Turkey Economy & Turkey Markets Data analytics

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MacroVar monitors real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for the Turkey economy and Turkey markets by analyzing financial, economic data and real-time news using statistical models. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with explanations of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

Turkey Overview

 
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Turkey Overview presents the current trends and dynamics of the major Turkey financial markets and economic indicators. Select Details to get more information for each indicator, use Factors to monitor current statistical analysis of financial & economic factors affecting the specific asset, and select research to read the latest MacroVar research for the specific asset/indicator.


SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
BIST 100BIST10743.3-0.490.0671.33
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-01-11 16:48:46MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Turkey PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey ESI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkey 2-year bond yieldTR.2Y40.371.120.05339.28
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
TrendHighMacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkey 10-Year Bond YieldTR.10Y27.857.530.0671.81
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Turkey PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey ESI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkish Lira US Dollar (TRY/USD)TRYUSD32.910.170.0222.12
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Turkey 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey ESI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMItr.manpmi47.9-1-1-7
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
ESI - Economic Compositetr.esi.conf97.70-39
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 18:31:20Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 18:31:20A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
BIST 100BIST10743.3-0.490.0671.33
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-01-11 16:48:46MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Turkey PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey ESI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkey ETFTUR42.51-0.140.0538.4
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Turkey PMI vs ETFPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.
Turkey ESI vs ETFPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.
Momentum50.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.0High2024-03-21 13:08:31MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkey 2-year bond yieldTR.2Y40.371.120.05339.28
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
TrendHighMacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkey 10-Year Bond YieldTR.10Y27.857.530.0671.81
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Turkey PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey ESI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkey Yield CurveTR.YC-12.52-10.73-0.017.93
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkish Lira US Dollar (TRY/USD)TRYUSD32.910.170.0222.12
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Turkey 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey ESI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkey Credit Default SwapsCDS.Turkey2660-0.04-39.27
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Z-scoresPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
ESI - Economic Compositetr.esi.conf97.70-39
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpHigh2024-07-11 18:31:20Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 18:31:20A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Manufacturing PMItr.manpmi47.9-1-1-7
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
GDP Growth (annual)tr.gdpgrowthan5.74343-21
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownHigh2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Inflation CPItr.inflationcpi71.6-5-587
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumUpMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendUpMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Unemployment ratetr.unemploymentrate8.4-1-1-12
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
MomentumDownMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08Momentum of a macroeconomic indicator is monitored by calculating its long-term year over year (Y/Y) return and its short-term month on month (M/M), quarter over quarter (Q/Q) returns.Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
TrendDownMedium2024-07-11 09:32:08A macroeconomic indicator is in an uptrend when last value is higher than its twelve month moving average and its twelve month moving average slope is positive (last twelve month moving average is higher than the previous month’s twelve month moving average). MacroVar calculates the number of months the current value has recorded highs or lows. Trend change is assumed when a specific indicator has recorded a 3-month high / low or more.MacroVar Momentum Macro Trends
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
SymbolPrice1D%MoM%YoY%MTBFactorsResearchDetails
USDTRY Implied VolatilityUSDTRY.IV15.24-6.96-0.4525.43
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Risk SignalsPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar risk management models monitor the dynamics of thousands of risk-related indicators to gauge global financial risk conditions. MacroVar calcualates trend/momentum and 1-year, 5-year z-scores. The z-score (also known as the standard score) is a statistical measure that quantifies how many standard deviations an individual data point is from the mean of a distribution. MacroVar Risk Management models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
BIST 100BIST10743.3-0.490.0671.33
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-01-11 16:48:46MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Turkey PMI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey ESI vs StocksPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkey 2-year bond yieldTR.2Y40.371.120.05339.28
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum0.0High2024-07-19 07:49:20MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
TrendHighMacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Research is available only to premium users. Upgrade your account.
Description
Turkey 10-Year Bond YieldTR.10Y27.857.530.0671.81
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-11 16:56:41MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend0.5High2024-07-22 17:27:53MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Turkey PMI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey ESI vs 10YPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
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Description
Turkish Lira US Dollar (TRY/USD)TRYUSD32.910.170.0222.12
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Momentum100.0High2024-07-10 11:04:02MacroVar momentum signal ranges from -100 to +100. Momentum trading is used to capture moves in short timeframes. Momentum must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Momentum Signals
Trend100.0High2024-07-04 19:10:17MacroVar Trend signal ranges from -100 to +100. The market trend signal is derived as the mean value from 8 calculations for each asset. A trend can last for day(s), weeks and even months. Trends must be monitored in conjuction with other MacroVar Macroeconomic and Financial factors. Learn More about MacroVar Trend Signals
Bubble RiskHighMacroVar bubble risk model monitors a financial asset price relative to its 252-day moving average to identify possible inflection points (Overbought or Oversold conditions). Extreme moves are often followed by price reversals when bubble risk model indicators have values greater than 2.5 or less than -2.5.Learn More about MacroVar Bubble Risk Model
Turkey 10Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey 2Y vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey PMI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
Turkey ESI vs FXPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar factor models use regression analysis to monitor a specific financial market (e.g. S&P 500) compared to macroeconomic (e.g. US ISM Manufacturing PMI) and financial factors (US North America Credit Default Swaps Index) closely correlated with the market in search for possible significant anomalies or divergencies which can confirm signals from MacroVar momentum and trend dynamics models.Learn More about MacroVar Multi-Factor models
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Description
Turkey Credit Default SwapsCDS.Turkey2660-0.04-39.27
FactorLastSignalImportanceValuation (Over/Under)Last SignalLogic
Z-scoresPremium Factors are available to premium users only. Upgrade your account.MacroVar CDS and Volatilites are analyzed by calculating the 1-year and 5-year z-scores. Extreme values of absolute z-scores (greater than 2) indicate elevated credit risk conditions and vice-versa.Learn More about MacroVar Risk Management model
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Turkey Market News

  
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TimeHeadlines
2024-02-29 10:40 Statement about the Turkish Repo Rate
2024-02-29 10:40 The Turkish weekly repo rate was reported at 45%, matching both the forecast and the previous rate of 45.00%.
2023-12-06 19:11 President Erdogan of Turkey has stated that the era of significant devaluation for the country's currency, the lira, has come to an end.
Monitor Real-Time Market News >>

Turkey Economic Sectors

 
MacroVar analyzes in detail the dynamics of the Turkey economy by economic sector and subsector based on data obtained from Eurostat. MacroVar presents for free current dynamics of Turkey economic sectors.


SectorsLastPreviousTrendMomentumTrendMoM%QoQ%YoY%
General Economic Conditions92.895.4-3-4-5
Manufacturing sector-3.9-2.277129875
Services sector21.723.1-6-8-0
Retail sector8.610.8-20-20-51
Consumer sector-21.9-19.711546
Construction sector-12.7-12.331217
Employment dynamics101.8102.9-1-0-4
Turkey's detailed economic sector analysis by subsectors and industries is only available to Premium users.

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Turkey Economic Overview

  
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Turkey economic overview presents a snapshot of US current economic conditions. You can find details for the Turkey economy subsections by exploring the sections below.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
ESI - Economic Compositetr.esi.conf97.7101.1-39DownUP
Industrial New Orderstr.man.orders-13.3-12.47-4UPUP
Industrial Pricestr.man.priceexp39.139.8-23DownUP
Manufacturing PMItr.manpmi47.948.4-1-7DownDown
Industrial Confidencetr.esi.man-3.9-2.277875DownDown
Services Confidencetr.esi.serv21.723.1-6-0UPDown
Consumer Confidencetr.esi.cons-21.9-19.71146UPDown
Retail Confidencetr.esi.ret8.610.8-20-51DownDown
Construction Confidencetr.esi.constr-12.7-12.3317DownDown

Turkey Manufacturing

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to Turkey manufacturing sector.


1IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
Manufacturing PMItr.manpmi47.948.4-1-7DownDown
industrial productiontr.indproduction-0.1-0.7-86-133DownDown

Turkey consumer sentiment

  
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Consumer spending makes a large part of the Turkey Economy.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
consumer confidencetr.consconfidence75.978.3s-3-5DownDown
Consumer Confidencetr.esi.cons-21.9-19.7s1146UPDown
EEI - Employment Compositetr.eei.emp99.5104.4s-59DownUP
unemployment ratetr.unemploymentrate8.48.5s-1-12DownDown
retail salestr.retailsalesan5.810.2s-43-81DownDown
retail sales MoMtr.retailsales-0.2-1.9s-89-111DownDown
car registrationstr.carregistrations198581.0232401s-153DownUP
building permitstr.buildingpermits178598.0332507s-46265UPUP

Turkey Construction

  
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The Turkey construction sector is a significant component of the Turkey economy. MacroVar monitors leading indicators of construction activity like building permits and new home sales.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
building permitstr.buildingpermits178598.0332507-46265UPUP
housing startstr.housingstarts11658.075545450UPUP
new home salestr.newhomesales25425.035558-28-2DownDown

Turkey Macroeconomic outlook

  
Turkey Macroeconomic outlook presents an overview of the long-term fundamental coincident factors of the Turkey economy. Components monitored are the country's rserves, debt, Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy. Explore Turkey macroeconomic model in detail.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
gdptr.gdp1108.02905.992227UPUP
Real GDPtr.realgdp516710740.0604781000-1519DownUP
gdp growth annualtr.gdpgrowthan5.7443-21DownDown
gdp growthtr.gdpgrowth2.411409UPUP
inflation cpitr.inflationcpi71.675.45-587UPUP
interest ratetr.interestrate50.0500233UPUP
unemployment ratetr.unemploymentrate8.48.5-1-12DownDown
government debttr.govdebt7884500.07641300340UPUP
external debttr.externaldebt499886.0481321411UPUP
government debt to gdptr.govdebtgdp29.530.8-4-19DownDown
current accounttr.currentaccount-1235.0-5437-77-261UPDown
current account to gdptr.currentaccountgdp-4.0-5.1-22-55DownUP
exportstr.exports18569.024100-23-6DownDown
importstr.imports30567.729144.9517UPUP
foreign exchange reservestr.fxreserves94700.094350028UPUP
gold reservestr.goldres540.19540.1905UPUP
government revenuestr.govrev591.221007.14-41120DownUP
fiscal expendituretr.fiscalexp866.5787.731078UPUP

Turkey Inflation

  
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IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%Trend
inflation cpitr.inflationcpi71.675.45-587
core inflation ratetr.coreinflationrate71.4174.98-551
Produce Prices YoYtr.producerpricesch50.0957.68-1324

Turkey Employment

  
MacroVar monitors leading indicators (ESI employment activity) and lagging indicators of Turkey employment. Turkey employment is one of the major factors affecting ECB monetary policy.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
unemployment ratetr.unemploymentrate8.48.5-1-12DownDown

Turkey Monetary Policy

  
Turkey Monetary policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the central bank's balance sheet and interest rates.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
interest ratetr.interestrate50.0500233UPUP
central bank balance sheettr.cb.assets7663249865.069647800001098UPUP
banks balance sheettr.banks.bs26805873136.026123700000360UPUP
money supply m1tr.msm15533107088.65393800000332UPUP
money supply m2tr.msm215302407236.314841400000341UPUP
government debt to gdptr.govdebtgdp29.530.8-4-19DownDown
loans to private sectortr.loanprivate6323782803.06029900000549UPUP
Turkey Credit Rating (S&P)RATING.S&P.TR
Turkey Credit Rating (Moody's)RATING.MOODYS.TR
Turkey Credit Rating (Fitch)RATING.FITCH.TR

Turkey Fiscal Policy

  
Turkey Fiscal policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Treasury's decisions on government spending, revenues and budget surplus/deficit.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
government revenuestr.govrev591.221007.14-41120DownUP
fiscal expendituretr.fiscalexp866.5787.731078UPUP
government budgettr.govbudget-5.2-1420300DownDown
Government budgettr.govbudgetvalue219.41-177.83-223352UPUP
government debttr.govdebt7884500.07641300340UPUP
government debt to gdptr.govdebtgdp29.530.8-4-19DownDown

Turkey Trade

  
Turkey trade activity is monitored by tracking Trade and Capital flows.


IndicatorSymbolActualPreviousM/M%Y/Y%TrendSlope
current accounttr.currentaccount-1235.0-5437-77-261UPDown
current account to gdptr.currentaccountgdp-4.0-5.1-22-55DownUP
balance of tradetr.balanceoftrade-6430.0-6500-1-49UPUP
importstr.imports30567.729144.9517UPUP
exportstr.exports18569.024100-23-6DownDown
capital flowstr.capitalflows-5632.0-13667-59-40DownUP
foreign direct investmenttr.fdi477.0602-21-49UPDown
external debttr.externaldebt499886.0481321411UPUP
foreign exchange reservestr.fxreserves94700.094350028UPUP
gold reservestr.goldres540.19540.1905UPUP