US Economy & US Markets Data analytics

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MacroVar monitors real-time economic, financial and geopolitical developments for the US economy and US markets by analyzing financial, economic data and real-time news using statistical models. To help you forecast and analyze economic and financial developments, our team provides you with explanations of the theory and structure of our models and access to financial and economic data.

US Overview

 
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US Overview presents the current trends and dynamics of the major US financial markets and economic indicators. Select Details to get more information for each indicator, use Factors to monitor current statistical analysis of financial & economic factors affecting the specific asset, and select research to read the latest MacroVar research for the specific asset/indicator.


Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Details
S&P 500 SPX 6074.08 0.38 0.03 28.7 blank
Description
US 2-year bond yield US.2Y 4.25 0 -0.01 -3.23 blank
Description
United States 10-Year Bond Yield US.10Y 4.4 -0.02 -0 6.56 blank
Description
Manufacturing PMI us.manpmi 48.8 1 1 -1 blank
Description
US Services PMI us.servpmi 57 4 4 13 blank
Description
Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Details
S&P 500 SPX 6074.08 0.38 0.03 28.7 blank
Description
S&P 500 ETF SPY 606.79 0.43 0.04 28.55 blank
Description
US 2-year bond yield US.2Y 4.25 0 -0.01 -3.23 blank
Description
United States 10-Year Bond Yield US.10Y 4.4 -0.02 -0 6.56 blank
Description
US Yield Curve US.YC 0.14 -5.37 0.25 -130.99 blank
Description
US Dollar Index (DXY) DXY 106.94 0.08 0 3.42 blank
Description
Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Details
ISM Manufacturing us.ism.man 46.5 -1 -1 -0 blank
Description
ISM Non-Manufacturing us.ism.serv 56 2 2 8 blank
Description
Composite PMI us.comppmi 55.3 2 2 9 blank
Description
Manufacturing PMI us.manpmi 48.8 1 1 -1 blank
Description
US Services PMI us.servpmi 57 4 4 13 blank
Description
GDP Growth (annual) us.gdpgrowthan 2.7 -10 -10 -46 blank
Description
Inflation CPI us.inflationcpi 2.7 4 4 -13 blank
Description
Unemployment rate us.unemploymentrate 4.2 2 2 14 blank
Description
Symbol Price 1D% MoM% YoY% M T B Details
US Stock Implied Volatility (VIX) VIX 14.69 0 -0.1 17.8 blank
Description
CDX North American Investment Grade US.CDXIG 47.38 -0.75 -0.03 -17.97 blank
Description
S&P 500 SPX 6074.08 0.38 0.03 28.7 blank
Description
US 2-year bond yield US.2Y 4.25 0 -0.01 -3.23 blank
Description
United States 10-Year Bond Yield US.10Y 4.4 -0.02 -0 6.56 blank
Description
US Dollar Index (DXY) DXY 106.94 0.08 0 3.42 blank
Description

US Market News

  
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Time Headlines
2024-11-21 18:47 Matt Gaetz: I'll be withdrawing my name from consideration to serve as Attorney General for Trump.
2024-11-21 18:47 Fed's Goolsbee: Over the next year, it feels like rates will end up a fair bit lower than where they are today.
2024-11-21 18:47 Fed's Goolsbee: It may make sense to slow pace of interest rate cuts as the US central bank gets close to where rates will settle.
2024-11-21 18:47 Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation is on its way down to 2%, and the labor market is close to stable full employment.
2024-11-18 04:54 Musk on US Treasury Secretary options: Bessent is the 'business as usual' pick, Lutnick would be to enact change.
2024-11-18 04:54 China’s President Xi: I am ready to work with the new Trump administration.
2024-11-18 04:54 China’s President Xi: I am ready to work with the new Trump administration.
2024-11-18 04:54 Trump: Chris Wright will join as Secretary for Energy.
2024-11-18 04:54 Leveraged funds' net shorts on US 10-year treasury futures hit lowest since late July - CFTC Data.
2024-11-18 04:54 Leveraged funds and non-commercials raise net shorts on US two-year futures to record highs - CFTC.
Monitor Real-Time Market News >>

US Economic Calendar

  
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Economic calendar presents real-time updates for actual, forecasts and consensus values of economic indicators and updates related to the United States economy.


Time Imp Event Country Actual Previous Forecast
20/12 15:00 consumer confidence United States 74.0 71.8 74.0
20/12 15:00 michigan current economic conditions United States 75.1 63.9 77.7
20/12 15:00 michigan consumer expectations United States 73.3 76.9 71.6
20/12 15:00 michigan inflation expectations United States 2.8% 2.6% 2.9%
20/12 15:00 michigan current economic conditions United States 75.1 63.9 77.7
20/12 15:00 michigan consumer expectations United States 73.3 76.9 71.6
20/12 15:00 michigan inflation expectations United States 2.8% 2.6% 2.9%
24/12 00:00 building permits United States
24/12 13:30 durable goods orders United States 0.2%
24/12 13:30 durable goods orders ex defense United States 0.4%
24/12 13:30 durable goods orders ex transportation United States 0.1%
24/12 15:00 new home sales United States 0.61M
24/12 15:00 richmond fed manufacturing index United States -14 -8
24/12 15:00 richmond fed services index United States 9 7
24/12 16:00 money supply m2 United States $23.31T
26/12 13:30 continuing jobless claims United States
26/12 13:30 initial jobless claims United States
Monitor Real-Time Calendar >>

US Research

  
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MacroVar provides research on the US economy and US financial markets. MacroVar models analyze US major financial markets (stock indexes, corporate bonds, individual sectors, credit markets, volatility, currencies) combined with US macroeconomic indicators and individual US stocks to help you monitor how the dynamics of the US economy and markets affect your investment portfolio and business.


Title Date
Move to small caps in risk-asset bids - FJElite 2024-07-16 20:29:38 blank  View
Macroeconomic Indicators Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:52:56 blank  View
Macroeconomic Indicators Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:50:31 blank  View
Financial Markets Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:45:25 blank  View
Financial Markets Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:45:06 blank  View
Financial Markets Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:43:37 blank  View
Financial Markets Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:42:13 blank  View
Financial Markets Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:41:05 blank  View
Financial Markets Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:39:16 blank  View
Financial Markets Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:18:43 blank  View
Financial Markets Daily Update 2024-07-16 16:18:26 blank  View

US Economic Overview

  
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US economic overview presents a snapshot of US current economic conditions. You can find details for the US economy subsections by exploring the sections below.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
Citigroup Economic Surprise Index us.cesi 25.3 27.7 -9 -40 Down Down
Composite PMI us.comppmi 55.3 54.1 2 9 UP UP
ISM manufacturing us.ism.man 46.5 47.2 -1 -0 Down Down
ISM manufacturing New Orders us.ism.man.neworders 47.1 46.1 2 4 Down UP
ISM manufacturing Prices us.ism.man.prices 54.8 48.3 13 22 UP UP
ISM manufacturing Employment us.ism.man.emp 44.4 43.9 1 -5 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing us.ism.serv 56.0 54.9 2 8 UP UP
ISM Non-Manufacturing new orders us.ism.serv.neword 57.4 59.4 -3 3 UP UP
ISM Non-Manufacturing employment us.ism.serv.emp 53.0 48.1 10 6 UP UP
Manufacturing PMI us.manpmi 48.8 48.5 1 -1 Down Down
NY Empire state Manufacturing us.ny.empire.state.manufacturing 0.2 31.2 -99 -101 UP UP
Chicago Purchasing Managers us.chicago.pmi 9.0 3 200 -176 UP UP
Richmond Fed Manufacturing us.richmond.fed.manufacturing 40.2 41.6 -3 -28 Down Down
Kansas Fed Manufacturing us.kansas.fed.manufacturing -5.0 -4 25 25 UP Down
Dallas Fed Manufacturing us.dalls.fed.manufacturing -2.7 -3 -10 -86 UP UP
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing us.philadelphia.fed.manufacturing -16.4 -5.5 198 56 Down Down
US Services PMI us.servpmi 57.0 55 4 13 UP UP
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment us.uomconf 70.1 67.9 3 3 Down UP
Conference Board Consumer Confidence us.consconfidence 111.7 109.6 2 11 UP UP

US Manufacturing

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to US manufacturing. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of goods in the US economy.


1Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
ISM manufacturing us.ism.man 46.5 47.2 -1 -0 Down Down
ISM manufacturing New Orders us.ism.man.neworders 47.1 46.1 2 4 Down UP
ISM manufacturing Prices us.ism.man.prices 54.8 48.3 13 22 UP UP
ISM manufacturing Employment us.ism.man.emp 44.4 43.9 1 -5 Down Down
Manufacturing PMI us.manpmi 48.8 48.5 1 -1 Down Down
NY Empire state Manufacturing us.ny.empire.state.manufacturing 0.2 31.2 -99 -101 UP UP
Chicago Purchasing Managers us.chicago.pmi 9.0 3 200 -176 UP UP
Richmond Fed Manufacturing us.richmond.fed.manufacturing 40.2 41.6 -3 -28 Down Down
Kansas Fed Manufacturing us.kansas.fed.manufacturing -5.0 -4 25 25 UP Down
Dallas Fed Manufacturing us.dalls.fed.manufacturing -2.7 -3 -10 -86 UP UP
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing us.philadelphia.fed.manufacturing -16.4 -5.5 198 56 Down Down
industrial production us.indproduction -0.9 -0.5 80 350 Down Down

US Services

  
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MacroVar tracks hundreds of indicators related to US services. Our focus is on the most important leading indicators based on the ISM report and related indicators. The ISM report is the most important report reflecting the real demand of services in the US economy.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
ISM Non-Manufacturing us.ism.serv 56.0 54.9 2 8 UP UP
ISM Non-Manufacturing new orders us.ism.serv.neword 57.4 59.4 -3 3 UP UP
NMI prices us.ism.serv.prices 58.1 59.4 -2 -1 UP Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing employment us.ism.serv.emp 53.0 48.1 10 6 UP UP
US Services PMI us.servpmi 57.0 55 4 13 UP UP

US consumer sentiment

  
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Consumer spending makes up 67% of the U.S. Economy. MacroVar monitors direct consumer reports like the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and indirect macroeconomic indicators related to US employment and US consumer activity (building permits).


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
UoM consumer confidence us.us.consconfidence 74.0 71.8s 3 -14 Down Down
Conference Board Consumer Confidence us.consconfidence 111.7 109.6s 2 11 UP UP
ISM manufacturing Employment us.ism.man.emp 44.4 43.9s 1 -5 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing employment us.ism.serv.emp 53.0 48.1s 10 6 UP UP
Initial Jobless claims us.joblessclaims 220.0 242s -9 -2 Down Down
Continuing jobless claims us.contjoblessclaims 1874.0 1879s -0 3 Down UP
Conference Board Employment Trends Index us.cb.employment 111.25 112.16s -1 -5 Down Down
Non Farm Payrolls US.nfp 12.0 254s -95 -92 Down Down
JOLTS (000) us.joboffers 7744.0 7372s 5 -11 Down Down
Unemployment rate us.unemploymentrate 4.2 4.1s 2 14 UP UP
retail sales us.retailsalesan 3.8 2.9s 31 -5 UP Down
retail sales MoM us.retailsales 0.7 0.5s 40 -450 UP UP
car registrations us.carregistrations 247.7 221.5s 12 6 Down UP
Building Permits us.buildingpermits 1505.0 1419s 6 -0 UP Down

US Construction

  
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The US construction sector is a significant component of the US economy. MacroVar monitors leading indicators of construction activity like building permits and new home sales.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
Building Permits us.buildingpermits 1505.0 1419 6 -0 UP Down
Housing Starts us.housingstarts 1289.0 1312 -2 -15 Down Down
New Home Sales us.newhomesales 610.0 738 -17 -9 Down Down
NAHB Index us.nahb 46.0 43 7 35 UP UP
Mortgage rate us.mortgrate 6.75 6.67 1 5 UP UP

US Macroeconomic outlook

  
US Macroeconomic outlook presents an overview of the long-term fundamental coincident factors of the US economy. Components monitored are the country's rserves, debt, Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy. Explore US macroeconomic model in detail.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
gdp us.gdp 27360.94 25462.7 7 76 UP UP
Real GDP us.realgdp 23400.3 23223.9 1 17 UP UP
gdp growth annual us.gdpgrowthan 2.7 3 -10 -46 Down Down
gdp growth us.gdpgrowth 3.1 3 3 -294 UP UP
inflation cpi us.inflationcpi 2.7 2.6 4 -13 Down Down
interest rate us.interestrate 4.75 5 -5 -14 Down Down
Unemployment rate us.unemploymentrate 4.2 4.1 2 14 UP UP
government debt us.govdebt 36087363.0 35951600 0 7 UP UP
external debt us.externaldebt 26467035.0 25984600 2 22 UP UP
government debt to gdp us.govdebtgdp 122.3 121.9 0 28 UP UP
current account us.currentaccount -310.95 -275.03 13 -100 UP UP
current account to gdp us.currentaccountgdp -3.0 -3.8 -21 -3 Down UP
exports us.exports 265.72 270.02 -2 2 UP UP
imports us.imports 339.56 353.81 -4 4 UP UP
foreign exchange reserves us.fxreserves 36337.0 37805 -4 3 Down UP
gold reserves us.goldres 8133.46 8133.46 0 -0 Down Down
government revenues us.govrev 301754.0 326770 -8 10 Down UP
fiscal expenditure us.fiscalexp 584221.0 463357 26 24 UP UP

US Inflation

  
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MacroVar monitors major inflation indexes and subcompoonents based on Bureau of Labour Statistics monthly report.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
inflation cpi us.inflationcpi 2.7 2.6 4 -13 Down Down
core inflation rate us.coreinflationrate 3.3 3.3 0 -18 Down Down
Produce Prices YoY us.producerpricesch 3.0 2.6 15 275 UP UP
Explore detailed analysis of US inflation and its components as well as leading indicators used to predict short-term dynamics of US inflation.

US Employment

  
MacroVar monitors leading indicators (ISM/NMI employment activity), coincident (Initial & Continuing jobless claims) and lagging indicators of US employment. US employment is one of the major factors affecting US monetary policy.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
Initial Jobless claims us.joblessclaims 220.0 242 -9 -2 Down Down
Continuing jobless claims us.contjoblessclaims 1874.0 1879 -0 3 Down UP
Conference Board Employment Trends Index us.cb.employment 111.25 112.16 -1 -5 Down Down
Non Farm Payrolls US.nfp 12.0 254 -95 -92 Down Down
ISM manufacturing Employment us.ism.man.emp 44.4 43.9 1 -5 Down Down
ISM Non-Manufacturing employment us.ism.serv.emp 53.0 48.1 10 6 UP UP
Unemployment rate us.unemploymentrate 4.2 4.1 2 14 UP UP
JOLTS (000) us.joboffers 7744.0 7372 5 -11 Down Down

US Monetary Policy

  
US Monetary policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Fed's balance sheet and interest rates.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
interest rate us.interestrate 4.75 5 -5 -14 Down Down
money supply m1 us.msm1 18237.4 18152.6 0 1 UP UP
money supply m2 us.msm2 21311.2 21222.7 0 3 UP UP
government debt to gdp us.govdebtgdp 122.3 121.9 0 28 UP UP
loans to private sector us.loanprivate 2787.2 2779.5 0 1 UP UP
US Credit Rating (S&P) RATING.S&P.US
US Credit Rating (Moody's) RATING.MOODYS.US
US Credit Rating (Fitch) RATING.FITCH.US

US Fiscal Policy

  
US Fiscal policy is monitored by tracking the most important indicators related to the Treasury's decisions on government spending, revenues and budget surplus/deficit.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
government revenues us.govrev 301754.0 326770 -8 10 Down UP
fiscal expenditure us.fiscalexp 584221.0 463357 26 24 UP UP
government budget us.govbudget -6.2 -5.4 15 -27 Down UP
Government budget us.govbudgetvalue -367000.0 -257000 43 184 Down Down
government debt us.govdebt 36087363.0 35951600 0 7 UP UP
government debt to gdp us.govdebtgdp 122.3 121.9 0 28 UP UP

US Trade

  
US trade activity is monitored by tracking Trade and Capital flows.


Indicator Symbol Actual Previous M/M% Y/Y% Trend Slope
current account us.currentaccount -310.95 -275.03 13 -100 UP UP
current account to gdp us.currentaccountgdp -3.0 -3.8 -21 -3 Down UP
balance of trade us.balanceoftrade -73.84 -83.8 -12 15 Down Down
imports us.imports 339.56 353.81 -4 4 UP UP
exports us.exports 265.72 270.02 -2 2 UP UP
capital flows us.capitalflows 203600.0 398900 -49 -338 UP UP
foreign direct investment us.fdi 75589.0 81456 -7 1 UP UP
external debt us.externaldebt 26467035.0 25984600 2 22 UP UP
foreign exchange reserves us.fxreserves 36337.0 37805 -4 3 Down UP
gold reserves us.goldres 8133.46 8133.46 0 -0 Down Down