Russia Economy

Russia’s gdp growth annual decreased to -3.4 by -57.5% on July 2020 from -8.0 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s gdp growth annual decreased by -254.55%. Russia’s gdp growth annual trend is down since the current value of -3.4 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 0.433333.Russia’s inflation cpi icnreased to 4.9 by 11.36% on December 2020 from 4.4 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s inflation cpi increased by 63.33%. Russia’s inflation cpi trend is down since the current value of 4.9 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 3.375.Russia’s unemployment rate decreased to 6.1 by -3.17% on October 2020 from 6.3 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s unemployment rate increased by 32.61%. Russia’s unemployment rate trend is down since the current value of 6.1 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 5.53333.

Russia Financial Markets

 

Market Symbol Last Mom Trend Exh RSI 1D% 1W% 1M% 1Y%
RTSI RTS 1586.12 0.5 0.75 0.75496 59.1601 -2.44 -4.81 4.62 -0.09932
Russia ETF RSX 28.1 1 0.75 1.34355 63.2073 -2.53 -3.17 5.01 -0.01378
Russian Ruble US Dollar (RUB/USD) RUBUSD 73.96 -1 0 0.26279 45.5344 -0.23 1.83 -0.64 0.20409
Russia 10-Year Bond Yield RU.10Y 7.12 -0.5 -0.25 -0.52199 47.5003 -1.25 -0.28 0.85 -0.06725
Russia 5-Year Bond Yield RU.5Y 6.88 0 0.25 -0.46596 47.664 -2.69 -0.86 2.99 -0.11398
Russia 2-year bond yield RU.2Y 6.79 -1 -1 -0.94186 32.6087 -0.88 2.57 15.28 -0.22518
Russia Yield Curve RU.YC 0.33 0 0.75 1.20524 64.77 -8.33 -36.54 -71.79 1.38281
Russia Credit Default Swaps CDS.Russia 85.5 -0.5 -0.25 -0.52485 52.0676 -0.87 -0.58 -11.86 0.4674

RTSI closed down by -0.00788% to 1387.46 on 23 January 2021 and +0.01515% on a weekly basis. RTSI momentum was last calculated at +0.5/100 indicating positive momentum. RTSI trend is +0.75/100 indicating a positive trend. RTSI momentum exhaustion is 0.75496 indicating RTSI is oversold.Russia ETF closed up by 0.02287% to 25.05 on 23 January 2021 and +0.03598% on a weekly basis. Russia ETF momentum was last calculated at +1.0/100 indicating positive momentum. Russia ETF trend is +0.75/100 indicating a positive trend. Russia ETF momentum exhaustion is 1.34355 indicating Russia ETF is oversold.Russia 10-Year Bond Yield closed down by -0.00169% to 5.895 on 23 January 2021 and +-0.01586% on a weekly basis. Russia 10-Year Bond Yield momentum was last calculated at -0.5/100 indicating negative momentum. Russia 10-Year Bond Yield trend is -0.25/100 indicating a negative trend. Russia 10-Year Bond Yield momentum exhaustion is -0.52199 indicating Russia 10-Year Bond Yield is oversold.Russian Ruble US Dollar (RUB/USD) closed down by -0.00106% to 73.945 on 23 January 2021 and +-0.00155% on a weekly basis. Russian Ruble US Dollar (RUB/USD) momentum was last calculated at -1.0/100 indicating negative momentum. Russian Ruble US Dollar (RUB/USD) trend is +0.0/100 indicating a positive trend. Russian Ruble US Dollar (RUB/USD) momentum exhaustion is 0.26279 indicating Russian Ruble US Dollar (RUB/USD) is oversold.Russia Credit Default Swaps closed down by -0.01163% to 85.0 on 23 January 2021 and +-0.08108% on a weekly basis. Russia Credit Default Swaps momentum was last calculated at -0.5/100 indicating negative momentum. Russia Credit Default Swaps trend is -0.25/100 indicating a negative trend. Russia Credit Default Swaps momentum exhaustion is -0.52485 indicating Russia Credit Default Swaps is oversold.

Russia News

Russia Economy

Economic Activity Overview Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
gdp growth annual -0.7 -1.8 -0.611111 -1.36842 -1.0 -1.0 0.4 2021-01-01
inflation cpi 6.5 6 0.0833333 1.02492 1.0 1.0 0.85 2021-06-30
unemployment rate 4.9 5.2 -0.0576923 -0.196721 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2021-05-31
Business & Consumer Forecast Overview Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
manufacturing pmi 49.2 51.9 -0.0520231 -0.00404858 -1.0 -1.0 0.45 2021-06-30
services pmi 56.5 57.5 -0.0173913 0.182008 1.0 1.0 0.925 2021-06-30
Reserves & Outstanding Debt Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
government debt 16945.2 14572.8 0.162796 0.465886 1.0 1.0 0 2020-06-01
government debt to gdp 17.8 14.6 0.219178 1.73846 1.0 1.0 0 2020-01-31
external debt 471.4 459.3 0.0263444 -0.0290422 1.0 -1.0 0.4 2021-04-01
foreign exchange reserves 591529 605232 -0.0226409 0.0398279 1.0 1.0 0.1 2021-06-30
gold reserves 2295.42 2298.53 -0.00135304 0.213994 1.0 1.0 0.166667 2021-01-01
Trade Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
current account 5500 3181 0.729016 -0.572351 -1.0 -1.0 0.2 2020-12-31
current account to gdp 3.9 6.8 -0.426471 -0.338983 -1.0 -1.0 0 2019-01-31
Monetary Policy Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
interest rate 4.25 4.5 -0.0555556 -0.433333 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2020-07-24
central bank balance sheet 50061100 49500200 0.0113313 -0.0144871 1.0 -1.0 0.216667 2021-03-31
money supply m2 59194.1 59206.3 -0.000206059 0.115439 1.0 1.0 0.683333 2021-05-31
Fiscal Policy Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
Government budget 625.91 312.07 1.00567 -1.76039 1.0 1.0 0.25 2021-06-30
government revenues 17950200 14467100 0.24076 0.167569 -1.0 1.0 0.816667 2021-05-31
fiscal expenditure 16756800 13734300 0.220069 0.118126 -1.0 1.0 0.733333 2021-05-31

Russia’s gdp growth annual decreased to -3.4 by -57.5% on July 2020 from -8.0 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s gdp growth annual decreased by -254.55%. Russia’s gdp growth annual trend is down since the current value of -3.4 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 0.433333.Russia’s inflation cpi icnreased to 4.9 by 11.36% on December 2020 from 4.4 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s inflation cpi increased by 63.33%. Russia’s inflation cpi trend is down since the current value of 4.9 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 3.375.Russia’s unemployment rate decreased to 6.1 by -3.17% on October 2020 from 6.3 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s unemployment rate increased by 32.61%. Russia’s unemployment rate trend is down since the current value of 6.1 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 5.53333.Russia’s manufacturing pmi icnreased to 49.7 by 7.34% on December 2020 from 46.3 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s manufacturing pmi increased by 4.63%. Russia’s manufacturing pmi trend is down since the current value of 49.7 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 45.9833.Russia’s services pmi decreased to 48.0 by -0.41% on December 2020 from 48.2 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s services pmi decreased by -9.6%. Russia’s services pmi trend is down since the current value of 48.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 46.05.Russia’s composite pmi icnreased to 48.3 by 1.05% on December 2020 from 47.8 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s composite pmi decreased by -6.76%. Russia’s composite pmi trend is down since the current value of 48.3 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 45.9833.Russia’s business confidence icnreased to -7.3 by 28.07% on December 2020 from -5.7 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s business confidence increased by 21.67%. Russia’s business confidence trend is down since the current value of -7.3 is lower than the 12 month moving average of -5.16667.Russia’s consumer confidence decreased to -22.0 by -26.67% on May 2020 from -30.0 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s consumer confidence increased by 100.0%. Russia’s consumer confidence trend is down since the current value of -22.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of -14.8333.

Russia Business activity

Business Activity Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
business confidence 0.3 -0.3 -2 -1.04286 1.0 1.0 0.0166667 2021-05-31
manufacturing pmi 49.2 51.9 -0.0520231 -0.00404858 -1.0 -1.0 0.45 2021-06-30
services pmi 56.5 57.5 -0.0173913 0.182008 1.0 1.0 0.925 2021-06-30
composite pmi 55 56.2 -0.0213523 0.124744 1.0 1.0 0.9 2021-06-30

Russia’s business confidence icnreased to -7.3 by 28.07% on December 2020 from -5.7 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s business confidence increased by 21.67%. Russia’s business confidence trend is down since the current value of -7.3 is lower than the 12 month moving average of -5.16667.Russia’s manufacturing pmi icnreased to 49.7 by 7.34% on December 2020 from 46.3 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s manufacturing pmi increased by 4.63%. Russia’s manufacturing pmi trend is down since the current value of 49.7 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 45.9833.Russia’s services pmi decreased to 48.0 by -0.41% on December 2020 from 48.2 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s services pmi decreased by -9.6%. Russia’s services pmi trend is down since the current value of 48.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 46.05.Russia’s composite pmi icnreased to 48.3 by 1.05% on December 2020 from 47.8 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s composite pmi decreased by -6.76%. Russia’s composite pmi trend is down since the current value of 48.3 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 45.9833.

Russia Consumer activity

Consumer Activity Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
total vehicle sales 157808 147378 0.0707704 0.286947 1.0 1.0 0.95 2021-06-30
consumer confidence -18 -21 -0.142857 1.25 -1.0 -1.0 0.7 2021-04-01
car registrations 151964 148676 0.0221152 2.90432 -1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-04-30

 

Russia’s total vehicle sales icnreased to 157580.0 by 2.22% on November 2020 from 154164.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s total vehicle sales increased by 0.47%. Russia’s total vehicle sales trend is down since the current value of 157580.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 127742.0.Russia’s consumer confidence decreased to -22.0 by -26.67% on May 2020 from -30.0 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s consumer confidence increased by 100.0%. Russia’s consumer confidence trend is down since the current value of -22.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of -14.8333.Russia’s car registrations icnreased to 157580.0 by 2.22% on November 2020 from 154164.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s car registrations increased by 0.47%. Russia’s car registrations trend is down since the current value of 157580.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 127742.0.

Russia Manufacturing activity

Manufacturing Activity Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
manufacturing pmi 49.2 51.9 -0.0520231 -0.00404858 -1.0 -1.0 0.45 2021-06-30
industrial production 11.8 7.6 0.552632 -2.22917 1.0 1.0 0.3 2021-05-31
industrial production mom -2.1 -4.1 -0.487805 -0.637931 -1.0 1.0 0.266667 2021-05-31
capacity utilization 60 60 0 0.0344828 -1.0 1.0 0.916667 2021-05-31

Russia’s manufacturing pmi icnreased to 49.7 by 7.34% on December 2020 from 46.3 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s manufacturing pmi increased by 4.63%. Russia’s manufacturing pmi trend is down since the current value of 49.7 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 45.9833.Russia’s industrial production decreased to -2.6 by -55.93% on November 2020 from -5.9 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s industrial production decreased by -471.43%. Russia’s industrial production trend is down since the current value of -2.6 is lower than the 12 month moving average of -3.625.Russia’s industrial production mom decreased to -0.1 by -102.38% on November 2020 from 4.2 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s industrial production mom decreased by -96.88%. Russia’s industrial production mom trend is down since the current value of -0.1 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 0.0416667.Russia’s capacity utilization icnreased to 62.0 by 1.64% on September 2020 from 61.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s capacity utilization decreased by -3.12%. Russia’s capacity utilization trend is down since the current value of 62.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 61.6667.

Russia Services activity

Services Activity Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
services pmi 56.5 57.5 -0.0173913 0.182008 1.0 1.0 0.925 2021-06-30

Russia’s services pmi decreased to 48.0 by -0.41% on December 2020 from 48.2 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s services pmi decreased by -9.6%. Russia’s services pmi trend is down since the current value of 48.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 46.05.

Russia Retail Sector

 

Retail Activity Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
retail sales 27.2 35.1 -0.225071 -2.41667 1.0 1.0 0.15 2021-05-31
retail sales MoM 9.2 -2.4 -4.83333 -0.0980392 1.0 -1.0 0.35 2021-03-31

Russia’s retail sales icnreased to -3.1 by 121.43% on November 2020 from -1.4 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s retail sales decreased by -219.23%. Russia’s retail sales trend is down since the current value of -3.1 is lower than the 12 month moving average of -4.0.Russia’s retail sales MoM decreased to -1.2 by -154.54% on November 2020 from 2.2 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s retail sales MoM decreased by -340.0%. Russia’s retail sales MoM trend is down since the current value of -1.2 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 0.625.

Russia Construction Sector

 

Construction Activity Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
housing starts 5 6 -0.166667 0.388889 -1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
housing index 8 6.3 0.269841 -0.65812 1.0 -1.0 0 2019-01-31

Russia’s housing starts icnreased to 9.4 by 30.56% on November 2020 from 7.2 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s housing starts increased by 20.51%. Russia’s housing starts trend is down since the current value of 9.4 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 6.53333.Russia’s housing index icnreased to 8.0 by 26.98% on January 2019 from 6.3 in the previous Yearly. On a year on year basis Russia’s housing index decreased by -65.81%. Russia’s housing index trend is down since the current value of 8.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 3.79167.

Russia GDP

 

Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
Real GDP 20514.8 24995.5 -0.17926 0.0211093 -1.0 1.0 0.35 2021-01-01
gdp growth annual -0.7 -1.8 -0.611111 -1.36842 -1.0 -1.0 0.4 2021-01-01
gdp 1483.5 1687.45 -0.120863 -0.106783 -1.0 -1.0 0 2020-01-31
gdp growth 1.5 -3.2 -1.46875 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.933333 2020-05-01

Russia’s Real GDP icnreased to 22688.8 by 13.01% on May 2020 from 20076.2 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s Real GDP increased by 0.39%. Russia’s Real GDP trend is down since the current value of 22688.8 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 22266.3.Russia’s gdp growth annual decreased to -3.4 by -57.5% on July 2020 from -8.0 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s gdp growth annual decreased by -254.55%. Russia’s gdp growth annual trend is down since the current value of -3.4 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 0.433333.Russia’s gdp icnreased to 1699.88 by 1.81% on January 2019 from 1669.59 in the previous Yearly. On a year on year basis Russia’s gdp increased by 30.79%. Russia’s gdp trend is down since the current value of 1699.88 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 1716.52.Russia’s gdp growth icnreased to -3.2 by 255.56% on April 2020 from -0.9 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s gdp growth decreased by -1166.67%. Russia’s gdp growth trend is down since the current value of -3.2 is lower than the 12 month moving average of -0.0166667.

Russia inflation

 

Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
inflation cpi 6.5 6 0.0833333 1.02492 1.0 1.0 0.85 2021-06-30
core inflation rate 6.55 6.04 0.0844371 1.26644 1.0 1.0 0.933333 2021-06-30
consumer price index cpi 647.4 643 0.00684292 0.0649778 1.0 1.0 0.966667 2021-06-30
Producer Price Index 729.7 705 0.0350355 0.101434 1.0 1.0 0.9 2021-02-28
PPI Index 31.1 35.3 -0.11898 -3.20567 1.0 1.0 0.1 2021-06-30

Russia’s inflation cpi icnreased to 4.9 by 11.36% on December 2020 from 4.4 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s inflation cpi increased by 63.33%. Russia’s inflation cpi trend is down since the current value of 4.9 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 3.375.Russia’s core inflation rate icnreased to 3.87 by 8.1% on November 2020 from 3.58 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s core inflation rate increased by 10.57%. Russia’s core inflation rate trend is down since the current value of 3.87 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 3.02667.Russia’s consumer price index cpi icnreased to 621.2 by 0.78% on December 2020 from 616.4 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s consumer price index cpi increased by 4.83%. Russia’s consumer price index cpi trend is down since the current value of 621.2 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 607.442.Russia’s Producer Price Index icnreased to 671.4 by 1.01% on November 2020 from 664.7 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s Producer Price Index increased by 1.34%. Russia’s Producer Price Index trend is down since the current value of 671.4 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 647.654.Russia’s PPI Index icnreased to 2.4 by 242.86% on November 2020 from 0.7 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s PPI Index decreased by -148.98%. Russia’s PPI Index trend is down since the current value of 2.4 is lower than the 12 month moving average of -4.03333.

Russia Government Policy

 

Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
government budget -3.8 1.8 -3.11111 -1.92683 -1.0 -1.0 0 2019-02-28
Government budget 625.91 312.07 1.00567 -1.76039 1.0 1.0 0.25 2021-06-30
government revenues 17950200 14467100 0.24076 0.167569 -1.0 1.0 0.816667 2021-05-31
fiscal expenditure 16756800 13734300 0.220069 0.118126 -1.0 1.0 0.733333 2021-05-31

Russia’s Government budget icnreased to -2511.71 by 39.51% on November 2020 from -1800.37 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s Government budget decreased by -183.02%. Russia’s Government budget trend is down since the current value of -2511.71 is lower than the 12 month moving average of -749.844.Russia’s government revenues icnreased to 30311300.0 by 14.15% on October 2020 from 26554200.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s government revenues decreased by -5.75%. Russia’s government revenues trend is down since the current value of 30311300.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 96007700.0.Russia’s fiscal expenditure icnreased to 31894100.0 by 12.25% on October 2020 from 28414600.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s fiscal expenditure increased by 15.13%. Russia’s fiscal expenditure trend is down since the current value of 31894100.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 19783600.0.

Russia Monetary Policy

 

Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
interest rate 4.25 4.5 -0.0555556 -0.433333 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2020-07-24
central bank balance sheet 50061100 49500200 0.0113313 -0.0144871 1.0 -1.0 0.216667 2021-03-31
money supply m0 12752.3 12859.9 -0.00836709 0.137654 1.0 1.0 0.766667 2021-05-31
money supply m1 33276.7 33030.3 0.00745982 0.257081 1.0 1.0 0.816667 2021-05-31
money supply m2 59194.1 59206.3 -0.000206059 0.115439 1.0 1.0 0.683333 2021-05-31

Russia’s interest rate decreased to 4.25 by -5.56% on July 2020 from 4.5 in the previous Daily. On a year on year basis Russia’s interest rate decreased by -43.33%. Russia’s interest rate trend is down since the current value of 4.25 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 6.375.Russia’s central bank balance sheet icnreased to 52670200.0 by 0.9% on October 2020 from 52199700.0 in the previous Daily. On a year on year basis Russia’s central bank balance sheet increased by 23.41%. Russia’s central bank balance sheet trend is down since the current value of 52670200.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 47076800.0.Russia’s money supply m2 icnreased to 56122.6 by 0.45% on November 2020 from 55871.6 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s money supply m2 increased by 14.08%. Russia’s money supply m2 trend is down since the current value of 56122.6 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 53694.7.

Russia Employment

 

Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
unemployment rate 4.9 5.2 -0.0576923 -0.196721 -1.0 -1.0 0.0166667 2021-05-31

Russia’s unemployment rate decreased to 6.1 by -3.17% on October 2020 from 6.3 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s unemployment rate increased by 32.61%. Russia’s unemployment rate trend is down since the current value of 6.1 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 5.53333.

Russia Trade & Capital Flows

 

Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
current account 5500 3181 0.729016 -0.572351 -1.0 -1.0 0.2 2020-12-31
current account to gdp 3.9 6.8 -0.426471 -0.338983 -1.0 -1.0 0 2019-01-31
exports 34816 36863 -0.0555299 0.658774 1.0 1.0 1 2021-05-31
imports 24610 26272 -0.0632613 0.427411 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
balance of trade 10206 10591 -0.0363516 1.72305 1.0 1.0 0.983333 2021-05-31
capital flows 24869 5992 3.15037 -0.217907 1.0 -1.0 0.466667 2021-01-01
foreign direct investment 3886 2275 0.708132 0.784206 -1.0 1.0 0.7 2020-10-01

Russia’s current account decreased to 2500.0 by -600.0% on July 2020 from -500.0 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s current account decreased by -174.58%. Russia’s current account trend is down since the current value of 2500.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 18164.8.Russia’s current account to gdp decreased to 3.9 by -42.65% on January 2019 from 6.8 in the previous Yearly. On a year on year basis Russia’s current account to gdp decreased by -33.9%. Russia’s current account to gdp trend is down since the current value of 3.9 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 3.94167.Russia’s exports decreased to 28233.0 by -7.45% on October 2020 from 30506.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s exports decreased by -23.84%. Russia’s exports trend is down since the current value of 28233.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 28458.7.Russia’s imports icnreased to 21793.0 by 6.55% on October 2020 from 20454.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s imports decreased by -6.32%. Russia’s imports trend is down since the current value of 21793.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 20073.2.Russia’s balance of trade decreased to 6440.0 by -35.93% on October 2020 from 10052.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s balance of trade decreased by -48.81%. Russia’s balance of trade trend is down since the current value of 6440.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 8700.08.Russia’s bank lending rate decreased to 6.01 by -3.69% on October 2020 from 6.24 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s bank lending rate decreased by -26.44%. Russia’s bank lending rate trend is down since the current value of 6.01 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 7.07333.Russia’s capital flows icnreased to 5087.03 by 651.97% on May 2020 from 676.49 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s capital flows decreased by -220.55%. Russia’s capital flows trend is down since the current value of 5087.03 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 17164.7.Russia’s foreign direct investment decreased to -1611.0 by -126.42% on January 2020 from 6098.0 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s foreign direct investment decreased by -130.51%. Russia’s foreign direct investment trend is down since the current value of -1611.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 5202.42.

Russia Reserves

 

Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
foreign exchange reserves 591529 605232 -0.0226409 0.0398279 1.0 1.0 0.1 2021-06-30
gold reserves 2295.42 2298.53 -0.00135304 0.213994 1.0 1.0 0.166667 2021-01-01

Russia’s foreign exchange reserves decreased to 582676.0 by -0.03% on November 2020 from 582845.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s foreign exchange reserves increased by 7.5%. Russia’s foreign exchange reserves trend is down since the current value of 582676.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 573888.0.Russia’s gold reserves decreased to 2298.65 by -0.05% on May 2020 from 2299.9 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s gold reserves increased by 29.22%. Russia’s gold reserves trend is down since the current value of 2298.65 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 2129.74.Russia’s government debt icnreased to 13054.5 by 2.31% on April 2020 from 12760.0 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s government debt increased by 13.42%. Russia’s government debt trend is down since the current value of 13054.5 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 12552.1.Russia’s government debt to gdp decreased to 12.2 by -9.63% on January 2018 from 13.5 in the previous Yearly. On a year on year basis Russia’s government debt to gdp increased by 24.49%. Russia’s government debt to gdp trend is down since the current value of 12.2 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 10.7417.Russia’s external debt decreased to 461.2 by -3.35% on May 2020 from 477.2 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s external debt decreased by -12.9%. Russia’s external debt trend is down since the current value of 461.2 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 478.0.

Russia Debt

 

Debt Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
government debt 16945.2 14572.8 0.162796 0.465886 1.0 1.0 0 2020-06-01
government debt to gdp 17.8 14.6 0.219178 1.73846 1.0 1.0 0 2020-01-31
external debt 471.4 459.3 0.0263444 -0.0290422 1.0 -1.0 0.4 2021-04-01

Russia’s government debt icnreased to 13054.5 by 2.31% on April 2020 from 12760.0 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s government debt increased by 13.42%. Russia’s government debt trend is down since the current value of 13054.5 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 12552.1.Russia’s government debt to gdp decreased to 12.2 by -9.63% on January 2018 from 13.5 in the previous Yearly. On a year on year basis Russia’s government debt to gdp increased by 24.49%. Russia’s government debt to gdp trend is down since the current value of 12.2 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 10.7417.Russia’s external debt decreased to 461.2 by -3.35% on May 2020 from 477.2 in the previous Quarterly. On a year on year basis Russia’s external debt decreased by -12.9%. Russia’s external debt trend is down since the current value of 461.2 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 478.0.

Russia Banking activity

 

Fiscal Policy Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope ZS5Y Update
interbank rate 4.61 4.52 -0.104854 -0.00646552 -1.0 -1.0 0.433333 2021-03-31
deposit interest rate 3.33 3.36 -0.00892857 -0.189781 -1.0 -1.0 0.45 2021-05-31
bank lending rate 6.42 6.03 0.0646766 -0.11326 1.0 -1.0 0.75 2021-05-31
loans to private sector 35632200 34848300 0.0224946 0.132195 1.0 1.0 0.916667 2021-04-30
cash reserve ratio 8 8 0 0 -1.0 -1.0 0.266667 2019-12-31

Russia’s interbank rate decreased to 7.34 by -4.43% on August 2019 from 7.68 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s interbank rate decreased by -3.42%. Russia’s interbank rate trend is down since the current value of 7.34 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 8.21833.Russia’s deposit interest rate decreased to 4.58 by -8.22% on November 2019 from 4.99 in the previous Yearly. On a year on year basis Russia’s deposit interest rate decreased by -23.41%. Russia’s deposit interest rate trend is down since the current value of 4.58 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 5.56667.Russia’s balance of trade decreased to 6440.0 by -35.93% on October 2020 from 10052.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s balance of trade decreased by -48.81%. Russia’s balance of trade trend is down since the current value of 6440.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 8700.08.Russia’s bank lending rate decreased to 6.01 by -3.69% on October 2020 from 6.24 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s bank lending rate decreased by -26.44%. Russia’s bank lending rate trend is down since the current value of 6.01 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 7.07333.Russia’s loans to private sector icnreased to 32702600.0 by 0.95% on September 2020 from 32393600.0 in the previous Monthly. On a year on year basis Russia’s loans to private sector increased by 11.45%. Russia’s loans to private sector trend is down since the current value of 32702600.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 30878000.0.Russia’s cash reserve ratio Russia’s cash reserve ratio trend is down since the current value of 8.0 is lower than the 12 month moving average of 8.0.

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