5 0 0 -4 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum Down blank Medium 2024-08-10 07:59:16 Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Trend UP blank Medium 2024-08-10 07:59:16 A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Factors Research Details
China Credit Default Swaps CDS.CHINA 66.5 0 67.5 0 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Risk Signals Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar risk management models monitor the dynamics of thousands of risk-related indicators to gauge global financial risk conditions. MacroVar calcualates trend/momentum and 1-year, 5-year z-scores. The z-score (also known as the standard score) is a statistical measure that quantifies how many standard deviations an individual data point is from the mean of a distribution. MacroVar Risk Management models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Shanghai Composite SSEC 2962.68 0.79 -0.02 -7.11 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -1.0 blank High 2024-07-22 17:27:53 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-01-18 20:54:58 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs Stocks Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 2-year bond yield CN.2Y 1.62 -0.49 -0.07 -22.19 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -0.75 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-07-04 19:10:17 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China 10-Year Bond Yield CN.10Y 2.28 -0.04 -0.01 -15.33 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum 0.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -100.0 blank High 2024-07-16 11:09:58 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk 0.0 blank High 2024-01-11 08:16:43 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China PMI vs 10Y Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
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Chinese Yuan US Dollar (CNY/USD) CNHUSD 7.29 -0.07 0 1.39 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Momentum -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend -1.0 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk -0.5 blank High 2024-08-06 11:34:32 MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
China 10Y vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China 2Y vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Copper vs CNHUSD YY Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
China PMI vs FX Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
China Credit Default Swaps CDS.China 66.5 0 67.5 0 blank blank blank
Factor Last Signal Importance Valuation (Over/Under) Last Signal Logic
Z-scores Premium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account. MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
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China Market News

  
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Time Headlines
2024-08-10 08:03 Crypto Fear and Greed Index: 48/100 = Neutral
2024-08-10 08:03 PBOC: Prudent monetary policy should be flexible, moderate, precise and effective - Statement
2024-08-10 08:03 PBOC are to maintain reasonable growth in financing.
2024-08-10 08:03 CICC: Haier Jinying plans to cut up to a 2.1964% co a-share stake.
2024-08-10 08:00 Chinese CPI MoM Actual 0.5% (Forecast -, Previous -0.2%)
2024-08-10 08:00 Chinese PPI YoY Actual -0.8% (Forecast -0.9%, Previous -0.8%)
2024-08-10 08:00 Chinese CPI YoY Actual 0.5% (Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.2%)
2024-08-10 08:00 TikTok is to allow Amazon purchases via the TikTok app - Information.
2024-08-10 07:59 Russia and China may begin using barter trading schemes as early as Autumn.
2024-07-02 05:40 China's Vice Premier: We will treat domestic and foreign firms the same regarding equipment upgrade and government purchases - State media
Monitor Real-Time Market News >>

China Economic Overview

  
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China economic overview presents a snapshot of China current economic conditions. You can find details for the China economy subsections by exploring the sections below.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
Composite PMI cn.comppmi 51.2 52.8 -3 -1 Down Down
New Export Conference Board Orders cn.leiexporders 49.5 49.4 0 0 UP UP
Manufacturing PMI (Official) cn.manpmi 49.8 51.8 -4 1 Down UP
China Services PMI cn.servpmi 52.1 51.2 2 -4 UP Down

China Manufacturing

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to China manufacturing. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of goods in the China economy.


1Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
Manufacturing PMI (Official) cn.manpmi 49.8 51.8 -4 1 Down UP
industrial production cn.indproduction 5.1 5.3 -4 16 Down UP

China Services

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to China services. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of services in the China economy.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
China Services PMI cn.servpmi 52.1 51.2 2 -4 UP Down

China consumer sentiment

  
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Consumer spending makes up 67% of the U.S. Economy. MacroVar monitors direct consumer reports like the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and indirect macroeconomic indicators related to China employment and China consumer activity (building permits).


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
consumer confidence cn.consconfidence 86.4 88.2s -2 -2 Down Down
unemployment rate cn.unemploymentrate 5.2 5s 4 -2 UP Down
retail sales cn.retailsalesan 2.7 2s 35 -13 Down Down
retail sales MoM cn.retailsales -0.12 0.23s -152 -1300 Down Down
car registrations cn.carregistrations 2215000.0 2075000s 7 8 Down UP

China Construction

  
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The China construction sector is a significant component of the China economy. MacroVar monitors leading indicators of construction activity like building permits and new home sales.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope

China Macroeconomic outlook

  
China Macroeconomic outlook presents an overview of the long-term fundamental coincident factors of the China economy. Components monitored are the country's rserves, debt, Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy. Explore China macroeconomic model in detail.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
gdp cn.gdp 17794.78 17963.2 -1 136 UP UP
Real GDP cn.realgdp 583168.1 283125 106 138 Down UP
gdp growth annual cn.gdpgrowthan 4.7 5.3 -11 -41 UP Down
gdp growth cn.gdpgrowth 0.7 1.6 -56 -46 Down Down
inflation cpi cn.inflationcpi 0.5 0.2 150 150 UP UP
interest rate cn.interestrate 3.45 3.45 0 0 Down Down
unemployment rate cn.unemploymentrate 5.2 5 4 -2 UP Down
external debt cn.externaldebt 24475.0 24527.6 -0 252 UP UP
government debt to gdp cn.govdebtgdp 83.6 77.1 8 149 UP UP
current account cn.currentaccount 549.0 392 40 21 Down UP
current account to gdp cn.currentaccountgdp 1.5 2.2 -32 -21 Down Down
exports cn.exports 300.56 307.85 -2 7 UP UP
imports cn.imports 215.91 208.81 3 7 Down UP
foreign exchange reserves cn.fxreserves 3256000.0 3222000 1 3 UP UP
gold reserves cn.goldres 2264.32 2262.45 0 16 UP UP
government revenues cn.govrev 15986.0 20049 -20 -65 Down Down
fiscal expenditure cn.fiscalexp 18876.0 19627 -4 -54 Down Down

China Inflation

  
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MacroVar monitors major inflation indexes and subcompoonents based on Bureau of Labour Statistics monthly report.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend
inflation cpi cn.inflationcpi 0.5 0.2 150 150 blank
core inflation rate cn.coreinflationrate 0.4 0.6 -33 0 blank
Produce Prices YoY cn.producerpricesch -0.8 -0.8 0 -82 blank

China Employment

  
MacroVar monitors leading indicators (ISM/NMI employment activity), coincident (Initial & Continuing jobless claims) and lagging indicators of China employment. China employment is one of the major factors affecting China monetary policy.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
unemployment rate cn.unemploymentrate 5.2 5 4 -2 UP Down

China Monetary Policy

  
China Monetary policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Fed's balance sheet and interest rates.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
interest rate cn.interestrate 3.45 3.45 0 0 Down Down
central bank balance sheet cn.cb.assets 436546.79 429538 2 6 UP UP
banks balance sheet cn.banks.bs 260.0 2130 -88 -25 Down Down
money supply m1 cn.msm1 66061.05 64684.2 2 -5 Down Down
money supply m2 cn.msm2 305016.15 301851 1 6 UP UP
government debt to gdp cn.govdebtgdp 83.6 77.1 8 149 UP UP
loan growth cn.loangrowth 8.7 8.8 -1 -22 Down Down
loans to private sector cn.loanprivate 7700.0 33000 -77 43 Down UP
China Credit Rating (S&P) RATING.S&P.CH
China Credit Rating (Moody's) RATING.MOODYS.CH
China Credit Rating (Fitch) RATING.FITCH.CN

China Fiscal Policy

  
China Fiscal policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Treasury's decisions on government spending, revenues and budget surplus/deficit.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
government revenues cn.govrev 15986.0 20049 -20 -65 Down Down
fiscal expenditure cn.fiscalexp 18876.0 19627 -4 -54 Down Down
government budget cn.govbudget -5.8 -7.4 -22 427 Down Down
Government budget cn.govbudgetvalue -2890.0 422 -785 705 Down Down
government debt to gdp cn.govdebtgdp 83.6 77.1 8 149 UP UP

China Trade

  
China trade activity is monitored by tracking Trade and Capital flows.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
current account cn.currentaccount 549.0 392 40 21 Down UP
current account to gdp cn.currentaccountgdp 1.5 2.2 -32 -21 Down Down
balance of trade cn.balanceoftrade 84.65 99.05 -15 51 Down UP
imports cn.imports 215.91 208.81 3 7 Down UP
exports cn.exports 300.56 307.85 -2 7 UP UP
capital flows cn.capitalflows -744.29 -466.36 60 10 Down Down
foreign direct investment cn.fdi 498.91 497.3 0 -41 Down Down
external debt cn.externaldebt 24475.0 24527.6 -0 252 UP UP
foreign exchange reserves cn.fxreserves 3256000.0 3222000 1 3 UP UP
gold reserves cn.goldres 2264.32 2262.45 0 16 UP UP