Mexico Economy & Mexico Markets Data analytics

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MacroVar monitors real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for the Mexico economy and Mexico markets by analyzing financial, economic data and real-time news using statistical models. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with explanations of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

Mexico Overview

 
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Mexico Overview presents the current trends and dynamics of the major Mexico financial markets and economic indicators. Select Details to get more information for each indicator, use Factors to monitor current statistical analysis of financial & economic factors affecting the specific asset, and select research to read the latest MacroVar research for the specific asset/indicator.


SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
S&P/BMV IPCIPC54279.91.780.020.6
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-0.75High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk-50.0High2023-11-03 16:47:03MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Mexico PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico 2-Year Bond YieldMX.2Y11.2700.050.27
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico 10-Year Bond YieldMX.10Y10.29-0.75-0.027.83
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Mexico PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMImx.manpmi51.1000
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
S&P/BMV IPCIPC54279.91.780.020.6
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-0.75High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk-50.0High2023-11-03 16:47:03MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Mexico PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico Capped ETFEWW60.292.220.04-3.72
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Mexico PMI vs ETFPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.
Momentum50.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-75.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico 2-Year Bond YieldMX.2Y11.2700.050.27
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico 10-Year Bond YieldMX.10Y10.29-0.75-0.027.83
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Mexico PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico Yield CurveMX.YC-1.361.427.29-30.45
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexican Peso US Dollar (MXN/USD)MXNUSD 17.830.08-0.035.94
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-1.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Mexico 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Mexico 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Mexico PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico Credit Default SwapsCDS.Mexico108.250105.250
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Z-scoresPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
Manufacturing PMImx.manpmi51.1000
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
GDP Growth (annual)mx.gdpgrowthan1.6-36-36-92
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Inflation CPImx.inflationcpi4.9866-28
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Unemployment ratemx.unemploymentrate2.600-10
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
USDMXN Implied VolatilityUSDMXN.IV10.192.83-0.03-0.59
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Risk SignalsPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar risk management models monitor the dynamics of thousands of risk-related indicators to gauge global financial risk conditions. MacroVar calcualates trend/momentum and 1-year, 5-year z-scores. The z-score (also known as the standard score) is a statistical measure that quantifies how many standard deviations an individual data point is from the mean of a distribution. MacroVar Risk Management models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
S&P/BMV IPCIPC54279.91.780.020.6
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend-0.75High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble Risk-50.0High2023-11-03 16:47:03MacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Mexico PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico 2-Year Bond YieldMX.2Y11.2700.050.27
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico 10-Year Bond YieldMX.10Y10.29-0.75-0.027.83
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.5High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Mexico PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexican Peso US Dollar (MXN/USD)MXNUSD 17.830.08-0.035.94
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum-1.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend1.0High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Mexico 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Mexico 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Mexico PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Mexico Credit Default SwapsCDS.Mexico108.250105.250
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Z-scoresPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description

Mexico Economic Overview

  
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Mexico economic overview presents a snapshot of Mexico current economic conditions. You can find details for the Mexico economy subsections by exploring the sections below.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Manufacturing PMImx.manpmi51.151.2-00DownUP

Mexico Manufacturing

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to Mexico manufacturing. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of goods in the Mexico economy.


1IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Manufacturing PMImx.manpmi51.151.2-00DownUP
industrial productionmx.indproduction1.05.1-80-80DownDown

Mexico consumer sentiment

  
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Consumer spending makes up 67% of the U.S. Economy. MacroVar monitors direct consumer reports like the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and indirect macroeconomic indicators related to Mexico employment and Mexico consumer activity (building permits).


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
consumer confidencemx.consconfidence47.546.9s15UPUP
unemployment ratemx.unemploymentrate2.62.6s0-10DownDown
retail salesmx.retailsalesan0.33.2s-91-89DownDown
retail sales MoMmx.retailsales0.10.5s-80-150DownUP
car registrationsmx.carregistrations53069.050767s533UPUP

Mexico Construction

  
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The Mexico construction sector is a significant component of the Mexico economy. MacroVar monitors leading indicators of construction activity like building permits and new home sales.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope

Mexico Macroeconomic outlook

  
Mexico Macroeconomic outlook presents an overview of the long-term fundamental coincident factors of the Mexico economy. Components monitored are the country's rserves, debt, Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy. Explore Mexico macroeconomic model in detail.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
gdpmx.gdp1788.891414.192652UPUP
Real GDPmx.realgdp24688768.025589900-439UPUP
gdp growth annualmx.gdpgrowthan1.62.5-36-92DownDown
gdp growthmx.gdpgrowth0.30.1200-80DownDown
inflation cpimx.inflationcpi4.984.696-28DownDown
interest ratemx.interestrate11.0110-2DownDown
unemployment ratemx.unemploymentrate2.62.60-10DownDown
external debtmx.externaldebt610562.8593990333UPUP
government debt to gdpmx.govdebtgdp49.449.6-057UPUP
current accountmx.currentaccount-12582.1511817.4-20640DownDown
current account to gdpmx.currentaccountgdp-1.5-1.2250DownDown
exportsmx.exports55670.9351319.585UPUP
importsmx.imports53679.7255065.7-34UPUP
foreign exchange reservesmx.fxreserves222774.022148517UPUP
gold reservesmx.goldres120.13120.1300UPUP
government revenuesmx.govrev627091.865812258-1UPDown
fiscal expendituremx.fiscalexp669628.48839657-202DownUP

Mexico Inflation

  
Image 1

MacroVar monitors major inflation indexes and subcompoonents based on Bureau of Labour Statistics monthly report.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%Trend
inflation cpimx.inflationcpi4.984.696-28
core inflation ratemx.coreinflationrate4.134.21-2-40

Mexico Employment

  
MacroVar monitors leading indicators (ISM/NMI employment activity), coincident (Initial & Continuing jobless claims) and lagging indicators of Mexico employment. Mexico employment is one of the major factors affecting Mexico monetary policy.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
unemployment ratemx.unemploymentrate2.62.60-10DownDown

Mexico Monetary Policy

  
Mexico Monetary policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Fed's balance sheet and interest rates.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
interest ratemx.interestrate11.0110-2DownDown
central bank balance sheetmx.cb.assets4576079840.0435561000051UPUP
banks balance sheetmx.banks.bs11520583.1211343400210UPUP
money supply m1mx.msm17408352892.07344490000111UPUP
money supply m2mx.msm214077017365.7713979100000113UPUP
government debt to gdpmx.govdebtgdp49.449.6-057UPUP
loans to private sectormx.loanprivate3345069427.6330762000019UPUP
Mexico Credit Rating (S&P)RATING.S&P.MX
Mexico Credit Rating (Moody's)RATING.MOODYS.MX
Mexico Credit Rating (Fitch)RATING.FITCH.MX

Mexico Fiscal Policy

  
Mexico Fiscal policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Treasury's decisions on government spending, revenues and budget surplus/deficit.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
government revenuesmx.govrev627091.865812258-1UPDown
fiscal expendituremx.fiscalexp669628.48839657-202DownUP
government budgetmx.govbudget-5.0-3.447100DownDown
Government budgetmx.govbudgetvalue-525473.4-33414157283UPDown
government debt to gdpmx.govdebtgdp49.449.6-057UPUP

Mexico Trade

  
Mexico trade activity is monitored by tracking Trade and Capital flows.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
current accountmx.currentaccount-12582.1511817.4-20640DownDown
current account to gdpmx.currentaccountgdp-1.5-1.2250DownDown
balance of trademx.balanceoftrade-1036.891991.21-152-1882DownDown
importsmx.imports53679.7255065.7-34UPUP
exportsmx.exports55670.9351319.585UPUP
capital flowsmx.capitalflows-12.44-11.86591DownDown
foreign direct investmentmx.fdi20312.71068.5180150UPUP
external debtmx.externaldebt610562.8593990333UPUP
foreign exchange reservesmx.fxreserves222774.022148517UPUP
gold reservesmx.goldres120.13120.1300UPUP